Ce Michigan
W-L: (17-12) PR = 94.3421Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 72-98 1112 A Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 68-59 1119 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 87-54 1122 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 60-54 1124 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 51-83 1130 A Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 57-55 1203 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 40-82 1207 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 55-82 1217 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 91-41 1220 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 89-51 1231 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 83-85 103 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 68-56 107 A Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 66-57 110 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 72-74 117 A Ea Michigan MA (13-17, 93.5) 77-64 121 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 74-53 124 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 64-44 128 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 70-76 131 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 75-70 204 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 90-59 207 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 81-88 211 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 86-79 214 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 70-67 218 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 53-65 221 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 50-69 225 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 68-64 228 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 56-63 304 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 77-65 311 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 88-89
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Georgia So 72-98 -26 -1 -1.10
1112 A Butler 68-59 9 0 1.91
1119 A Detroit 87-54 33 2 0.00
1122 A Ea Illinois 60-54 6 2 0.00
1124 H Notre Dame 51-83 -32 -3 0.00
1130 A Purdue 57-55 2 -1 + 3.22
1203 H Michigan 40-82 -42 -4 0.00
1207 H Kentucky 55-82 -27 -3 0.00
1217 A Valparaiso 91-41 50 4 0.00
1220 A No Illinois 89-51 38 2 0.00
1231 H Ohio 83-85 -2 0 - -2.36
103 A Bowling Grn 68-56 12 0 1.51
107 A Kent State 66-57 9 0 1.64
110 H Mass 72-74 -2 0 -1.51
117 A Ea Michigan 77-64 13 1 1.13
121 A Akron 74-53 21 2 0.05
124 A We Michigan 64-44 20 1 0.51
128 H Ball St 70-76 -6 -1 -1.21
131 A No Illinois 75-70 5 2 0.00
204 A Buffalo 90-59 31 3 0.00
207 H Marshall 81-88 -7 -1 -1.25
211 A Akron 86-79 7 2 0.05
214 A We Michigan 70-67 3 1 0.51
218 H Miami (OH) 53-65 -12 -1 -0.96
221 H Mass 50-69 -19 0 -1.51
225 A Toledo 68-64 4 0 1.61
228 H Kent State 56-63 -7 0 - -2.38
304 A Bowling Grn 77-65 12 0 1.51
311 H Ohio 88-89 -1 0 -1.36
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1231 H Ohio 83-85 -2 0 - -2.36 228 H Kent State 56-63 -7 0 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 A Purdue 57-55 2 -1 + 3.22 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 72-98 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 1.05 -2.43
3 A Butler (13-19, 94.2) 68-59 -5.66 5.30 0.01 1.05 11.11
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 87-54 -7.59 3.37 0.01 1.05 7.07
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 60-54 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.05 6.25
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 51-83 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 1.05 -1.47
3 A Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 57-55 -4.34 6.62 0.01 1.05 13.87
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 40-82 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 1.05 -0.98
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 55-82 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 1.05 -1.37
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 91-41 -9.64 1.32 0.01 1.05 2.78
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 89-51 -7.57 3.39 0.01 1.05 7.11
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 83-85 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 1.05 -3.10
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 68-56 -6.05 4.91 0.01 1.05 10.29
3 A Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 66-57 -5.93 5.03 0.01 1.05 10.56
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 72-74 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 1.05 -2.65
3 A Ea Michigan (13-17, 93.5) 77-64 -6.44 4.52 0.01 1.05 9.49
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 74-53 -7.52 3.44 0.01 1.05 7.22
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 64-44 -7.06 3.90 0.01 1.05 8.18
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 70-76 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.05 -2.50
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 75-70 -7.57 3.39 0.01 1.05 7.11
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 90-59 -8.29 2.67 0.01 1.05 5.61
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 81-88 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 1.05 -2.52
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 86-79 -7.52 3.44 0.01 1.05 7.22
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 70-67 -7.06 3.90 0.01 1.05 8.18
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 53-65 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 1.05 -2.36
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 50-69 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 1.05 -2.65
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 68-64 -5.95 5.01 0.01 1.05 10.50
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 56-63 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 77-65 -6.05 4.91 0.01 1.05 10.29
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 88-89 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 1.05 -3.10
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114.59
|
winning pts = 142.8238 losing points = -28.2321
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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