High Point
W-L: (25- 6) PR = 94.1855Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1108 A Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 81-73 1112 A Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 82-69 1116 A Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 84-68 1119 A Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 71-65 1123 H Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 57-67 1128 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 77-62 1129 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 70-59 1205 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 64-44 1214 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 82-60 1217 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 65-76 1220 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 85-64 1231 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 78-51 103 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 72-58 107 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 76-43 110 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 78-40 117 A Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 68-54 121 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 74-60 123 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 73-44 128 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 87-66 201 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 70-41 204 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 88-74 207 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 57-72 211 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 73-75 214 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 64-48 218 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 60-55 221 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 83-53 228 H SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 50-55 305 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 71-53 307 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 79-63 308 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 71-67 321 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 61-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Wofford 81-73 8 1 0.99
1112 A Merrimack 82-69 13 1 0.73
1116 A Ea Carolina 84-68 16 0 + 2.49
1119 A Vermont 71-65 6 -1 + 2.52
1123 H Houston 57-67 -10 0 - -2.04
1128 A Louisiana 77-62 15 2 0.01
1129 A Charlotte 70-59 11 0 + 2.15
1205 A SC St 64-44 20 4 0.00
1214 A NC Center 82-60 22 3 0.00
1217 H Davidson 65-76 -11 -1 -1.17
1220 A Yale 85-64 21 2 0.31
1231 A UNC-Ash 78-51 27 3 0.00
103 A SC Upstate 72-58 14 3 0.00
107 A Presbyterian 76-43 33 4 0.00
110 A Radford 78-40 38 1 1.31
117 A Longwood 68-54 14 1 1.35
121 A Winthrop 74-60 14 2 0.03
123 A Gardner-Webb 73-44 29 2 0.00
128 A Char So 87-66 21 2 0.00
201 A Presbyterian 70-41 29 4 0.00
204 A Winthrop 88-74 14 2 0.03
207 H Radford 57-72 -15 1 - -2.71
211 H Longwood 73-75 -2 1 - -2.67
214 A Char So 64-48 16 2 0.00
218 A UNC-Ash 60-55 5 3 0.00
221 A Gardner-Webb 83-53 30 2 0.00
228 H SC Upstate 50-55 -5 3 -- -4.00
305 A SC Upstate 71-53 18 3 0.00
307 A Winthrop 79-63 16 2 0.03
308 A Radford 71-67 4 1 1.31
321 H Vanderbilt 61-** -41 -4 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H SC Upstate 50-55 -5 3 -- -4.00 1123 H Houston 57-67 -10 0 - -2.04 207 H Radford 57-72 -15 1 - -2.71 211 H Longwood 73-75 -2 1 - -2.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 A Ea Carolina 84-68 16 0 + 2.49 1119 A Vermont 71-65 6 -1 + 2.52 1129 A Charlotte 70-59 11 0 + 2.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 81-73 -6.73 4.23 0.01 0.98 8.30
3 A Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 82-69 -7.00 3.96 0.01 0.98 7.78
3 A Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 84-68 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.98 11.24
3 A Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 71-65 -5.20 5.76 0.01 0.98 11.29
3 H Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 57-67 -5.74 5.22 -0.01 0.98 -2.82
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 77-62 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.98 6.37
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 70-59 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.98 10.56
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 64-44 -9.50 1.46 0.01 0.98 2.88
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 82-60 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.98 4.72
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 65-76 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.98 -2.39
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 85-64 -7.41 3.55 0.01 0.98 6.97
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 78-51 -8.37 2.59 0.01 0.98 5.10
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 72-58 -8.38 2.58 0.01 0.98 5.07
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 76-43 -9.92 1.04 0.01 0.98 2.07
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 78-40 -6.42 4.54 0.01 0.98 8.91
3 A Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 68-54 -6.37 4.59 0.01 0.98 9.00
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 74-60 -7.69 3.27 0.01 0.98 6.42
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 73-44 -7.98 2.98 0.01 0.98 5.85
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 87-66 -8.11 2.85 0.01 0.98 5.60
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 70-41 -9.92 1.04 0.01 0.98 2.07
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 88-74 -7.69 3.27 0.01 0.98 6.42
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 57-72 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 0.98 -3.15
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 73-75 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 0.98 -3.12
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 64-48 -8.11 2.85 0.01 0.98 5.60
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 60-55 -8.37 2.59 0.01 0.98 5.10
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 83-53 -7.98 2.98 0.01 0.98 5.85
3 H SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 50-55 -8.38 2.58 -0.01 0.98 -4.11
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 71-53 -8.38 2.58 0.01 0.98 5.07
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 79-63 -7.69 3.27 0.01 0.98 6.42
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 71-67 -6.42 4.54 0.01 0.98 8.91
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 61-** -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.98 -0.91
------
147.06
|
winning pts = 163.5543 losing points = -16.4945
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------