Louisville
W-L: (29- 8) PR = 97.5260Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Connecticut BE (38- 1, 99.3) 66-79 1109 A No Kentucky HL (15-17, 93.7) 89-61 1112 A Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 74-68 1116 A Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 65-54 1119 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 96-49 1122 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 62-72 1128 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 91-38 1129 A Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 88-50 1130 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) **-37 1204 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 77-79 1207 A New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 94-43 1210 A Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 93-62 1214 A No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 76-66 1217 A Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 76-51 1220 A Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 89-65 101 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 91-58 104 A Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 85-60 108 A Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 77-68 111 A Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 86-46 115 A Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 79-66 118 A NC State ACC (21-11, 96.6) 88-80 124 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 85-56 129 A Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 84-66 201 A California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 71-59 205 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 58-59 208 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 84-65 212 A Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 86-67 215 A Florida St ACC (11-20, 94.8) 88-65 222 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 72-74 226 A Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 69-50 301 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 62-65 306 A Syracuse ACC (22-10, 96.5) 87-61 307 A No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 65-57 308 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 65-70 321 A Vermont AE (25- 8, 94.7) 72-52 323 A Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 69-68 328 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 52-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Connecticut 66-79 -13 -2 -0.19
1109 A No Kentucky 89-61 28 4 0.00
1112 A Colorado 74-68 6 1 0.86
1116 A Clemson 65-54 11 1 0.56
1119 A Morehead St 96-49 47 4 0.00
1122 H Kentucky 62-72 -10 0 - -2.24
1128 A Ea Illinois 91-38 53 6 0.00
1129 A Ea Tenn St 88-50 38 4 0.00
1130 A Bellarmine **-37 63 7 0.00
1204 H So Carolina 77-79 -2 -2 -0.38
1207 A New Hamp. 94-43 51 5 0.00
1210 A Ball St 93-62 31 2 0.00
1214 A No Carolina 76-66 10 0 1.90
1217 A Ea Kentucky 76-51 25 3 0.00
1220 A Tennessee 89-65 24 1 1.04
101 A SMU 91-58 33 4 0.00
104 A Va Tech 85-60 25 1 0.76
108 A Miami (Fl) 77-68 9 2 0.11
111 A Pittsburgh 86-46 40 5 0.00
115 A Notre Dame 79-66 13 0 1.59
118 A NC State 88-80 8 1 1.11
124 A Boston Col 85-56 29 5 0.00
129 A Stanford 84-66 18 2 0.22
201 A California 71-59 12 2 0.40
205 H Duke 58-59 -1 0 -0.94
208 A Syracuse 84-65 19 1 0.97
212 A Wake Forest 86-67 19 3 0.00
215 A Florida St 88-65 23 3 0.00
222 H Virginia 72-74 -2 1 - -3.41
226 A Georgia Tech 69-50 19 2 0.00
301 H Notre Dame 62-65 -3 0 - -2.43
306 A Syracuse 87-61 26 1 0.97
307 A No Carolina 65-57 8 0 1.90
308 H Duke 65-70 -5 0 -1.94
321 A Vermont 72-52 20 3 0.00
323 A Alabama 69-68 1 0 0.62
328 H Michigan 52-71 -19 -1 -1.49
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1122 H Kentucky 62-72 -10 0 - -2.24 222 H Virginia 72-74 -2 1 - -3.41 301 H Notre Dame 62-65 -3 0 - -2.43 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Connecticut (38- 1, 99.3) 66-79 -0.55 10.41 -0.01 0.82 -0.23
3 A No Kentucky (15-17, 93.7) 89-61 -6.21 4.75 0.01 0.82 7.81
3 A Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 74-68 -3.52 7.44 0.01 0.82 12.22
3 A Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 65-54 -3.82 7.14 0.01 0.82 11.73
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 96-49 -6.18 4.78 0.01 0.82 7.86
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 62-72 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 0.82 -1.07
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 91-38 -7.99 2.97 0.01 0.82 4.89
3 A Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 88-50 -6.76 4.20 0.01 0.82 6.91
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) **-37 -9.12 1.84 0.01 0.82 3.04
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 77-79 -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.82 -0.31
3 A New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 94-43 -7.47 3.49 0.01 0.82 5.74
3 A Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 93-62 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.82 10.19
3 A No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 76-66 -2.48 8.48 0.01 0.82 13.93
3 A Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 76-51 -5.49 5.47 0.01 0.82 8.99
3 A Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 89-65 -3.34 7.62 0.01 0.82 12.52
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 91-58 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.82 7.93
3 A Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 85-60 -3.62 7.34 0.01 0.82 12.05
3 A Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 77-68 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.82 10.98
3 A Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 86-46 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.82 6.62
3 A Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 79-66 -2.80 8.16 0.01 0.82 13.41
3 A NC State (21-11, 96.6) 88-80 -3.27 7.69 0.01 0.82 12.63
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 85-56 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.82 6.48
3 A Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 84-66 -4.17 6.79 0.01 0.82 11.16
3 A California (22-14, 95.9) 71-59 -3.99 6.97 0.01 0.82 11.45
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 58-59 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.82 -0.95
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 84-65 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.82 12.40
3 A Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 86-67 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.82 8.71
3 A Florida St (11-20, 94.8) 88-65 -5.07 5.89 0.01 0.82 9.67
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 72-74 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 0.82 -1.55
3 A Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 69-50 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.82 10.23
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 62-65 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 0.82 -1.15
3 A Syracuse (22-10, 96.5) 87-61 -3.41 7.55 0.01 0.82 12.40
3 A No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 65-57 -2.48 8.48 0.01 0.82 13.93
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 65-70 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 0.82 -0.95
3 A Vermont (25- 8, 94.7) 72-52 -5.20 5.76 0.01 0.82 9.46
3 A Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 69-68 -2.77 8.19 0.01 0.82 13.46
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 52-71 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 0.82 -0.77
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281.83
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winning pts = 288.8035 losing points = -6.9777
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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