Ea Tenn St
W-L: (16-12) PR = 93.1435Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 56-65 1107 H Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 47-97 1112 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 63-64 1120 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 52-61 1122 H Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 54-60 1128 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 55-49 1129 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 50-88 1130 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 60-54 1211 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 63-53 1214 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 55-73 1218 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 59-37 1221 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 51-50 108 H Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 70-72 110 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 57-61 117 H Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 41-53 122 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 62-50 124 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 58-48 130 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 53-44 205 A Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 61-57 207 A Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 58-55 210 H Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 45-50 214 A Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 219 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 52-39 221 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 61-51 226 A Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 58-51 228 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 46-39 305 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 62-50 306 H Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 48-57
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Elon 56-65 -9 0 - -2.13
1107 H Tennessee 47-97 -50 -3 0.00
1112 H Kennesaw St 63-64 -1 0 -1.07
1120 H Tenn Tech 52-61 -9 0 -1.58
1122 H Memphis 54-60 -6 0 -1.87
1128 A Bellarmine 55-49 6 2 0.00
1129 H Louisville 50-88 -38 -4 0.00
1130 A Ea Illinois 60-54 6 1 0.78
1211 A UNC-Ash 63-53 10 2 0.40
1214 H Va Tech 55-73 -18 -3 0.00
1218 A Gardner-Webb 59-37 22 1 0.78
1221 A Charlotte 51-50 1 -1 + 2.19
108 H Furman 70-72 -2 0 -2.00
110 H Wofford 57-61 -4 0 -1.99
117 H Chattanooga 41-53 -12 0 -1.53
122 A We Carolina 62-50 12 4 0.00
124 A UNCG 58-48 10 1 1.11
130 A Samford 53-44 9 0 1.69
205 A Wofford 61-57 4 0 + 2.03
207 A Furman 58-55 3 0 + 2.02
210 H Mercer 45-50 -5 0 - -2.21
219 A UNCG 52-39 13 1 1.11
221 A We Carolina 61-51 10 4 0.00
226 A Mercer 58-51 7 0 1.81
228 A Samford 46-39 7 0 1.69
305 A UNCG 62-50 12 1 1.11
306 H Samford 48-57 -9 0 - -2.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H Elon 56-65 -9 0 - -2.13 210 H Mercer 45-50 -5 0 - -2.21 306 H Samford 48-57 -9 0 - -2.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1221 A Charlotte 51-50 1 -1 + 2.19 205 A Wofford 61-57 4 0 + 2.03 207 A Furman 58-55 3 0 + 2.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Elon (15-16, 93.0) 56-65 -6.87 4.09 -0.01 1.12 -3.87
3 H Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 47-97 -3.34 7.62 -0.01 1.12 -1.88
3 H Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 63-64 -6.81 4.15 -0.01 1.12 -3.83
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 52-61 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.12 -3.56
3 H Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 54-60 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.12 -3.72
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 55-49 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.12 4.17
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 50-88 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 1.12 -1.34
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 60-54 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.12 6.71
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 63-53 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.12 5.85
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 55-73 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 1.12 -2.04
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 59-37 -7.98 2.98 0.01 1.12 6.71
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 51-50 -5.57 5.39 0.01 1.12 12.13
3 H Furman (16-13, 93.2) 70-72 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.12 -3.80
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 57-61 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 1.12 -3.79
3 H Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 41-53 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 1.12 -3.53
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 62-50 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.12 2.27
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 58-48 -7.66 3.30 0.01 1.12 7.44
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 53-44 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.12 8.74
3 A Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 61-57 -6.73 4.23 0.01 1.12 9.53
3 A Furman (16-13, 93.2) 58-55 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.12 9.50
3 H Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 45-50 -6.96 4.00 -0.01 1.12 -3.92
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 52-39 -7.66 3.30 0.01 1.12 7.44
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 61-51 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.12 2.27
3 A Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 58-51 -6.96 4.00 0.01 1.12 9.01
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 46-39 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.12 8.74
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 62-50 -7.66 3.30 0.01 1.12 7.44
3 H Samford (14-19, 92.8) 48-57 -7.08 3.88 -0.01 1.12 -3.99
------
68.69
|
winning pts = 107.9595 losing points = -39.2727
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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