Merrimack
W-L: (18-14) PR = 92.9036Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 46-84 1112 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 69-82 1115 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 83-65 1119 H Bryant AE (17-11, 93.5) 73-80 1125 H Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 72-77 1202 A Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 59-57 1205 H New Hamp. AE ( 9-20, 92.4) 61-65 1209 H Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 60-70 1221 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 65-84 1229 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 60-56 101 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 72-54 103 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 67-59 108 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 59-57 110 A Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 82-65 114 H Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 51-58 114 H Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 51-58 119 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 61-75 122 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 66-59 124 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 81-68 129 A Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 87-63 131 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 53-80 205 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 69-47 207 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 73-37 212 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 77-72 214 A Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 79-60 219 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 62-57 221 H Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 67-82 226 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 71-55 228 A Niagara MAAC ( 2-27, 89.8) 60-44 307 A Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 62-48 308 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 48-65 319 H NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 65-68
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H Rhode Island 46-84 -38 -3 0.00
1112 H High Point 69-82 -13 -1 -0.73
1115 A Northeastern 83-65 18 1 1.21
1119 H Bryant 73-80 -7 -1 -1.37
1125 H Boston Col 72-77 -5 0 - -2.03
1202 A Dartmouth 59-57 2 0 1.62
1205 H New Hamp. 61-65 -4 0 - -2.48
1209 H Brown 60-70 -10 -1 -0.77
1221 H Fairfield 65-84 -19 -3 0.00
1229 A Mt St Marys 60-56 4 1 1.29
101 A Rider 72-54 18 2 0.42
103 A St Peters 67-59 8 2 0.34
108 A Marist 59-57 2 1 1.21
110 A Siena 82-65 17 1 0.93
114 H Iona 51-58 -7 0 - -2.08
114 H Iona 51-58 -7 0 - -2.08
119 H Quinnipiac 61-75 -14 -1 -0.57
122 A St Peters 66-59 7 2 0.34
124 A Mt St Marys 81-68 13 1 1.29
129 A Iona 87-63 24 0 1.94
131 H Quinnipiac 53-80 -27 -1 -0.57
205 A Sacred Heart 69-47 22 1 1.12
207 A Rider 73-37 36 2 0.42
212 A Marist 77-72 5 1 1.21
214 A Siena 79-60 19 1 0.93
219 A Sacred Heart 62-57 5 1 1.12
221 H Manhattan 67-82 -15 1 - -2.71
226 A Canisius 71-55 16 2 0.00
228 A Niagara 60-44 16 3 0.00
307 A Mt St Marys 62-48 14 1 1.29
308 H Fairfield 48-65 -17 -3 0.00
319 H NJ Tech 65-68 -3 -1 -1.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1125 H Boston Col 72-77 -5 0 - -2.03 1205 H New Hamp. 61-65 -4 0 - -2.48 114 H Iona 51-58 -7 0 - -2.08 114 H Iona 51-58 -7 0 - -2.08 221 H Manhattan 67-82 -15 1 - -2.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 46-84 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 69-82 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 0.95 -2.71
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 83-65 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.95 6.01
3 H Bryant (17-11, 93.5) 73-80 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 0.95 -3.02
3 H Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 72-77 -7.02 3.94 -0.01 0.95 -3.33
3 A Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 59-57 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.79
3 H New Hamp. ( 9-20, 92.4) 61-65 -7.47 3.49 -0.01 0.95 -3.55
3 H Brown (14-11, 94.1) 60-70 -5.76 5.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.73
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 65-84 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.95 -1.95
3 A Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 60-56 -7.71 3.25 0.01 0.95 6.18
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 72-54 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.95 4.51
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 67-59 -8.67 2.29 0.01 0.95 4.36
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) 59-57 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.95 6.02
3 A Siena (13-18, 91.8) 82-65 -8.08 2.88 0.01 0.95 5.49
3 H Iona (21-12, 92.8) 51-58 -7.07 3.89 -0.01 0.95 -3.36
3 H Iona (21-12, 92.8) 51-58 -7.07 3.89 -0.01 0.95 -3.36
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 61-75 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 0.95 -2.64
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 66-59 -8.67 2.29 0.01 0.95 4.36
3 A Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 81-68 -7.71 3.25 0.01 0.95 6.18
3 A Iona (21-12, 92.8) 87-63 -7.07 3.89 0.01 0.95 7.40
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 53-80 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 0.95 -2.64
3 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 69-47 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.95 5.85
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 73-37 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.95 4.51
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) 77-72 -7.80 3.16 0.01 0.95 6.02
3 A Siena (13-18, 91.8) 79-60 -8.08 2.88 0.01 0.95 5.49
3 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 62-57 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.95 5.85
3 H Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 67-82 -7.70 3.26 -0.01 0.95 -3.66
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 71-55 -9.06 1.90 0.01 0.95 3.62
3 A Niagara ( 2-27, 89.8) 60-44 -10.13 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.92
3 A Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 62-48 -7.71 3.25 0.01 0.95 6.18
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 48-65 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.95 -1.95
3 H NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 65-68 -6.24 4.72 -0.01 0.95 -2.96
------
57.05
|
winning pts = 96.7314 losing points = -39.6836
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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