Monmouth 
W-L: (19-13) PR = 93.3621
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1106 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 49-**
1111 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 66-71
1120 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 44-57
1124 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 72-64
1129 H FDU NE (22- 5, 94.1) 50-63
1203 A NJ Tech AE (19-13, 93.7) 77-68
1207 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 66-38
1218 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 50-46
1220 A CHEYN **-53
1229 A GEOCT 74-40
102 A Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 77-62
104 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 61-55
109 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 52-50
111 H Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 67-72
116 A Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 56-53
118 A Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 72-31
128 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 65-56
130 H Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 53-56
201 H Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 51-61
206 A Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 59-54
208 A Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 62-90
213 H Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 60-68
215 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 69-57
220 A Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 63-58
222 A Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 64-57
227 H NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 65-71
301 H Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 44-45
305 A Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 83-77
312 A UNC-Wilm CA ( 6-24, 91.6) 72-61
313 H Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 45-51
319 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 72-62
323 H Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 68-74
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1106 H Kentucky 49-** -55 -4 0.00
1111 H MD-Ea Shore 66-71 -5 0 - -2.01
1120 H Howard 44-57 -13 -1 -0.74
1124 A Marist 72-64 8 1 0.75
1129 H FDU 50-63 -13 -1 -1.29
1203 A NJ Tech 77-68 9 0 + 2.31
1207 A St Peters 66-38 28 2 0.00
1218 A Yale 50-46 4 1 1.14
102 A Elon 77-62 15 0 1.67
104 A NC A&T 61-55 6 1 0.81
109 A UNC-Wilm 52-50 2 2 0.21
111 H Northeastern 67-72 -5 1 - -3.27
116 A Towson 56-53 3 0 1.99
118 A Campbell 72-31 41 0 + 2.11
128 A Northeastern 65-56 9 1 0.75
130 H Drexel 53-56 -3 0 -1.56
201 H Stony Brook 51-61 -10 0 - -2.05
206 A Hofstra 59-54 5 1 1.19
208 A Drexel 62-90 -28 0 -1.54
213 H Stony Brook 60-68 -8 0 - -2.05
215 A Charlotte 69-57 12 -1 + 2.97
220 A Will&Mary 63-58 5 0 1.85
222 A Hampton 64-57 7 1 0.70
227 H NC A&T 65-71 -6 1 - -3.21
301 H Hofstra 44-45 -1 1 -1.83
305 A Towson 83-77 6 0 1.99
312 A UNC-Wilm 72-61 11 2 0.21
313 H Stony Brook 45-51 -6 0 - -2.05
319 A Lehigh 72-62 10 0 + 2.06
323 H Cleveland St 68-74 -6 -1 -1.09
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1111 H MD-Ea Shore 66-71 -5 0 - -2.01
111 H Northeastern 67-72 -5 1 - -3.27
201 H Stony Brook 51-61 -10 0 - -2.05
213 H Stony Brook 60-68 -8 0 - -2.05
227 H NC A&T 65-71 -6 1 - -3.21
313 H Stony Brook 45-51 -6 0 - -2.05
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1203 A NJ Tech 77-68 9 0 + 2.31
118 A Campbell 72-31 41 0 + 2.11
215 A Charlotte 69-57 12 -1 + 2.97
319 A Lehigh 72-62 10 0 + 2.06
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 49-** -2.61 8.36 -0.01 1.01 -1.32
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 66-71 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 44-57 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.01 -2.67
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) 72-64 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.01 6.42
3 H FDU (22- 5, 94.1) 50-63 -5.81 5.15 -0.01 1.01 -2.95
3 A NJ Tech (19-13, 93.7) 77-68 -6.24 4.72 0.01 1.01 9.56
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 66-38 -8.67 2.29 0.01 1.01 4.65
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 50-46 -7.41 3.55 0.01 1.01 7.20
3 A Elon (15-16, 93.0) 77-62 -6.87 4.09 0.01 1.01 8.29
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 61-55 -7.73 3.23 0.01 1.01 6.55
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 52-50 -8.34 2.62 0.01 1.01 5.32
3 H Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 67-72 -7.80 3.16 -0.01 1.01 -3.95
3 A Towson (16-14, 93.3) 56-53 -6.56 4.40 0.01 1.01 8.93
3 A Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 72-31 -6.44 4.52 0.01 1.01 9.16
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 65-56 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.01 6.41
3 H Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 53-56 -6.09 4.87 -0.01 1.01 -3.08
3 H Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 51-61 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 A Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 59-54 -7.36 3.60 0.01 1.01 7.30
3 A Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 62-90 -6.09 4.87 0.01 1.01 -3.07
3 H Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 60-68 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 69-57 -5.57 5.39 0.01 1.01 10.92
3 A Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 63-58 -6.70 4.26 0.01 1.01 8.64
3 A Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 64-57 -7.84 3.12 0.01 1.01 6.33
3 H NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 65-71 -7.73 3.23 -0.01 1.01 -3.92
3 H Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 44-45 -7.36 3.60 -0.01 1.01 -3.73
3 A Towson (16-14, 93.3) 83-77 -6.56 4.40 0.01 1.01 8.93
3 A UNC-Wilm ( 6-24, 91.6) 72-61 -8.34 2.62 0.01 1.01 5.32
3 H Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 45-51 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 72-62 -6.49 4.47 0.01 1.01 9.06
3 H Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 68-74 -5.62 5.34 -0.01 1.01 -2.85
------
88.14
|
winning pts = 128.9882 losing points = -40.8512
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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