Morgan State
W-L: ( 5-25) PR = 90.8760Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Virginia ACC (21-13, 96.1) 36-86 1109 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 56-70 1112 A COLUN 88-49 1115 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 47-69 1123 H George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 56-82 1126 H Wake Forest ACC (14-18, 94.2) 35-93 1127 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 44-75 1128 H Kentucky SEC (25-11, 97.3) 39-** 1202 H Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 66-79 1206 H UMBC AE (15-15, 93.5) 48-66 1214 H UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 56-78 1216 H LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 33-91 1219 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 34-78 1221 H Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 58-65 1230 H Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 61-63 103 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 61-68 108 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 64-63 110 H SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 59-62 117 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 61-59 122 H Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 52-78 124 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 57-71 131 H Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 45-69 207 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 53-66 212 H NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 63-66 216 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 73-47 221 H Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 59-74 226 H Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 60-69 228 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 65-84 305 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 64-54 312 H Norfolk St MEAC (17-15, 92.8) 43-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Virginia 36-86 -50 -5 0.00
1109 H Stetson 56-70 -14 -3 0.00
1115 H Mt St Marys 47-69 -22 -1 -0.70
1123 H George Wash 56-82 -26 -3 0.00
1126 H Wake Forest 35-93 -58 -3 0.00
1127 H Rice 44-75 -31 -5 0.00
1128 H Kentucky 39-** -62 -6 0.00
1202 H Toledo 66-79 -13 -3 0.00
1206 H UMBC 48-66 -18 -3 0.00
1214 H UCF 56-78 -22 -4 0.00
1216 H LSU 33-91 -58 -7 0.00
1219 H Davidson 34-78 -44 -4 0.00
1221 H Loyola-MD 58-65 -7 -2 -0.12
1230 H Towson 61-63 -2 -2 0.00
103 H MD-Ea Shore 61-68 -7 -2 0.00
108 A NC Center 64-63 1 0 1.47
110 H SC St 59-62 -3 0 - -2.49
117 A Delaware St 61-59 2 0 1.99
122 H Norfolk St 52-78 -26 -2 -0.11
124 H Howard 57-71 -14 -4 0.00
131 H Coppin St 45-69 -24 -1 -1.13
207 H MD-Ea Shore 53-66 -13 -2 0.00
212 H NC Center 63-66 -3 0 -1.55
216 A SC St 73-47 26 0 1.53
221 H Delaware St 59-74 -15 0 - -2.03
226 H Norfolk St 60-69 -9 -2 -0.11
228 H Howard 65-84 -19 -4 0.00
305 A Coppin St 64-54 10 -1 + 2.89
312 H Norfolk St 43-69 -26 -2 -0.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H SC St 59-62 -3 0 - -2.49 221 H Delaware St 59-74 -15 0 - -2.03 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Coppin St 64-54 10 -1 + 2.89 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Virginia (21-13, 96.1) 36-86 -3.77 7.19 -0.01 1.05 -1.98
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 56-70 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.05 -3.13
3 H Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 47-69 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.05 -4.04
3 H George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 56-82 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.05 -2.97
3 H Wake Forest (14-18, 94.2) 35-93 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.05 -2.97
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 44-75 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.05 -2.02
3 H Kentucky (25-11, 97.3) 39-** -2.61 8.36 -0.01 1.05 -1.37
3 H Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 66-79 -5.95 5.01 -0.01 1.05 -3.12
3 H UMBC (15-15, 93.5) 48-66 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 1.05 -3.34
3 H UCF (11-20, 94.4) 56-78 -5.47 5.49 -0.01 1.05 -2.87
3 H LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 33-91 -1.71 9.25 -0.01 1.05 -0.90
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 34-78 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 1.05 -2.56
3 H Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 58-65 -7.13 3.83 -0.01 1.05 -3.74
3 H Towson (16-14, 93.3) 61-63 -6.56 4.40 -0.01 1.05 -3.44
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 61-68 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.05 -3.43
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 64-63 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.05 5.05
3 H SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 59-62 -9.50 1.46 -0.01 1.05 -4.98
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 61-59 -9.05 1.91 0.01 1.05 4.02
3 H Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 52-78 -7.12 3.84 -0.01 1.05 -3.73
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 57-71 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 H Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 45-69 -8.14 2.82 -0.01 1.05 -4.27
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 53-66 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.05 -3.43
3 H NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 63-66 -8.56 2.40 -0.01 1.05 -4.48
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 73-47 -9.50 1.46 0.01 1.05 3.08
3 H Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 59-74 -9.05 1.91 -0.01 1.05 -4.74
3 H Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 60-69 -7.12 3.84 -0.01 1.05 -3.73
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 65-84 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 64-54 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.05 5.92
3 H Norfolk St (17-15, 92.8) 43-69 -7.12 3.84 -0.01 1.05 -3.73
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-62.40
|
winning pts = 18.0643 losing points = -80.4693
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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