Mt St Marys
W-L: (14-16) PR = 92.1860Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 49-83 1108 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 7-22, 93.0) 52-66 1112 H Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 45-49 1115 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 69-47 1120 A Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 69-50 1126 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 59-67 1203 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 44-92 1207 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 75-64 1219 A Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 66-59 1221 A Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 65-55 1229 H Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 56-60 101 H Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 59-69 108 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 44-70 110 A St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 55-51 114 H Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 59-68 114 H Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 59-68 117 A Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 71-64 119 A Niagara MAAC ( 2-27, 89.8) 62-49 122 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 43-56 124 H Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 68-81 129 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 70-59 131 H St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 61-73 205 A Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 63-62 207 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 68-63 212 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 43-69 219 A Niagara MAAC ( 2-27, 89.8) 76-57 221 H Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 63-68 226 A Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 66-61 228 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 54-46 307 H Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 48-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H Richmond 49-83 -34 -4 0.00
1108 H Pittsburgh 52-66 -14 -1 -1.23
1112 H Bucknell 45-49 -4 0 -1.79
1115 A Morgan State 69-47 22 1 0.70
1120 A Loyola-MD 69-50 19 -1 + 2.59
1126 H MD-Ea Shore 59-67 -8 -1 -0.83
1203 H Maryland 44-92 -48 -5 0.00
1207 A Lehigh 75-64 11 -1 + 3.23
1219 A Marist 66-59 7 0 1.93
1221 A Iona 65-55 10 -1 + 2.65
1229 H Merrimack 56-60 -4 -1 -1.29
101 H Siena 59-69 -10 0 - -2.37
108 H Quinnipiac 44-70 -26 -2 0.00
110 A St Peters 55-51 4 1 1.05
114 H Manhattan 59-68 -9 0 -2.00
114 H Manhattan 59-68 -9 0 -2.00
117 A Canisius 71-64 7 1 0.66
119 A Niagara 62-49 13 2 0.00
122 H Quinnipiac 43-56 -13 -2 0.00
124 H Merrimack 68-81 -13 -1 -1.29
129 A Rider 70-59 11 1 1.13
131 H St Peters 61-73 -12 1 - -2.97
205 A Iona 63-62 1 -1 1.65
207 A Sacred Heart 68-63 5 0 1.84
212 H Fairfield 43-69 -26 -4 0.00
219 A Niagara 76-57 19 2 0.00
221 H Canisius 63-68 -5 1 - -3.36
226 A Sacred Heart 66-61 5 0 1.84
228 A Rider 54-46 8 1 1.13
307 H Merrimack 48-62 -14 -1 -1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 101 H Siena 59-69 -10 0 - -2.37 131 H St Peters 61-73 -12 1 - -2.97 221 H Canisius 63-68 -5 1 - -3.36 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 A Loyola-MD 69-50 19 -1 + 2.59 1207 A Lehigh 75-64 11 -1 + 3.23 1221 A Iona 65-55 10 -1 + 2.65 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 49-83 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 1.01 -2.01
3 H Pittsburgh ( 7-22, 93.0) 52-66 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 1.01 -3.51
3 H Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 45-49 -7.49 3.47 -0.01 1.01 -3.79
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 69-47 -9.02 1.94 0.01 1.01 3.94
3 A Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 69-50 -7.13 3.83 0.01 1.01 7.77
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 59-67 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 44-92 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 1.01 -1.36
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 75-64 -6.49 4.47 0.01 1.01 9.06
3 A Marist (11-21, 92.1) 66-59 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.01 6.42
3 A Iona (21-12, 92.8) 65-55 -7.07 3.89 0.01 1.01 7.89
3 H Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 56-60 -7.00 3.96 -0.01 1.01 -3.54
3 H Siena (13-18, 91.8) 59-69 -8.08 2.88 -0.01 1.01 -4.09
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 44-70 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 1.01 -2.81
3 A St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 55-51 -8.67 2.29 0.01 1.01 4.65
3 H Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 59-68 -7.70 3.26 -0.01 1.01 -3.90
3 H Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 59-68 -7.70 3.26 -0.01 1.01 -3.90
3 A Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 71-64 -9.06 1.90 0.01 1.01 3.86
3 A Niagara ( 2-27, 89.8) 62-49 -10.13 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 43-56 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 1.01 -2.81
3 H Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 68-81 -7.00 3.96 -0.01 1.01 -3.54
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 70-59 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.01 4.81
3 H St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 61-73 -8.67 2.29 -0.01 1.01 -4.39
3 A Iona (21-12, 92.8) 63-62 -7.07 3.89 0.01 1.01 7.89
3 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 68-63 -7.88 3.08 0.01 1.01 6.25
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 43-69 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 1.01 -2.08
3 A Niagara ( 2-27, 89.8) 76-57 -10.13 1.00 0.01 1.01 2.04
3 H Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 63-68 -9.06 1.90 -0.01 1.01 -4.59
3 A Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 66-61 -7.88 3.08 0.01 1.01 6.25
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 54-46 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.01 4.81
3 H Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 48-62 -7.00 3.96 -0.01 1.01 -3.54
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24.48
|
winning pts = 77.6847 losing points = -53.2017
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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