Murray St
W-L: (29- 4) PR = 95.6760Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1111 H So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 60-91 1115 A St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 96-88 1118 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 64-84 1122 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 91-79 1128 A George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 88-83 1129 A Boston Col ACC ( 5-26, 92.9) 82-77 1203 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 85-78 1206 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 74-56 1215 A Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 85-57 1229 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 90-80 102 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) **-** 104 A Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 93-54 109 A No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 75-71 111 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 95-67 115 A So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 87-74 118 A Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 69-48 123 H No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 74-89 125 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 89-88 129 A So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 79-75 131 A Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 78-71 205 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) **-78 213 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 95-69 215 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 79-77 220 A Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 72-40 222 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 73-62 226 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) **-67 228 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 99-80 305 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 78-76 307 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) **-68 313 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) **-88 314 A No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 72-59 315 H Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 91-70 320 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 67-99
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1111 H So Dakota St 60-91 -31 -1 -1.48
1115 A St Louis 96-88 8 2 0.04
1118 H Illinois 64-84 -20 -1 -0.98
1122 A UAB 91-79 12 2 0.00
1128 A George Mason 88-83 5 0 1.94
1129 A Boston Col 82-77 5 3 0.00
1203 A Morehead St 85-78 7 2 0.06
1206 A Austin Peay 74-56 18 2 0.01
1215 A Memphis 85-57 28 2 0.00
1229 A Evansville 90-80 10 3 0.00
102 A Illinois St **-** 193 1 0.72
104 A Bradley 93-54 39 1 0.54
109 A No Iowa 75-71 4 1 0.60
111 A Drake 95-67 28 2 0.00
115 A So Illinois 87-74 13 3 0.00
118 A Belmont 69-48 21 1 1.10
123 H No Iowa 74-89 -15 1 - -3.42
125 A Drake 89-88 1 2 -1.00
129 A So Illinois 79-75 4 3 0.00
131 A Belmont 78-71 7 1 1.10
205 A Indiana St **-78 36 3 0.00
213 A Valparaiso 95-69 26 5 0.00
215 A Ill-Chicago 79-77 2 2 0.00
220 A Bradley 72-40 32 1 0.54
222 A Illinois St 73-62 11 1 0.72
226 A Indiana St **-67 48 3 0.00
228 A Evansville 99-80 19 3 0.00
305 A Ill-Chicago 78-76 2 2 0.00
307 A Valparaiso **-68 32 5 0.00
313 A Indiana St **-88 17 3 0.00
314 A No Iowa 72-59 13 1 0.60
315 H Evansville 91-70 21 3 0.00
320 H Maryland 67-99 -32 -2 -0.47
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 123 H No Iowa 74-89 -15 1 - -3.42 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 60-91 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.92 -1.70
3 A St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 96-88 -6.19 4.77 0.01 0.92 8.79
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 64-84 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 0.92 -1.47
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 91-79 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.92 8.38
3 A George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 88-83 -4.29 6.67 0.01 0.92 12.28
3 A Boston Col ( 5-26, 92.9) 82-77 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.92 7.27
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 85-78 -6.18 4.78 0.01 0.92 8.82
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 74-56 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.92 8.73
3 A Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 85-57 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.92 8.01
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 90-80 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.92 7.10
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) **-** -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.92 10.03
3 A Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 93-54 -5.70 5.27 0.01 0.92 9.70
3 A No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 75-71 -5.63 5.33 0.01 0.92 9.82
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 95-67 -6.55 4.41 0.01 0.92 8.12
3 A So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 87-74 -7.26 3.70 0.01 0.92 6.82
3 A Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 69-48 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.92 10.73
3 H No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 74-89 -5.63 5.33 -0.01 0.92 -2.59
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 89-88 -6.55 4.41 0.01 0.92 8.12
3 A So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 79-75 -7.26 3.70 0.01 0.92 6.82
3 A Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 78-71 -5.14 5.82 0.01 0.92 10.73
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) **-78 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.92 6.85
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 95-69 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.92 2.44
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 79-77 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.92 8.43
3 A Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 72-40 -5.70 5.27 0.01 0.92 9.70
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 73-62 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.92 10.03
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) **-67 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.92 6.85
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 99-80 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.92 7.10
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 78-76 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.92 8.43
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) **-68 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.92 2.44
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) **-88 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.92 6.85
3 A No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 72-59 -5.63 5.33 0.01 0.92 9.82
3 H Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 91-70 -7.11 3.85 -0.01 0.92 7.07
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 67-99 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 0.92 -1.24
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229.29
|
winning pts = 236.2951 losing points = -7.0072
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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