Fresno St
W-L: (16-16) PR = 93.6523Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A FREPA 87-38 1107 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 74-51 1111 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 78-53 1115 H BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 43-63 1119 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 43-61 1123 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 63-81 1128 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 64-49 1129 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 61-48 1206 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 45-65 1210 H Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 57-60 1213 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) 81-62 1217 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 53-63 1220 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 53-36 1231 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 59-85 107 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 67-52 110 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 64-71 114 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 86-56 114 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 86-56 117 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 54-44 121 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 52-60 128 H Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 42-47 131 H Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 56-61 204 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 79-50 207 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 71-51 211 A Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 75-69 215 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 73-59 221 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 59-68 225 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 42-57 228 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 54-68 303 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 64-86 307 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 74-57 308 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 65-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A CS Baker 74-51 23 2 0.40
1111 A Seattle 78-53 25 2 0.16
1115 H BYU 43-63 -20 -2 0.00
1119 H Washington 43-61 -18 -3 0.00
1123 H Santa Clara 63-81 -18 -1 -0.53
1128 A NM St 64-49 15 1 1.07
1129 A Louisiana 61-48 13 1 0.54
1206 H Pepperdine 45-65 -20 -1 -1.16
1210 H Saint Marys 57-60 -3 0 -1.79
1213 A Chicago St 81-62 19 3 0.00
1217 H San Diego St 53-63 -10 -2 -0.18
1220 A Wyoming 53-36 17 0 1.65
1231 H UNLV 59-85 -26 -1 -0.66
107 A San Jose St 67-52 15 2 0.44
110 H Grand Canyon 64-71 -7 0 -1.54
114 A Utah State 86-56 30 1 0.84
114 A Utah State 86-56 30 1 0.84
117 A Nevada 54-44 10 0 1.59
121 H Boise St 52-60 -8 -1 -0.91
128 H Wyoming 42-47 -5 0 - -2.37
131 H Air Force 56-61 -5 0 -1.92
204 A San Jose St 79-50 29 2 0.44
207 A Nevada 71-51 20 0 1.59
211 A Boise St 75-69 6 -1 + 3.11
215 A Utah State 73-59 14 1 0.84
221 H San Diego St 59-68 -9 -2 -0.18
225 H Grand Canyon 42-57 -15 0 -1.54
228 H UNLV 54-68 -14 -1 -0.66
303 H New Mexico 64-86 -22 -1 -1.00
307 A Nevada 74-57 17 0 1.59
308 H UNLV 65-79 -14 -1 -0.66
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 128 H Wyoming 42-47 -5 0 - -2.37 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 A Boise St 75-69 6 -1 + 3.11 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 74-51 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.98 6.09
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 78-53 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.98 5.63
3 H BYU (24-12, 96.1) 43-63 -3.79 7.17 -0.01 0.98 -1.86
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 43-61 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.98 -1.43
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 63-81 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.34
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 64-49 -7.19 3.77 0.01 0.98 7.40
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 61-48 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.98 6.37
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 45-65 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 0.98 -2.65
3 H Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 57-60 -6.03 4.93 -0.01 0.98 -2.96
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) 81-62 -8.82 2.14 0.01 0.98 4.20
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 53-63 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 0.98 -2.17
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 53-36 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.98 8.54
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 59-85 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 0.98 -2.40
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 67-52 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.98 6.18
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 64-71 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 0.98 -2.83
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 86-56 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.98 6.96
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 86-56 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.98 6.96
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 54-44 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.98 8.43
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 52-60 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 0.98 -2.53
3 H Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 42-47 -6.61 4.35 -0.01 0.98 -3.24
3 H Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 56-61 -6.16 4.80 -0.01 0.98 -3.02
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 79-50 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.98 6.18
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 71-51 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.98 8.43
3 A Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 75-69 -5.15 5.81 0.01 0.98 11.40
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 73-59 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.98 6.96
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 59-68 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 0.98 -2.17
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 42-57 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 0.98 -2.83
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 54-68 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 0.98 -2.40
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 64-86 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.98 -2.57
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 74-57 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.98 8.43
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 65-79 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 0.98 -2.40
------
68.34
|
winning pts = 108.1308 losing points = -39.7941
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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