Illinois St
W-L: (23-13) PR = 94.3847Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 87-76 1109 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 65-75 1112 A Chicago St NE C ( 6-20, 91.1) **-52 1118 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 59-44 1121 A St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 81-75 1126 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 72-75 1127 H Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 66-73 1128 H Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 44-57 1203 H No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 54-68 1207 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 64-46 1214 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 44-85 1219 A Oakland HL (10-21, 93.2) 89-66 1229 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) **-64 102 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) **-** 104 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 68-75 108 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 75-61 111 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 82-71 115 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 93-74 122 H Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 64-76 125 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 85-69 129 A No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 59-55 201 A Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 58-54 207 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 77-70 213 H So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 60-84 215 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 88-75 220 A Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 83-78 222 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 62-73 226 A So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 78-60 228 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 83-42 305 H Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 55-73 308 A Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 66-65 313 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 69-62 314 H Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 70-75 322 A UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 81-52 327 A Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 59-55 401 A So Dakota SM (24-10, 94.6) 67-60
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Dayton 87-76 11 0 1.94
1109 H Illinois 65-75 -10 -2 0.00
1112 A Chicago St **-52 49 3 0.00
1118 A Loyola Chic 59-44 15 0 1.65
1121 A St Louis 81-75 6 1 1.33
1126 H Rice 72-75 -3 -2 -0.35
1127 H Ea Carolina 66-73 -7 0 -1.72
1128 H Wake Forest 44-57 -13 0 - -2.16
1203 H No Iowa 54-68 -14 0 - -2.13
1207 A Ea Illinois 64-46 18 2 0.00
1214 H Nebraska 44-85 -41 -2 -0.05
1219 A Oakland 89-66 23 1 0.82
1229 A Indiana St **-64 41 2 0.28
102 H Murray St **-** -193 -1 -0.72
104 H Belmont 68-75 -7 0 -1.63
108 A Ill-Chicago 75-61 14 1 1.14
111 A Evansville 82-71 11 2 0.42
115 A Valparaiso 93-74 19 4 0.00
122 H Ill-Chicago 64-76 -12 1 - -2.88
125 A Indiana St 85-69 16 2 0.28
129 A No Iowa 59-55 4 0 1.89
201 A Bradley 58-54 4 0 1.83
207 A Drake 77-70 7 1 0.97
213 H So Illinois 60-84 -24 2 - -3.76
215 A Evansville 88-75 13 2 0.42
220 A Belmont 83-78 5 0 + 2.39
222 H Murray St 62-73 -11 -1 -0.72
226 A So Illinois 78-60 18 2 0.26
228 A Valparaiso 83-42 41 4 0.00
305 H Drake 55-73 -18 1 - -3.05
308 A Bradley 66-65 1 0 0.83
313 A Drake 69-62 7 1 0.97
314 H Evansville 70-75 -5 2 - -3.60
322 A UTRGV 81-52 29 1 1.24
327 A Abilene Chr 59-55 4 0 1.87
401 A So Dakota 67-60 7 0 + 2.22
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 H Wake Forest 44-57 -13 0 - -2.16 1203 H No Iowa 54-68 -14 0 - -2.13 122 H Ill-Chicago 64-76 -12 1 - -2.88 213 H So Illinois 60-84 -24 2 - -3.76 305 H Drake 55-73 -18 1 - -3.05 314 H Evansville 70-75 -5 2 - -3.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 A Belmont 83-78 5 0 + 2.39 401 A So Dakota 67-60 7 0 + 2.22 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 87-76 -5.58 5.38 0.01 0.84 9.09
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 65-75 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 0.84 -1.35
3 A Chicago St ( 6-20, 91.1) **-52 -8.82 2.14 0.01 0.84 3.62
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 59-44 -5.87 5.09 0.01 0.84 8.60
3 A St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 81-75 -6.19 4.77 0.01 0.84 8.05
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 72-75 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.84 -1.63
3 H Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 66-73 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 0.84 -2.21
3 H Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 44-57 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.84 -2.39
3 H No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 54-68 -5.63 5.33 -0.01 0.84 -2.38
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 64-46 -7.99 2.97 0.01 0.84 5.03
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 44-85 -3.55 7.41 -0.01 0.84 -1.50
3 A Oakland (10-21, 93.2) 89-66 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.84 7.19
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) **-64 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.84 6.28
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) **-** -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.84 -1.78
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 68-75 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.84 -2.17
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 75-61 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.84 7.73
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 82-71 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.84 6.51
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 93-74 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.84 2.24
3 H Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 64-76 -6.38 4.58 -0.01 0.84 -2.70
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 85-69 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.84 6.28
3 A No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 59-55 -5.63 5.33 0.01 0.84 9.00
3 A Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 58-54 -5.70 5.27 0.01 0.84 8.89
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 77-70 -6.55 4.41 0.01 0.84 7.44
3 H So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 60-84 -7.26 3.70 -0.01 0.84 -3.07
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 88-75 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.84 6.51
3 A Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 83-78 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.84 9.84
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 62-73 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.84 -1.78
3 A So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 78-60 -7.26 3.70 0.01 0.84 6.25
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 83-42 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.84 2.24
3 H Drake (12-20, 93.3) 55-73 -6.55 4.41 -0.01 0.84 -2.77
3 A Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 66-65 -5.70 5.27 0.01 0.84 8.89
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 69-62 -6.55 4.41 0.01 0.84 7.44
3 H Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 70-75 -7.11 3.85 -0.01 0.84 -3.00
3 A UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 81-52 -6.29 4.67 0.01 0.84 7.90
3 A Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 59-55 -5.65 5.31 0.01 0.84 8.97
3 A So Dakota (24-10, 94.6) 67-60 -5.31 5.65 0.01 0.84 9.54
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134.82
|
winning pts = 163.5481 losing points = -28.7270
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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