Hawaii
W-L: (20-11) PR = 94.2228Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 74-63 1121 A Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 55-51 1123 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 66-61 1128 H Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 67-73 1129 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 59-68 1130 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 57-76 1204 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 63-68 1206 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 80-82 1220 A Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 67-58 1220 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 56-72 102 H Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 58-65 104 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 54-65 110 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 47-50 116 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 86-46 118 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 67-50 122 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 64-52 124 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 64-55 130 A UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 55-50 201 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 67-44 207 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 46-59 213 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 61-54 214 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-54 219 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 71-54 221 A Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 58-52 227 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 67-46 301 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 67-49 305 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 89-56 307 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 74-39 312 A CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 72-61 313 A UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 67-63 314 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 48-60
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A Portland St 74-63 11 2 0.00
1121 A Loyola Marym 55-51 4 0 + 2.50
1123 A Portland 66-61 5 0 + 2.31
1128 H Vermont 67-73 -6 0 -1.54
1129 H Lindenwood 59-68 -9 0 -1.59
1130 H Santa Clara 57-76 -19 -1 -1.10
1204 H UC Davis 63-68 -5 0 - -2.05
1206 H CS Fullerton 80-82 -2 1 - -2.91
1220 A Liberty 67-58 9 0 + 2.03
1220 H Montana St 56-72 -16 -1 -1.09
102 H Ca Riverside 58-65 -7 1 - -3.44
104 H UC San Diego 54-65 -11 0 -1.74
110 H UC Irvine 47-50 -3 0 -1.60
116 A Cal Poly 86-46 40 3 0.00
118 A Santa Barbara 67-50 17 0 1.72
122 A CS Baker 64-52 12 2 0.00
124 A Northridge 64-55 9 2 0.33
130 A UC Irvine 55-50 5 0 + 2.42
201 A LB St 67-44 23 2 0.00
207 H UC San Diego 46-59 -13 0 -1.74
213 A CS Baker 61-54 7 2 0.00
214 A Northridge 63-54 9 2 0.33
219 A Cal Poly 71-54 17 3 0.00
221 A Santa Barbara 58-52 6 0 1.72
227 A UC Davis 67-46 21 0 1.97
301 A CS Fullerton 67-49 18 1 1.11
305 A Ca Riverside 89-56 33 1 0.58
307 A LB St 74-39 35 2 0.00
312 A CS Fullerton 72-61 11 1 1.11
313 A UC Irvine 67-63 4 0 + 2.42
314 H UC San Diego 48-60 -12 0 -1.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1204 H UC Davis 63-68 -5 0 - -2.05 1206 H CS Fullerton 80-82 -2 1 - -2.91 102 H Ca Riverside 58-65 -7 1 - -3.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 A Loyola Marym 55-51 4 0 + 2.50 1123 A Portland 66-61 5 0 + 2.31 1220 A Liberty 67-58 9 0 + 2.03 130 A UC Irvine 55-50 5 0 + 2.42 313 A UC Irvine 67-63 4 0 + 2.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 74-63 -7.87 3.09 0.01 0.98 6.07
3 A Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 55-51 -5.19 5.77 0.01 0.98 11.32
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 66-61 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.98 10.96
3 H Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 67-73 -5.20 5.76 -0.01 0.98 -2.55
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 59-68 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 0.98 -2.58
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 57-76 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.34
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 63-68 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 0.98 -2.80
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 80-82 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 0.98 -3.23
3 A Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 67-58 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.98 10.40
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 56-72 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.33
3 H Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 58-65 -7.11 3.86 -0.01 0.98 -3.48
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 54-65 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.98 -2.65
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 47-50 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 0.98 -2.58
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 86-46 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.98 4.28
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 67-50 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.98 9.79
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 64-52 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.98 6.09
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 64-55 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.98 7.08
3 A UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 55-50 -5.27 5.69 0.01 0.98 11.16
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 67-44 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.98 5.56
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 46-59 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.98 -2.65
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 61-54 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.98 6.09
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-54 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.98 7.08
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 71-54 -8.78 2.18 0.01 0.98 4.28
3 A Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 58-52 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.98 9.79
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 67-46 -5.72 5.24 0.01 0.98 10.28
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 67-49 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.98 8.59
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 89-56 -7.11 3.86 0.01 0.98 7.57
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 74-39 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.98 5.56
3 A CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 72-61 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.98 8.59
3 A UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 67-63 -5.27 5.69 0.01 0.98 11.16
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 48-60 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.98 -2.65
------
131.85
|
winning pts = 161.6993 losing points = -29.8493
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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