Gonzaga
W-L: (24- 9) PR = 95.5920Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A No Dakota St SM (25- 5, 95.6) 81-66 1109 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 72-69 1116 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 52-65 1120 H So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 63-72 1123 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 79-60 1128 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 72-76 1130 A Marquette BE (16-13, 95.1) 65-61 1204 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 62-58 1206 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 83-72 1216 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 66-68 1219 A Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 68-49 1221 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 68-62 1228 A Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 87-34 1230 A Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 75-52 102 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 85-59 104 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 73-77 110 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 69-55 115 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 82-69 117 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 87-42 122 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 87-92 129 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 74-66 131 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 81-75 205 A Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 67-37 207 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 72-44 212 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 66-56 214 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 63-72 219 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 75-50 221 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 85-70 226 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 75-67 228 H Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 91-92 309 A Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 88-60 310 A Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 76-66 320 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 66-81
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A No Dakota St 81-66 15 0 + 2.03
1109 A Toledo 72-69 3 2 0.36
1116 H Stanford 52-65 -13 0 -1.87
1120 H So Dakota St 63-72 -9 -1 -1.39
1123 A Ea Wash 79-60 19 2 0.00
1128 H Indiana 72-76 -4 0 -1.52
1130 A Marquette 65-61 4 0 1.52
1204 A Grand Canyon 62-58 4 1 0.54
1206 A UC Davis 83-72 11 1 0.60
1216 H Arizona St 66-68 -2 -1 -1.41
1219 A Missouri St 68-49 19 1 1.08
1221 A Ca Riverside 68-62 6 3 0.00
1228 A Loyola Marym 87-34 53 1 1.13
1230 A Pepperdine 75-52 23 1 0.92
102 A Seattle 85-59 26 4 0.00
104 H Santa Clara 73-77 -4 0 - -2.46
110 A Portland 69-55 14 1 0.94
115 A San Fran 82-69 13 1 0.88
117 A San Diego 87-42 45 2 0.00
122 H Oregon State 87-92 -5 0 - -2.31
129 A San Fran 74-66 8 1 0.88
131 A Wash St 81-75 6 2 0.01
205 A Oregon State 67-37 30 0 1.71
207 A Pacific 72-44 28 2 0.15
212 A San Diego 66-56 10 2 0.00
214 H Loyola Marym 63-72 -9 1 - -2.89
219 A Wash St 75-50 25 2 0.01
221 A Pacific 85-70 15 2 0.15
226 A Saint Marys 75-67 8 2 0.29
228 H Portland 91-92 -1 1 - -2.08
309 A Santa Clara 88-60 28 0 1.56
310 A Oregon State 76-66 10 0 1.71
320 H Ole Miss 66-81 -15 -1 -0.53
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 104 H Santa Clara 73-77 -4 0 - -2.46 122 H Oregon State 87-92 -5 0 - -2.31 214 H Loyola Marym 63-72 -9 1 - -2.89 228 H Portland 91-92 -1 1 - -2.08 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1107 A No Dakota St 81-66 15 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A No Dakota St (25- 5, 95.6) 81-66 -4.28 6.68 0.01 0.92 12.30
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 72-69 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.92 9.23
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 52-65 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 0.92 -1.92
3 H So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 63-72 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.92 -1.70
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 79-60 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.92 8.07
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 72-76 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 0.92 -1.76
3 A Marquette (16-13, 95.1) 65-61 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.92 11.35
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 62-58 -5.77 5.19 0.01 0.92 9.56
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 83-72 -5.72 5.24 0.01 0.92 9.66
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 66-68 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 0.92 -1.71
3 A Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 68-49 -5.24 5.72 0.01 0.92 10.54
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 68-62 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.92 7.11
3 A Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 87-34 -5.19 5.77 0.01 0.92 10.63
3 A Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 75-52 -5.40 5.56 0.01 0.92 10.24
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 85-59 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.92 5.28
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 73-77 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.92 -2.19
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 69-55 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.92 10.29
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 82-69 -5.44 5.52 0.01 0.92 10.17
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 87-42 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.92 8.00
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 87-92 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.92 -2.12
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 74-66 -5.44 5.52 0.01 0.92 10.17
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 81-75 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.92 8.57
3 A Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 67-37 -4.61 6.35 0.01 0.92 11.70
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 72-44 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.92 8.83
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 66-56 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.92 8.00
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 63-72 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 0.92 -2.39
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 75-50 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.92 8.57
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 85-70 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.92 8.83
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 75-67 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.92 9.09
3 H Portland (18-15, 94.5) 91-92 -5.37 5.59 -0.01 0.92 -2.48
3 A Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 88-60 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.92 11.42
3 A Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 76-66 -4.61 6.35 0.01 0.92 11.70
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 66-81 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 0.92 -1.30
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211.74
|
winning pts = 229.3214 losing points = -17.5814
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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