Montana St
W-L: (25- 8) PR = 95.1430Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 86-72 1118 A UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 94-81 1124 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 60-74 1130 A Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 71-70 1203 H No Dakota St SM (25- 5, 95.6) 65-90 1206 A No Dakota SM ( 5-23, 91.9) 99-57 1214 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 44-69 1219 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 51-53 1220 A Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 72-56 101 A No Colorado BS (20-11, 94.2) 86-79 103 A No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 82-65 108 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 72-70 110 A Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 99-66 117 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 82-44 119 A No Colorado BS (20-11, 94.2) 71-57 122 H Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 60-79 124 A Weber St BS ( 9-21, 92.8) 92-72 129 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 66-31 131 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 91-43 205 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 70-73 207 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 71-69 214 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 72-55 219 A Weber St BS ( 9-21, 92.8) 81-36 221 A Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 67-61 226 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 66-63 228 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 61-54 302 A No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 68-48 308 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 78-57 310 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 79-77 311 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 57-60 322 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 69-53 326 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 72-54 329 H So Dakota SM (24-10, 94.6) 56-65
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Portland 86-72 14 1 1.39
1118 A UNLV 94-81 13 0 1.87
1124 H Troy 60-74 -14 0 -1.77
1130 A Colorado 71-70 1 -1 + 2.25
1203 H No Dakota St 65-90 -25 0 -1.54
1206 A No Dakota 99-57 42 3 0.00
1214 H Oregon 44-69 -25 -2 -0.13
1219 H Oregon State 51-53 -2 0 -1.86
1220 A Hawaii 72-56 16 1 1.09
101 A No Colorado 86-79 7 1 1.04
103 A No Arizona 82-65 17 2 0.00
108 A Ea Wash 72-70 2 2 0.18
110 A Idaho 99-66 33 0 1.80
117 A Montana 82-44 38 2 0.00
119 A No Colorado 71-57 14 1 1.04
122 H Idaho St 60-79 -19 1 - -2.97
124 A Weber St 92-72 20 2 0.00
129 A Sacra St 66-31 35 2 0.24
131 A Portland St 91-43 48 3 0.00
205 H Idaho 70-73 -3 0 - -2.22
207 A Ea Wash 71-69 2 2 0.18
214 A Montana 72-55 17 2 0.00
219 A Weber St 81-36 45 2 0.00
221 A Idaho St 67-61 6 1 1.05
226 A Portland St 66-63 3 3 0.00
228 A Sacra St 61-54 7 2 0.24
302 A No Arizona 68-48 20 2 0.00
308 A Montana 78-57 21 2 0.00
310 A Ea Wash 79-77 2 2 0.18
311 H Idaho 57-60 -3 0 - -2.22
322 A San Fran 69-53 16 1 1.33
326 A Portland 72-54 18 1 1.39
329 H So Dakota 56-65 -9 1 - -2.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 122 H Idaho St 60-79 -19 1 - -2.97 205 H Idaho 70-73 -3 0 - -2.22 311 H Idaho 57-60 -3 0 - -2.22 329 H So Dakota 56-65 -9 1 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 A Colorado 71-70 1 -1 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 86-72 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.92 10.29
3 A UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 94-81 -4.90 6.06 0.01 0.92 11.17
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 60-74 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 0.92 -2.08
3 A Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 71-70 -3.52 7.44 0.01 0.92 13.70
3 H No Dakota St (25- 5, 95.6) 65-90 -4.28 6.68 -0.01 0.92 -1.97
3 A No Dakota ( 5-23, 91.9) 99-57 -8.01 2.95 0.01 0.92 5.45
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 44-69 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 0.92 -1.33
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 51-53 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.92 -2.12
3 A Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 72-56 -5.68 5.28 0.01 0.92 9.74
3 A No Colorado (20-11, 94.2) 86-79 -5.73 5.23 0.01 0.92 9.65
3 A No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 82-65 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.26
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 72-70 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.92 8.07
3 A Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 99-66 -4.96 6.00 0.01 0.92 11.05
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 82-44 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.26
3 A No Colorado (20-11, 94.2) 71-57 -5.73 5.23 0.01 0.92 9.65
3 H Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 60-79 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 0.92 -2.64
3 A Weber St ( 9-21, 92.8) 92-72 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.92 7.16
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 66-31 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.92 8.16
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 91-43 -7.87 3.09 0.01 0.92 5.70
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 70-73 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 0.92 -2.29
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 71-69 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.92 8.07
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 72-55 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.26
3 A Weber St ( 9-21, 92.8) 81-36 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.92 7.16
3 A Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 67-61 -5.72 5.24 0.01 0.92 9.65
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 66-63 -7.87 3.09 0.01 0.92 5.70
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 61-54 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.92 8.16
3 A No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 68-48 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.26
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 78-57 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.26
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 79-77 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.92 8.07
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 57-60 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 0.92 -2.29
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 69-53 -5.44 5.52 0.01 0.92 10.17
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 72-54 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.92 10.29
3 H So Dakota (24-10, 94.6) 56-65 -5.31 5.65 -0.01 0.92 -2.45
------
196.20
|
winning pts = 213.3670 losing points = -17.1647
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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