Cal Poly
W-L: ( 3-26) PR = 91.1168Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A CAL-S 87-27 1109 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 55-90 1115 H Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 73-75 1117 H Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 67-78 1121 H So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 80-85 1204 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 64-96 1206 H Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 46-63 1213 H Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 49-62 1216 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 28-** 1218 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 39-86 1228 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 50-91 101 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 54-75 103 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 63-49 108 H Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 68-77 110 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 61-87 116 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 46-86 122 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 51-61 124 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 41-73 129 H CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 58-62 131 H Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 66-70 205 H Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 50-65 207 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 55-59 212 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 39-84 214 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 54-63 219 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 54-71 226 H LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 57-67 228 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 61-85 305 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 65-85 307 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 66-54
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1109 H Stanford 55-90 -35 -5 0.00
1115 H Seattle 73-75 -2 -1 -1.32
1117 H Ea Wash 67-78 -11 -2 0.00
1121 H So Utah 80-85 -5 -3 0.00
1204 H CS Fullerton 64-96 -32 -2 0.00
1206 H Ca Riverside 46-63 -17 -2 -0.33
1213 H Idaho St 49-62 -13 -3 0.00
1216 H UCLA 28-** -87 -9 0.00
1218 H USC 39-86 -47 -6 0.00
1228 H California 50-91 -41 -5 0.00
101 H UC San Diego 54-75 -21 -3 0.00
103 A LB St 63-49 14 -1 + 2.66
108 H Northridge 68-77 -9 -1 -0.58
110 H UC Davis 61-87 -26 -3 0.00
116 H Hawaii 46-86 -40 -3 0.00
122 H Santa Barbara 51-61 -10 -3 0.00
124 H CS Fullerton 41-73 -32 -2 0.00
129 H CS Baker 58-62 -4 -1 -1.09
131 H Ca Riverside 66-70 -4 -2 -0.33
205 H Northridge 50-65 -15 -1 -0.58
207 H UC Davis 55-59 -4 -3 0.00
212 H UC Irvine 39-84 -45 -4 0.00
214 H Santa Barbara 54-63 -9 -3 0.00
219 H Hawaii 54-71 -17 -3 0.00
226 H LB St 57-67 -10 -1 -1.36
228 H UC San Diego 61-85 -24 -3 0.00
305 H UC Irvine 65-85 -20 -4 0.00
307 A CS Baker 66-54 12 -1 + 2.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 A LB St 63-49 14 -1 + 2.66 307 A CS Baker 66-54 12 -1 + 2.93 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 55-90 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 1.08 -2.26
3 H Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 73-75 -8.10 2.86 -0.01 1.08 -4.39
3 H Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 67-78 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
3 H So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 80-85 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 1.08 -3.30
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 64-96 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
3 H Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 46-63 -7.11 3.86 -0.01 1.08 -3.86
3 H Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 49-62 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.08 -3.11
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 28-** -0.00 10.96 -0.01 1.08 -0.01
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 39-86 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 1.08 -1.66
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 50-91 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 1.08 -2.17
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 54-75 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.08 -2.94
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 63-49 -8.13 2.83 0.01 1.08 6.16
3 H Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 68-77 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.08 -3.99
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 61-87 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 46-86 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.08 -3.08
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 51-61 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 41-73 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
3 H CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 58-62 -7.86 3.10 -0.01 1.08 -4.27
3 H Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 66-70 -7.11 3.86 -0.01 1.08 -3.86
3 H Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 50-65 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.08 -3.99
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 55-59 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 39-84 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.08 -2.86
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 54-63 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 54-71 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.08 -3.08
3 H LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 57-67 -8.13 2.83 -0.01 1.08 -4.41
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 61-85 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.08 -2.94
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 65-85 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.08 -2.86
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 66-54 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.08 6.74
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-69.54
|
winning pts = 12.8975 losing points = -82.4345
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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