CS Fullerton
W-L: (16-15) PR = 93.3195Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 70-84 1109 H Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 61-68 1116 H Denver SM ( 9-18, 93.1) 55-60 1121 H Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 58-78 1123 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 68-56 1129 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 62-73 1204 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 96-64 1206 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 82-80 1213 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 81-66 1220 H San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 55-56 1228 A LASIE **-22 101 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 62-61 103 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 51-64 108 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 69-81 110 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 73-58 115 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 67-73 117 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 83-71 122 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 84-66 124 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 73-41 131 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 62-60 205 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 82-78 207 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 92-** 212 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 70-62 214 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 71-77 219 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 64-70 221 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 60-57 301 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 49-67 305 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 69-77 307 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 81-60 311 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 80-65 312 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 61-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Pepperdine 70-84 -14 -1 -0.83
1109 H Cleveland St 61-68 -7 -1 -1.05
1116 H Denver 55-60 -5 0 - -2.26
1121 H Sacra St 58-78 -20 0 -1.96
1123 A Pacific 68-56 12 0 + 2.42
1129 H Loyola Marym 62-73 -11 -1 -0.62
1204 A Cal Poly 96-64 32 2 0.00
1206 A Hawaii 82-80 2 -1 + 2.91
1213 A Portland St 81-66 15 1 0.72
1220 H San Diego 55-56 -1 0 -1.05
101 A Santa Barbara 62-61 1 -1 1.62
103 H UC Irvine 51-64 -13 -1 -0.70
108 H UC San Diego 69-81 -12 -1 -0.84
110 A Northridge 73-58 15 1 1.24
115 H UC Davis 67-73 -6 -1 -1.15
117 A Ca Riverside 83-71 12 1 1.49
122 A LB St 84-66 18 2 0.46
124 A Cal Poly 73-41 32 2 0.00
131 A Santa Barbara 62-60 2 -1 + 2.62
205 A Ca Riverside 82-78 4 1 1.49
207 A CS Baker 92-** -12 1 - -3.27
212 A LB St 70-62 8 2 0.46
214 H UC Irvine 71-77 -6 -1 -0.70
219 H UC Davis 64-70 -6 -1 -1.15
221 A CS Baker 60-57 3 1 0.73
301 H Hawaii 49-67 -18 -1 -1.11
305 H UC San Diego 69-77 -8 -1 -0.84
307 A Northridge 81-60 21 1 1.24
311 A Northridge 80-65 15 1 1.24
312 H Hawaii 61-72 -11 -1 -1.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 H Denver 55-60 -5 0 - -2.26 207 A CS Baker 92-** -12 1 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1123 A Pacific 68-56 12 0 + 2.42 1206 A Hawaii 82-80 2 -1 + 2.91 131 A Santa Barbara 62-60 2 -1 + 2.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 70-84 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 H Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 61-68 -5.62 5.34 -0.01 1.01 -2.85
3 H Denver ( 9-18, 93.1) 55-60 -6.83 4.13 -0.01 1.01 -3.46
3 H Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 58-78 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 68-56 -6.17 4.79 0.01 1.01 9.71
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 62-73 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 1.01 -2.63
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 96-64 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.01 4.42
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 82-80 -5.68 5.28 0.01 1.01 10.71
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 81-66 -7.87 3.09 0.01 1.01 6.27
3 H San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 55-56 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -3.35
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 62-61 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 51-64 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.67
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 69-81 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 73-58 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.01 7.32
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 67-73 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 83-71 -7.11 3.86 0.01 1.01 7.82
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 84-66 -8.13 2.83 0.01 1.01 5.75
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 73-41 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.01 4.42
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 62-60 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.01 10.12
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 82-78 -7.11 3.86 0.01 1.01 7.82
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 92-** -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.01 -3.97
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 70-62 -8.13 2.83 0.01 1.01 5.75
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 71-77 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.67
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 64-70 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 60-57 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.01 6.29
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 49-67 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.01 -2.88
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 69-77 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.01 -2.74
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 81-60 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.01 7.32
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 80-65 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.01 7.32
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 61-72 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.01 -2.88
------
66.47
|
winning pts = 111.1454 losing points = -44.6778
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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