Lafayette
W-L: (12-18) PR = 92.5274Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 38-70 1106 H Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 58-65 1113 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 76-58 1116 A St Francis NE S ( 3-20, 90.5) 69-55 1120 A Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 56-53 1125 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 76-59 1130 H NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 60-71 1204 H FDU NE (22- 5, 94.1) 61-69 1207 H Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 76-79 1220 H Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 45-54 1231 H Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 57-63 103 A Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 63-52 107 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 65-64 110 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 58-97 114 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 62-49 114 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 62-49 117 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 48-70 121 H Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 55-66 124 H Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 48-62 128 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 65-56 131 H American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 60-70 204 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 46-62 207 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 50-62 211 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 58-65 214 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 73-59 218 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 44-53 221 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 56-41 228 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 42-61 304 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 66-55 309 H Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 57-65
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Villanova 38-70 -32 -4 0.00
1106 H Rider 58-65 -7 1 - -3.23
1113 A St Peters 76-58 18 1 0.71
1116 A St Francis 69-55 14 2 0.00
1120 A Wagner 56-53 3 1 1.30
1125 A Pittsburgh 76-59 17 0 + 2.45
1130 H NJ Tech 60-71 -11 -1 -0.88
1204 H FDU 61-69 -8 -2 -0.45
1207 H Marist 76-79 -3 0 - -2.44
1220 H Rutgers 45-54 -9 -2 0.00
1231 H Colgate 57-63 -6 1 - -2.67
103 A Loyola-MD 63-52 11 0 + 2.25
107 A Boston Univ 65-64 1 0 1.04
110 H Navy 58-97 -39 -2 -0.46
114 A Bucknell 62-49 13 0 1.89
114 A Bucknell 62-49 13 0 1.89
117 H Holy Cross 48-70 -22 -2 -0.44
121 H Boston Univ 55-66 -11 0 -1.98
124 H Lehigh 48-62 -14 -1 -1.13
128 A Bucknell 65-56 9 0 1.89
131 H American 60-70 -10 1 - -2.51
204 H Navy 46-62 -16 -2 -0.46
207 H Army 50-62 -12 -2 -0.10
211 H Loyola-MD 58-65 -7 0 -1.77
214 A Lehigh 73-59 14 -1 + 2.89
218 H Holy Cross 44-53 -9 -2 -0.44
221 A American 56-41 15 0 1.51
228 H Army 42-61 -19 -2 -0.10
304 A Colgate 66-55 11 1 1.35
309 H Army 57-65 -8 -2 -0.10
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1106 H Rider 58-65 -7 1 - -3.23 1207 H Marist 76-79 -3 0 - -2.44 1231 H Colgate 57-63 -6 1 - -2.67 131 H American 60-70 -10 1 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 A Pittsburgh 76-59 17 0 + 2.45 103 A Loyola-MD 63-52 11 0 + 2.25 214 A Lehigh 73-59 14 -1 + 2.89 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 38-70 -3.60 7.36 -0.01 1.01 -1.82
3 H Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 58-65 -8.59 2.37 -0.01 1.01 -4.35
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 76-58 -8.67 2.29 0.01 1.01 4.65
3 A St Francis ( 3-20, 90.5) 69-55 -9.41 1.55 0.01 1.01 3.17
3 A Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 56-53 -8.08 2.88 0.01 1.01 5.84
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 76-59 -6.94 4.02 0.01 1.01 8.16
3 H NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 60-71 -6.24 4.72 -0.01 1.01 -3.16
3 H FDU (22- 5, 94.1) 61-69 -5.81 5.15 -0.01 1.01 -2.95
3 H Marist (11-21, 92.1) 76-79 -7.80 3.16 -0.01 1.01 -3.95
3 H Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 45-54 -5.35 5.61 -0.01 1.01 -2.71
3 H Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 57-63 -8.03 2.93 -0.01 1.01 -4.07
3 A Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 63-52 -7.13 3.83 0.01 1.01 7.77
3 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 65-64 -7.34 3.62 0.01 1.01 7.34
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 58-97 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.01 -2.95
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 62-49 -7.49 3.47 0.01 1.01 7.04
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 62-49 -7.49 3.47 0.01 1.01 7.04
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 48-70 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 1.01 -2.94
3 H Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 55-66 -7.34 3.62 -0.01 1.01 -3.72
3 H Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 48-62 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 1.01 -3.29
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 65-56 -7.49 3.47 0.01 1.01 7.04
3 H American ( 7-24, 92.0) 60-70 -7.88 3.08 -0.01 1.01 -3.99
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 46-62 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.01 -2.95
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 50-62 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 1.01 -2.77
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 58-65 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 1.01 -3.61
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 73-59 -6.49 4.47 0.01 1.01 9.06
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 44-53 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 1.01 -2.94
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 56-41 -7.88 3.08 0.01 1.01 6.26
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 42-61 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 1.01 -2.77
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 66-55 -8.03 2.93 0.01 1.01 5.94
3 H Army (26- 7, 94.4) 57-65 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 1.01 -2.77
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21.60
|
winning pts = 79.3032 losing points = -57.7075
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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