George Mason
W-L: (24-10) PR = 95.6054Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 85-94 1106 A Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 72-57 1110 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 88-40 1114 A Georgetown BE (13-17, 94.5) 61-54 1119 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 58-41 1123 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 62-84 1125 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 72-54 1128 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 83-88 1129 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 67-81 1203 A Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 73-55 1207 H Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 73-74 1220 H Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 69-71 1231 A Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 74-59 104 A VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 68-58 107 A La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 62-47 111 A George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 59-46 114 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 59-54 114 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 59-54 118 A St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 66-59 121 A St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 57-48 128 A Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 62-51 131 A St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 66-51 207 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 57-71 211 A Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 72-61 214 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 63-79 216 A Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 46-37 218 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 67-55 221 A George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 67-52 225 A St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 85-59 228 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 65-48 306 A Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 87-85 307 A Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 60-45 308 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 51-53 319 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 64-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Temple 85-94 -9 1 - -3.22
1106 A Jam Madison 72-57 15 0 + 2.05
1110 A Florida A&M 88-40 48 4 0.00
1114 A Georgetown 61-54 7 1 0.89
1119 A Fl Gulf Co 58-41 17 2 0.21
1123 H Maryland 62-84 -22 -2 -0.39
1125 A Rider 72-54 18 4 0.00
1128 H Murray St 83-88 -5 0 -1.94
1129 H Ole Miss 67-81 -14 -1 -0.54
1203 A Fordham 73-55 18 3 0.00
1207 H Liberty 73-74 -1 1 - -2.37
1220 H Princeton 69-71 -2 -1 -0.96
1231 A Dayton 74-59 15 1 0.72
104 A VCU 68-58 10 2 0.00
107 A La Salle 62-47 15 1 0.73
111 A George Wash 59-46 13 1 0.64
114 A Loyola Chic 59-54 5 2 0.43
114 A Loyola Chic 59-54 5 2 0.43
118 A St Joseph's 66-59 7 1 1.24
121 A St. Bonnies 57-48 9 2 0.16
128 A Davidson 62-51 11 1 1.43
131 A St Louis 66-51 15 2 0.11
207 H Richmond 57-71 -14 0 -1.69
211 A Dayton 72-61 11 1 0.72
214 H Rhode Island 63-79 -16 0 -1.54
216 A Richmond 46-37 9 0 + 2.33
218 A Loyola Chic 67-55 12 2 0.43
221 A George Wash 67-52 15 1 0.64
225 A St Joseph's 85-59 26 1 1.24
228 A Duquesne 65-48 17 2 0.00
306 A Dayton 87-85 2 1 0.72
307 A Richmond 60-45 15 0 + 2.33
308 H Rhode Island 51-53 -2 0 -1.54
319 H Quinnipiac 64-71 -7 1 - -3.27
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1103 H Temple 85-94 -9 1 - -3.22 1207 H Liberty 73-74 -1 1 - -2.37 319 H Quinnipiac 64-71 -7 1 - -3.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1106 A Jam Madison 72-57 15 0 + 2.05 216 A Richmond 46-37 9 0 + 2.33 307 A Richmond 60-45 15 0 + 2.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Temple (15-17, 94.4) 85-94 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.89 -2.46
3 A Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 72-57 -4.25 6.71 0.01 0.89 11.99
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 88-40 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.89 4.90
3 A Georgetown (13-17, 94.5) 61-54 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.89 9.92
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 58-41 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.89 8.70
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 62-84 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 0.89 -1.20
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 72-54 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.89 4.25
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 83-88 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.89 -1.89
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 67-81 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 0.89 -1.27
3 A Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 73-55 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.89 6.94
3 H Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 73-74 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.89 -2.53
3 H Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 69-71 -3.24 7.72 -0.01 0.89 -1.45
3 A Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 74-59 -5.58 5.38 0.01 0.89 9.62
3 A VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 68-58 -6.40 4.56 0.01 0.89 8.15
3 A La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 62-47 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.89 9.63
3 A George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 59-46 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.89 9.47
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 59-54 -5.87 5.09 0.01 0.89 9.10
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 59-54 -5.87 5.09 0.01 0.89 9.10
3 A St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 66-59 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.89 10.54
3 A St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 57-48 -6.15 4.81 0.01 0.89 8.61
3 A Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 62-51 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.89 10.88
3 A St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 66-51 -6.19 4.77 0.01 0.89 8.53
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 57-71 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.89 -1.78
3 A Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 72-61 -5.58 5.38 0.01 0.89 9.62
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 63-79 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.89 -1.71
3 A Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 46-37 -3.97 6.99 0.01 0.89 12.49
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 67-55 -5.87 5.09 0.01 0.89 9.10
3 A George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 67-52 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.89 9.47
3 A St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 85-59 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.89 10.54
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 65-48 -6.57 4.39 0.01 0.89 7.86
3 A Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 87-85 -5.58 5.38 0.01 0.89 9.62
3 A Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 60-45 -3.97 6.99 0.01 0.89 12.49
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 51-53 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.89 -1.71
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 64-71 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 0.89 -2.48
------
203.05
|
winning pts = 221.5307 losing points = -18.4830
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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