Ea Michigan
W-L: (13-17) PR = 93.4619Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 73-80 1107 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 70-39 1109 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 60-92 1114 A St Thomas MN SM (11-16, 93.4) 52-41 1119 H PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 52-67 1126 A Robert Morris HL (15-12, 93.6) 64-54 1130 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 64-55 1205 A DEFIA 96-44 1209 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 74-72 1214 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 67-74 1220 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 74-78 1230 A Bowling Grn MA (16-14, 93.8) 86-76 107 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 87-96 110 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 65-78 114 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 55-69 114 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 55-69 117 H Ce Michigan MA (17-12, 94.3) 64-77 120 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 76-71 124 A No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 72-62 128 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 71-51 131 H We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 54-59 204 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 60-75 207 A Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 76-73 210 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 68-83 214 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 51-62 221 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 73-63 225 H Miami (OH) MA (27- 7, 95.4) 60-78 228 H No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 61-70 304 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 54-62 307 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 77-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H LA-Monroe 73-80 -7 -1 -1.50
1107 A Canisius 70-39 31 3 0.00
1109 H Michigan St 60-92 -32 -4 0.00
1114 A St Thomas MN 52-41 11 0 1.92
1119 H PFW 52-67 -15 -1 -1.39
1126 A Robert Morris 64-54 10 0 + 2.18
1130 A Detroit 64-55 9 1 0.86
1209 A Duquesne 74-72 2 0 1.88
1214 H Indiana 67-74 -7 -3 0.00
1220 H Ball St 74-78 -4 -2 -0.33
1230 A Bowling Grn 86-76 10 0 + 2.39
107 H Ohio 87-96 -9 -1 -1.48
110 H Kent State 65-78 -13 -1 -1.50
114 H Miami (OH) 55-69 -14 -2 -0.08
114 H Miami (OH) 55-69 -14 -2 -0.08
117 H Ce Michigan 64-77 -13 -1 -1.13
120 A Toledo 76-71 5 0 + 2.49
124 A No Illinois 72-62 10 1 0.88
128 A Buffalo 71-51 20 2 0.16
131 H We Michigan 54-59 -5 1 - -2.63
204 H Mass 60-75 -15 -1 -0.63
207 A Arkansas St 76-73 3 -1 + 3.48
210 H Ball St 68-83 -15 -2 -0.33
214 H Toledo 51-62 -11 0 -1.53
221 A Buffalo 73-63 10 2 0.16
225 H Miami (OH) 60-78 -18 -2 -0.08
228 H No Illinois 61-70 -9 1 - -3.14
304 H Ohio 54-62 -8 -1 -1.48
307 A Akron 77-62 15 1 0.93
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 131 H We Michigan 54-59 -5 1 - -2.63 228 H No Illinois 61-70 -9 1 - -3.14 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A Robert Morris 64-54 10 0 + 2.18 1230 A Bowling Grn 86-76 10 0 + 2.39 120 A Toledo 76-71 5 0 + 2.49 207 A Arkansas St 76-73 3 -1 + 3.48 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 73-80 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 70-39 -9.06 1.90 0.01 1.05 3.99
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 60-92 -2.71 8.25 -0.01 1.05 -1.42
3 A St Thomas MN (11-16, 93.4) 52-41 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.05 9.30
3 H PFW (21-15, 94.1) 52-67 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.05 -3.05
3 A Robert Morris (15-12, 93.6) 64-54 -6.27 4.69 0.01 1.05 9.83
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 64-55 -7.59 3.37 0.01 1.05 7.07
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 74-72 -6.57 4.39 0.01 1.05 9.21
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 67-74 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 1.05 -2.00
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 74-78 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.05 -2.50
3 A Bowling Grn (16-14, 93.8) 86-76 -6.05 4.91 0.01 1.05 10.29
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 87-96 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 1.05 -3.10
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 65-78 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 55-69 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 1.05 -2.36
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 55-69 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 1.05 -2.36
3 H Ce Michigan (17-12, 94.3) 64-77 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 76-71 -5.95 5.01 0.01 1.05 10.50
3 A No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 72-62 -7.57 3.39 0.01 1.05 7.11
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 71-51 -8.29 2.67 0.01 1.05 5.61
3 H We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 54-59 -7.06 3.90 -0.01 1.05 -3.70
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 60-75 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 1.05 -2.65
3 A Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 76-73 -4.97 5.99 0.01 1.05 12.56
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 68-83 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.05 -2.50
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 51-62 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 1.05 -3.12
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 73-63 -8.29 2.67 0.01 1.05 5.61
3 H Miami (OH) (27- 7, 95.4) 60-78 -4.51 6.45 -0.01 1.05 -2.36
3 H No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 61-70 -7.57 3.39 -0.01 1.05 -3.97
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 54-62 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 1.05 -3.10
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 77-62 -7.52 3.44 0.01 1.05 7.22
------
50.99
|
winning pts = 98.3049 losing points = -47.3168
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------