Saint Marys
W-L: (13-17) PR = 93.8714Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 56-47 1114 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 51-41 1116 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 56-50 1120 H California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 62-70 1125 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 53-71 1126 H No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 1202 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 33-79 1204 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 58-53 1207 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 62-54 1210 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 60-57 1220 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 70-59 1228 H Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 59-63 1230 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 57-63 102 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 52-60 104 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 57-49 108 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 60-55 115 H Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 64-68 117 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 63-68 122 A Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 53-51 124 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 67-53 129 H Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 42-68 205 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 69-75 207 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 72-55 212 H Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 53-56 216 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 86-59 219 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 55-63 221 H San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 60-61 226 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 67-75 228 H Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 50-57 305 H San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 62-66
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 A Wyoming 56-47 9 1 1.43
1114 A Ca Riverside 51-41 10 1 0.93
1116 A Nevada 56-50 6 1 1.37
1120 H California 62-70 -8 -2 0.00
1125 H Oregon 53-71 -18 -3 0.00
1202 H USC 33-79 -46 -3 0.00
1204 A San Jose St 58-53 5 2 0.22
1207 A Grand Canyon 62-54 8 0 + 2.26
1210 A Fresno St 60-57 3 0 1.79
1220 A NM St 70-59 11 1 0.85
1228 H Portland 59-63 -4 -1 -1.35
1230 H Oregon State 57-63 -6 -1 -0.59
102 H Pepperdine 52-60 -8 -1 -1.38
104 A San Diego 57-49 8 1 1.42
108 A Pacific 60-55 5 0 1.87
115 H Wash St 64-68 -4 0 - -2.29
117 H Santa Clara 63-68 -5 -1 -0.74
122 A Pepperdine 53-51 2 -1 + 2.64
124 A Seattle 67-53 14 2 0.00
129 H Portland 42-68 -26 -1 -1.35
205 H Loyola Marym 69-75 -6 -1 -1.17
207 A San Fran 72-55 17 -1 + 2.60
212 H Pacific 53-56 -3 0 - -2.15
216 A Seattle 86-59 27 2 0.00
219 H Santa Clara 55-63 -8 -1 -0.74
221 H San Fran 60-61 -1 -1 -0.42
226 H Gonzaga 67-75 -8 -2 -0.29
228 H Wash St 50-57 -7 0 - -2.29
305 H San Diego 62-66 -4 1 - -2.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H Wash St 64-68 -4 0 - -2.29 212 H Pacific 53-56 -3 0 - -2.15 228 H Wash St 50-57 -7 0 - -2.29 305 H San Diego 62-66 -4 1 - -2.60 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1207 A Grand Canyon 62-54 8 0 + 2.26 122 A Pepperdine 53-51 2 -1 + 2.64 207 A San Fran 72-55 17 -1 + 2.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 56-47 -6.61 4.35 0.01 1.05 9.13
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 51-41 -7.11 3.86 0.01 1.05 8.09
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 56-50 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.05 9.01
3 H California (22-14, 95.9) 62-70 -3.99 6.97 -0.01 1.05 -2.09
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 53-71 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 1.05 -1.51
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 33-79 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 1.05 -1.60
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 58-53 -7.82 3.14 0.01 1.05 6.60
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 62-54 -5.77 5.19 0.01 1.05 10.87
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 60-57 -6.25 4.71 0.01 1.05 9.88
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 70-59 -7.19 3.77 0.01 1.05 7.91
3 H Portland (18-15, 94.5) 59-63 -5.37 5.59 -0.01 1.05 -2.82
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 57-63 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 1.05 -2.42
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 52-60 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 1.05 -2.83
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 57-49 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.05 9.10
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 60-55 -6.17 4.79 0.01 1.05 10.05
3 H Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 64-68 -6.31 4.65 -0.01 1.05 -3.31
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 63-68 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.05 -2.50
3 A Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 53-51 -5.40 5.56 0.01 1.05 11.66
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 67-53 -8.10 2.86 0.01 1.05 6.01
3 H Portland (18-15, 94.5) 42-68 -5.37 5.59 -0.01 1.05 -2.82
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 69-75 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 1.05 -2.72
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 72-55 -5.44 5.52 0.01 1.05 11.58
3 H Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 53-56 -6.17 4.79 -0.01 1.05 -3.23
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 86-59 -8.10 2.86 0.01 1.05 6.01
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 55-63 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.05 -2.50
3 H San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 60-61 -5.44 5.52 -0.01 1.05 -2.85
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 67-75 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 1.05 -2.26
3 H Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 50-57 -6.31 4.65 -0.01 1.05 -3.31
3 H San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 62-66 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.05 -3.47
------
73.69
|
winning pts = 115.9174 losing points = -42.2313
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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