Jacksonville
W-L: (22- 9) PR = 94.5821Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 86-84 1110 H Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 55-** 1116 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 69-64 1122 A Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 80-69 1202 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 70-63 1206 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 68-51 1214 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 49-89 1217 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 40-76 1230 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 95-53 101 H Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 65-71 103 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-59 108 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 91-40 110 H We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 59-74 115 A Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 96-86 117 H No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 79-83 122 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 63-82 124 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 73-49 129 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-54 131 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 70-68 205 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 82-61 207 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 81-70 212 A Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 76-70 214 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 58-52 219 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 84-49 221 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 70-61 225 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 81-85 227 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 79-71 305 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 86-77 307 A Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 67-58 309 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 66-63 320 H LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 58-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Char So 86-84 2 3 0.00
1110 H Florida 55-** -45 -1 -0.81
1116 A Georgia Tech 69-64 5 -1 + 2.59
1122 A Florida Int 80-69 11 0 1.77
1202 A Florida A&M 70-63 7 3 0.00
1206 A Coastal Car 68-51 17 1 0.99
1214 H TCU 49-89 -40 -3 0.00
1217 H Texas Tech 40-76 -36 -2 -0.00
1230 A Beth-Cook 95-53 42 4 0.00
101 H Austin Peay 65-71 -6 1 - -2.92
103 A Lipscomb 72-59 13 2 0.00
108 A Queens Univ 91-40 51 3 0.00
110 H We Georgia 59-74 -15 1 - -3.32
115 A Ce Arkansas 96-86 10 0 1.54
117 H No Alabama 79-83 -4 1 - -3.19
122 H Ea Kentucky 63-82 -19 0 - -2.18
124 A Bellarmine 73-49 24 4 0.00
129 A Lipscomb 72-54 18 2 0.00
131 A Austin Peay 70-68 2 1 1.10
205 A We Georgia 82-61 21 1 0.70
207 A Fl Gulf Co 81-70 11 1 1.23
212 A Stetson 76-70 6 1 1.36
214 A No Florida 58-52 6 2 0.00
219 A Queens Univ 84-49 35 3 0.00
221 A Fl Gulf Co 70-61 9 1 1.23
225 H Stetson 81-85 -4 1 - -2.66
227 A No Florida 79-71 8 2 0.00
305 A We Georgia 86-77 9 1 0.70
307 A Ce Arkansas 67-58 9 0 1.54
309 A Austin Peay 66-63 3 1 1.10
320 H LSU 58-** -58 -4 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 101 H Austin Peay 65-71 -6 1 - -2.92 110 H We Georgia 59-74 -15 1 - -3.32 117 H No Alabama 79-83 -4 1 - -3.19 122 H Ea Kentucky 63-82 -19 0 - -2.18 225 H Stetson 81-85 -4 1 - -2.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 A Georgia Tech 69-64 5 -1 + 2.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 86-84 -8.11 2.85 0.01 0.98 5.60
3 H Florida (18-15, 95.8) 55-** -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.98 -2.02
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 69-64 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.98 12.21
3 A Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 80-69 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.98 10.59
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 70-63 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.98 5.37
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 68-51 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.98 9.08
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 49-89 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.98 -1.12
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 40-76 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 0.98 -1.63
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 95-53 -8.95 2.01 0.01 0.98 3.95
3 H Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 65-71 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 0.98 -3.05
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-59 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.98 7.00
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 91-40 -8.02 2.94 0.01 0.98 5.78
3 H We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 59-74 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 0.98 -3.25
3 A Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 96-86 -5.79 5.17 0.01 0.98 10.14
3 H No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 79-83 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 0.98 -3.19
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 63-82 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 0.98 -2.69
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 73-49 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.98 3.63
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 72-54 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.98 7.00
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 70-68 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.98 9.29
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 82-61 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.98 8.51
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 81-70 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.98 9.54
3 A Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 76-70 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.98 9.80
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 58-52 -7.58 3.38 0.01 0.98 6.65
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 84-49 -8.02 2.94 0.01 0.98 5.78
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 70-61 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.98 9.54
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 81-85 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.98 -2.93
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 79-71 -7.58 3.38 0.01 0.98 6.65
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 86-77 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.98 8.51
3 A Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 67-58 -5.79 5.17 0.01 0.98 10.14
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 66-63 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.98 9.29
3 H LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 58-** -1.71 9.25 -0.01 0.98 -0.84
------
153.33
|
winning pts = 174.0424 losing points = -20.7119
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------