Dayton
W-L: (16-15) PR = 94.3194Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 76-87 1111 A Xavier BE (11-19, 93.8) 71-66 1116 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 66-72 1121 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 61-52 1128 H Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 66-92 1129 A Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 59-58 1203 H George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 42-54 1207 A LIU NE (14-10, 92.3) 81-72 1214 H Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 43-80 1218 A We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 65-58 1221 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 75-66 1231 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 59-74 103 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 68-61 107 H Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 68-71 110 A Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 66-58 114 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 67-85 114 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 67-85 118 H St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 58-62 121 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 75-58 125 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 66-79 128 A St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 75-71 201 H George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 54-66 204 A La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 68-60 207 A St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 75-73 211 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 61-72 214 A St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 65-63 221 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 67-79 225 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 67-58 228 A VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 79-62 305 A George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 62-54 306 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 85-87
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Illinois St 76-87 -11 0 -1.94
1111 A Xavier 71-66 5 0 1.51
1116 H Belmont 66-72 -6 0 -1.56
1121 A Canisius 61-52 9 3 0.00
1128 H Butler 66-92 -26 0 - -2.09
1129 A Kansas 59-58 1 -2 + 2.73
1203 H George Wash 42-54 -12 0 - -2.09
1207 A LIU 81-72 9 2 0.00
1214 H Purdue 43-80 -37 -1 -0.77
1218 A We Michigan 65-58 7 1 0.53
1221 A Evansville 75-66 9 2 0.48
1231 H George Mason 59-74 -15 -1 -0.72
103 A Duquesne 68-61 7 1 1.02
107 H Loyola Chic 68-71 -3 0 - -2.30
110 A Fordham 66-58 8 1 0.51
114 H Richmond 67-85 -18 -2 -0.40
114 H Richmond 67-85 -18 -2 -0.40
118 H St Louis 58-62 -4 1 - -2.62
121 A Duquesne 75-58 17 1 1.02
125 H Rhode Island 66-79 -13 -2 -0.26
128 A St. Bonnies 75-71 4 1 1.44
201 H George Wash 54-66 -12 0 - -2.09
204 A La Salle 68-60 8 0 + 2.02
207 A St Joseph's 75-73 2 -1 + 2.52
211 H George Mason 61-72 -11 -1 -0.72
214 A St Louis 65-63 2 1 1.40
221 H Davidson 67-79 -12 -1 -1.31
225 A Loyola Chic 67-58 9 0 1.72
228 A VCU 79-62 17 1 1.19
305 A George Wash 62-54 8 0 1.93
306 H George Mason 85-87 -2 -1 -0.72
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 H Butler 66-92 -26 0 - -2.09 1203 H George Wash 42-54 -12 0 - -2.09 107 H Loyola Chic 68-71 -3 0 - -2.30 118 H St Louis 58-62 -4 1 - -2.62 201 H George Wash 54-66 -12 0 - -2.09 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1129 A Kansas 59-58 1 -2 + 2.73 204 A La Salle 68-60 8 0 + 2.02 207 A St Joseph's 75-73 2 -1 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 76-87 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.98 -2.70
3 A Xavier (11-19, 93.8) 71-66 -6.08 4.88 0.01 0.98 9.58
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 66-72 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.98 -2.52
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 61-52 -9.06 1.90 0.01 0.98 3.73
3 H Butler (13-19, 94.2) 66-92 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.98 -2.78
3 A Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 59-58 -3.86 7.10 0.01 0.98 13.93
3 H George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 42-54 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.98 -2.78
3 A LIU (14-10, 92.3) 81-72 -7.60 3.36 0.01 0.98 6.59
3 H Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 43-80 -4.34 6.62 -0.01 0.98 -2.13
3 A We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 65-58 -7.06 3.90 0.01 0.98 7.65
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 75-66 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.98 7.56
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 59-74 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.98 -2.11
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 68-61 -6.57 4.39 0.01 0.98 8.62
3 H Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 68-71 -5.87 5.09 -0.01 0.98 -2.88
3 A Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 66-58 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.98 7.61
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 67-85 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.98 -1.95
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 67-85 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.98 -1.95
3 H St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 58-62 -6.19 4.77 -0.01 0.98 -3.04
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 75-58 -6.57 4.39 0.01 0.98 8.62
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 66-79 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.98 -1.88
3 A St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 75-71 -6.15 4.81 0.01 0.98 9.44
3 H George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 54-66 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.98 -2.78
3 A La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 68-60 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.98 10.57
3 A St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 75-73 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.98 11.56
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 61-72 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.98 -2.11
3 A St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 65-63 -6.19 4.77 0.01 0.98 9.35
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 67-79 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.98 -2.39
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 67-58 -5.87 5.09 0.01 0.98 9.98
3 A VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 79-62 -6.40 4.56 0.01 0.98 8.94
3 A George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 62-54 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.98 10.39
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 85-87 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.98 -2.11
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108.03
|
winning pts = 144.1227 losing points = -36.0894
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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