Mercer
W-L: (16-13) PR = 92.9390Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A UNC-Ash BSO (11-19, 91.5) 48-39 1106 H Clemson ACC (21-12, 96.1) 51-72 1110 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 61-56 1113 H Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 61-66 1119 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 78-68 1122 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 72-93 1125 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 75-59 1128 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 71-45 1203 H Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 49-71 1206 H Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 62-72 1214 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 66-43 1220 A Detroit HL ( 7-24, 92.3) 64-55 1221 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 70-67 102 A AUB-M 66-55 108 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 84-75 110 H UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 59-76 117 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 76-67 122 H Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 49-60 124 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 64-67 130 H Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 59-72 205 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 67-58 207 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 61-51 210 A Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 50-45 214 H Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 48-68 219 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 58-72 221 A Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 80-63 226 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 51-58 228 A Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 68-55 305 H Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 45-66
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A UNC-Ash 48-39 9 1 0.60
1106 H Clemson 51-72 -21 -3 0.00
1110 A Gardner-Webb 61-56 5 1 0.99
1113 H Wake Forest 61-66 -5 -1 -0.71
1119 A Jackson St 78-68 10 1 1.00
1122 H Georgia So 72-93 -21 -2 0.00
1125 A Florida A&M 75-59 16 1 0.74
1128 A Char So 71-45 26 1 0.86
1203 H Campbell 49-71 -22 -1 -1.49
1206 H Jacksonv St 62-72 -10 0 -1.58
1214 A Miss Val St 66-43 23 2 0.38
1220 A Detroit 64-55 9 1 1.38
1221 A Tulane 70-67 3 -1 + 2.61
108 A We Carolina 84-75 9 3 0.00
110 H UNCG 59-76 -17 1 - -2.71
117 A Samford 76-67 9 0 1.89
122 H Furman 49-60 -11 0 -1.80
124 H Wofford 64-67 -3 0 -1.78
130 H Chattanooga 59-72 -13 -1 -1.32
205 A UNCG 67-58 9 1 1.31
207 A We Carolina 61-51 10 3 0.00
210 A Ea Tenn St 50-45 5 0 + 2.21
214 H Samford 48-68 -20 0 - -2.13
219 H Wofford 58-72 -14 0 -1.78
221 A Furman 80-63 17 0 + 2.22
226 H Ea Tenn St 51-58 -7 0 -1.81
228 A Chattanooga 68-55 13 -1 + 2.70
305 H Furman 45-66 -21 0 -1.80
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H UNCG 59-76 -17 1 - -2.71 214 H Samford 48-68 -20 0 - -2.13 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1221 A Tulane 70-67 3 -1 + 2.61 210 A Ea Tenn St 50-45 5 0 + 2.21 221 A Furman 80-63 17 0 + 2.22 228 A Chattanooga 68-55 13 -1 + 2.70 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNC-Ash (11-19, 91.5) 48-39 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.08 5.65
3 H Clemson (21-12, 96.1) 51-72 -3.82 7.14 -0.01 1.08 -2.08
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 61-56 -7.98 2.98 0.01 1.08 6.47
3 H Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 61-66 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.08 -3.07
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 78-68 -7.97 2.99 0.01 1.08 6.50
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 72-93 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 1.08 -2.52
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 75-59 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.08 5.95
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 71-45 -8.11 2.85 0.01 1.08 6.20
3 H Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 49-71 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 1.08 -3.50
3 H Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 62-72 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 1.08 -3.54
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 66-43 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.08 5.16
3 A Detroit ( 7-24, 92.3) 64-55 -7.59 3.37 0.01 1.08 7.32
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 70-67 -6.36 4.60 0.01 1.08 9.99
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 84-75 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.08 2.19
3 H UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 59-76 -7.66 3.30 -0.01 1.08 -4.16
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 76-67 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.08 8.43
3 H Furman (16-13, 93.2) 49-60 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.08 -3.66
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 64-67 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 1.08 -3.65
3 H Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 59-72 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 1.08 -3.41
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 67-58 -7.66 3.30 0.01 1.08 7.18
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 61-51 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.08 2.19
3 A Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 50-45 -6.76 4.20 0.01 1.08 9.13
3 H Samford (14-19, 92.8) 48-68 -7.08 3.88 -0.01 1.08 -3.84
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 58-72 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 1.08 -3.65
3 A Furman (16-13, 93.2) 80-63 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.08 9.16
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 51-58 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.08 -3.67
3 A Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 68-55 -6.27 4.69 0.01 1.08 10.18
3 H Furman (16-13, 93.2) 45-66 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.08 -3.66
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57.28
|
winning pts = 101.6919 losing points = -44.4142
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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