Longwood
W-L: (20- 9) PR = 93.5269Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1108 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 80-42 1112 H Navy PAT (22- 9, 94.1) 66-74 1117 A George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 71-62 1120 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 47-94 1124 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 50-** 1127 A Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 68-64 1129 A SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 68-60 1203 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 83-86 1214 A Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 67-66 1221 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 98-72 103 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 89-56 107 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 83-63 110 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 67-58 114 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) **-79 114 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) **-79 117 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 54-68 121 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 63-78 123 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 74-50 128 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 76-70 204 A Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 88-73 207 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 72-60 211 A High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 75-73 214 H Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 65-75 218 H Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 51-53 221 H SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) **-65 225 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 96-69 228 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 89-57 305 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 72-58 307 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 58-81
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A We Kentucky 80-42 38 1 1.24
1112 H Navy 66-74 -8 -1 -1.46
1117 A George Wash 71-62 9 -1 + 2.72
1120 H Virginia 47-94 -47 -3 0.00
1124 H Ole Miss 50-** -52 -4 0.00
1127 A Buffalo 68-64 4 2 0.09
1129 A SF Austin 68-60 8 0 + 2.41
1203 H Troy 83-86 -3 -2 -0.16
1214 A Elon 67-66 1 0 0.51
1221 A UNC-Wilm 98-72 26 2 0.04
103 A Presbyterian 89-56 33 4 0.00
107 A Char So 83-63 20 2 0.27
110 A UNC-Ash 67-58 9 2 0.02
114 A Winthrop **-79 21 1 0.69
114 A Winthrop **-79 21 1 0.69
117 H High Point 54-68 -14 -1 -1.35
121 H Radford 63-78 -15 0 - -2.05
123 A SC Upstate 74-50 24 2 0.00
128 A Gardner-Webb 76-70 6 2 0.40
204 A Radford 88-73 15 0 1.97
207 A UNC-Ash 72-60 12 2 0.02
211 A High Point 75-73 2 -1 + 2.67
214 H Winthrop 65-75 -10 1 - -3.33
218 H Gardner-Webb 51-53 -2 2 - -3.62
221 H SC Upstate **-65 55 2 0.00
225 A Char So 96-69 27 2 0.27
228 A Presbyterian 89-57 32 4 0.00
305 A UNC-Ash 72-58 14 2 0.02
307 H Radford 58-81 -23 0 - -2.05
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 121 H Radford 63-78 -15 0 - -2.05 214 H Winthrop 65-75 -10 1 - -3.33 218 H Gardner-Webb 51-53 -2 2 - -3.62 307 H Radford 58-81 -23 0 - -2.05 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1117 A George Wash 71-62 9 -1 + 2.72 1129 A SF Austin 68-60 8 0 + 2.41 211 A High Point 75-73 2 -1 + 2.67 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 80-42 -7.15 3.81 0.01 1.05 8.00
3 H Navy (22- 9, 94.1) 66-74 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 1.05 -3.05
3 A George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 71-62 -5.66 5.30 0.01 1.05 11.10
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 47-94 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 1.05 -1.98
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 50-** -2.82 8.14 -0.01 1.05 -1.48
3 A Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 68-64 -8.29 2.67 0.01 1.05 5.61
3 A SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 68-60 -5.97 4.99 0.01 1.05 10.46
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 83-86 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.37
3 A Elon (15-16, 93.0) 67-66 -6.87 4.09 0.01 1.05 8.57
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 98-72 -8.34 2.62 0.01 1.05 5.50
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 89-56 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.05 2.21
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 83-63 -8.11 2.85 0.01 1.05 5.98
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 67-58 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.05 5.45
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) **-79 -7.69 3.27 0.01 1.05 6.86
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) **-79 -7.69 3.27 0.01 1.05 6.86
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 54-68 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 1.05 -3.00
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 63-78 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 1.05 -3.36
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 74-50 -8.38 2.58 0.01 1.05 5.42
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 76-70 -7.98 2.98 0.01 1.05 6.25
3 A Radford (23-13, 93.5) 88-73 -6.42 4.54 0.01 1.05 9.53
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 72-60 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.05 5.45
3 A High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 75-73 -5.71 5.25 0.01 1.05 11.00
3 H Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 65-75 -7.69 3.27 -0.01 1.05 -4.03
3 H Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 51-53 -7.98 2.98 -0.01 1.05 -4.18
3 H SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) **-65 -8.38 2.58 -0.01 1.05 5.38
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 96-69 -8.11 2.85 0.01 1.05 5.98
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 89-57 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.05 2.21
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 72-58 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.05 5.45
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 58-81 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 1.05 -3.36
------
106.47
|
winning pts = 133.2889 losing points = -26.8167
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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