Morehead St
W-L: (16-14) PR = 93.7234Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 59-75 1107 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 84-68 1113 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 60-76 1119 H Louisville ACC (29- 8, 97.5) 49-96 1122 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 78-64 1126 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 60-73 1130 A Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 66-56 1203 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 78-85 1207 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 61-54 1211 H Notre Dame ACC (25-11, 97.1) 48-97 1216 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 63-76 101 A Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 51-50 103 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 54-49 108 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 67-49 110 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 65-59 115 H Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 62-70 117 A Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 67-66 122 A We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 63-53 124 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 52-48 129 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 64-60 131 A Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 69-63 205 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 71-57 207 H UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 58-64 212 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 58-61 214 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 79-53 219 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 74-70 221 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 53-74 226 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 68-73 305 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 55-60 320 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 58-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Kentucky 59-75 -16 -4 0.00
1107 A Bellarmine 84-68 16 3 0.00
1113 H Ohio 60-76 -16 0 -1.74
1119 H Louisville 49-96 -47 -4 0.00
1122 A SC Upstate 78-64 14 2 0.00
1126 H Ea Kentucky 60-73 -13 -1 -1.32
1130 A Marshall 66-56 10 -1 + 3.39
1203 H Murray St 78-85 -7 -2 -0.06
1207 A Louisiana 61-54 7 2 0.47
1211 H Notre Dame 48-97 -49 -3 0.00
1216 H Little Rock 63-76 -13 0 - -2.13
101 A Lindenwood 51-50 1 -1 1.93
103 A SIUE 54-49 5 0 1.68
108 A UT Martin 67-49 18 1 1.30
110 A SE MO St 65-59 6 0 1.60
115 H Tenn St 62-70 -8 2 - -3.54
117 A Tenn Tech 67-66 1 0 0.86
122 A We Illinois 63-53 10 -1 + 3.09
124 A Ea Illinois 52-48 4 2 0.20
129 A SIUE 64-60 4 0 1.68
131 A Lindenwood 69-63 6 -1 + 2.93
205 A SE MO St 71-57 14 0 1.60
207 H UT Martin 58-64 -6 1 - -2.72
212 H Tenn Tech 58-61 -3 0 - -2.16
214 A Tenn St 79-53 26 2 0.48
219 A Ea Illinois 74-70 4 2 0.20
221 H We Illinois 53-74 -21 -1 -0.93
226 H Little Rock 68-73 -5 0 - -2.13
305 H SE MO St 55-60 -5 0 - -2.42
320 H Radford 58-77 -19 0 - -2.25
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1216 H Little Rock 63-76 -13 0 - -2.13 115 H Tenn St 62-70 -8 2 - -3.54 207 H UT Martin 58-64 -6 1 - -2.72 212 H Tenn Tech 58-61 -3 0 - -2.16 226 H Little Rock 68-73 -5 0 - -2.13 305 H SE MO St 55-60 -5 0 - -2.42 320 H Radford 58-77 -19 0 - -2.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 A Marshall 66-56 10 -1 + 3.39 122 A We Illinois 63-53 10 -1 + 3.09 131 A Lindenwood 69-63 6 -1 + 2.93 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 59-75 -2.61 8.36 -0.01 1.01 -1.32
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 84-68 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.01 3.75
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 60-76 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 1.01 -2.99
3 H Louisville (29- 8, 97.5) 49-96 -2.37 8.59 -0.01 1.01 -1.21
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 78-64 -8.38 2.58 0.01 1.01 5.24
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 60-73 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 1.01 -2.78
3 A Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 66-56 -4.80 6.16 0.01 1.01 12.49
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 78-85 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 1.01 -2.14
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 61-54 -7.72 3.24 0.01 1.01 6.58
3 H Notre Dame (25-11, 97.1) 48-97 -2.80 8.16 -0.01 1.01 -1.42
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 63-76 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.01 -3.19
3 A Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 51-50 -5.26 5.70 0.01 1.01 11.56
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 54-49 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.03
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 67-49 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.01 8.26
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 65-59 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.01 8.87
3 H Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 62-70 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.01 -3.90
3 A Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 67-66 -6.33 4.63 0.01 1.01 9.39
3 A We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 63-53 -5.09 5.87 0.01 1.01 11.89
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 52-48 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.01 6.04
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 64-60 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.01 9.03
3 A Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 69-63 -5.26 5.70 0.01 1.01 11.56
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 71-57 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.01 8.87
3 H UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 58-64 -6.89 4.07 -0.01 1.01 -3.49
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 58-61 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.01 -3.21
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 79-53 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.01 6.60
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 74-70 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.01 6.04
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 53-74 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.01 -2.58
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 68-73 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.01 -3.19
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 55-60 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.01 -3.34
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 58-77 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 1.01 -3.25
------
97.19
|
winning pts = 135.2015 losing points = -38.0151
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------