LB St
W-L: ( 4-24) PR = 91.7708Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 39-72 1112 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 60-83 1115 H Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 54-57 1120 H San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 55-68 1123 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 55-71 1204 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 52-67 1206 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 45-75 1211 H Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 58-94 1220 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 44-** 1222 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 43-64 103 H Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 49-63 108 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 59-78 110 H CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 48-75 115 H Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 59-77 117 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 62-61 122 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 66-84 124 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 56-72 129 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 75-72 201 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 44-67 205 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 53-64 212 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 62-70 214 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 66-77 219 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 62-77 221 H Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 75-85 226 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 67-57 228 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 72-62 305 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 56-59 307 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 39-74
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Wyoming 39-72 -33 -2 -0.49
1112 H Cal Baptist 60-83 -23 -3 0.00
1115 H Sacra St 54-57 -3 -2 -0.41
1120 H San Fran 55-68 -13 -3 0.00
1123 H Oregon State 55-71 -16 -4 0.00
1204 H Santa Barbara 52-67 -15 -2 0.00
1206 H UC San Diego 45-75 -30 -3 0.00
1211 H Portland 58-94 -36 -3 0.00
1220 H UCLA 44-** -62 -8 0.00
1222 H Toledo 43-64 -21 -2 0.00
103 H Cal Poly 49-63 -14 1 - -2.66
108 H UC Irvine 59-78 -19 -3 0.00
110 H CS Baker 48-75 -27 0 -1.74
115 H Ca Riverside 59-77 -18 -1 -0.99
117 A Northridge 62-61 1 -1 1.78
122 H CS Fullerton 66-84 -18 -2 -0.46
124 H Santa Barbara 56-72 -16 -2 0.00
129 A Ca Riverside 75-72 3 -1 + 3.03
201 H Hawaii 44-67 -23 -2 0.00
205 H UC San Diego 53-64 -11 -3 0.00
212 H CS Fullerton 62-70 -8 -2 -0.46
214 H UC Davis 66-77 -11 -2 0.00
219 H UC Irvine 62-77 -15 -3 0.00
221 H Northridge 75-85 -10 -1 -1.24
226 A Cal Poly 67-57 10 1 1.36
228 A CS Baker 72-62 10 0 + 2.28
305 H UC Davis 56-59 -3 -2 0.00
307 H Hawaii 39-74 -35 -2 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H Cal Poly 49-63 -14 1 - -2.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 129 A Ca Riverside 75-72 3 -1 + 3.03 228 A CS Baker 72-62 10 0 + 2.28 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 39-72 -6.61 4.35 -0.01 1.08 -3.59
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 60-83 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.08 -3.00
3 H Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 54-57 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 1.08 -3.54
3 H San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 55-68 -5.44 5.52 -0.01 1.08 -2.95
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 55-71 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 1.08 -2.50
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 52-67 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 45-75 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.08 -2.94
3 H Portland (18-15, 94.5) 58-94 -5.37 5.59 -0.01 1.08 -2.92
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 44-** -0.00 10.96 -0.01 1.08 -0.01
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 43-64 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 1.08 -3.23
3 H Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 49-63 -8.78 2.18 -0.01 1.08 -4.77
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 59-78 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.08 -2.86
3 H CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 48-75 -7.86 3.10 -0.01 1.08 -4.27
3 H Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 59-77 -7.11 3.86 -0.01 1.08 -3.86
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 62-61 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.08 7.84
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 66-84 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 56-72 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 75-72 -7.11 3.86 0.01 1.08 8.38
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 44-67 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.08 -3.08
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 53-64 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.08 -2.94
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 62-70 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 66-77 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 62-77 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.08 -2.86
3 H Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 75-85 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.08 -3.99
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 67-57 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.08 4.74
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 72-62 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.08 6.74
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 56-59 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 39-74 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.08 -3.08
------
-48.52
|
winning pts = 27.6961 losing points = -76.2124
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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