No Alabama
W-L: (16-14) PR = 93.4004Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A UT Martin OV U (11-16, 93.0) 57-54 1106 A FISK 75-42 1110 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 66-54 1114 H Oklahoma SEC O (26- 8, 97.8) 61-89 1119 H Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 76-82 1201 H AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 48-50 1207 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 68-66 1214 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 58-70 1217 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 57-72 1221 H Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 57-84 101 H Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 44-51 103 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 59-76 108 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 78-80 110 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 67-52 115 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 56-54 117 A Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 83-79 122 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 63-60 129 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 62-66 131 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 60-55 204 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 55-50 207 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 71-55 209 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 48-59 211 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 65-60 214 H Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 56-73 218 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 87-54 221 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 68-63 225 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 55-62 227 A We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) **-43 303 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 57-55 305 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 56-67
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A UT Martin 57-54 3 0 1.62
1110 A Jacksonv St 66-54 12 0 1.98
1114 H Oklahoma 61-89 -28 -4 0.00
1119 H Tenn St 76-82 -6 1 - -3.22
1201 H AK-Pine Bl 48-50 -2 1 - -2.93
1207 A Samford 68-66 2 1 1.43
1214 H So Alabama 58-70 -12 0 -1.73
1217 H Alabama A&M 57-72 -15 0 -1.87
1221 H Missouri 57-84 -27 -2 0.00
101 H Fl Gulf Co 44-51 -7 0 -1.61
103 H Stetson 59-76 -17 -1 -1.48
108 H Ea Kentucky 78-80 -2 -1 -1.00
110 A Bellarmine 67-52 15 3 0.00
115 A No Florida 56-54 2 1 0.93
117 A Jacksonville 83-79 4 -1 + 3.19
122 A Queens Univ 63-60 3 2 0.49
129 H Stetson 62-66 -4 -1 -1.48
131 A Fl Gulf Co 60-55 5 0 + 2.41
204 A Austin Peay 55-50 5 0 + 2.28
207 A Queens Univ 71-55 16 2 0.49
209 H Ce Arkansas 48-59 -11 -1 -1.30
211 A We Georgia 65-60 5 0 1.89
214 H Ea Kentucky 56-73 -17 -1 -1.00
218 A Bellarmine 87-54 33 3 0.00
221 A Lipscomb 68-63 5 1 1.12
225 H Ce Arkansas 55-62 -7 -1 -1.30
227 A We Georgia **-43 75 0 1.89
303 A Queens Univ 57-55 2 2 0.49
305 H Ce Arkansas 56-67 -11 -1 -1.30
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H Tenn St 76-82 -6 1 - -3.22 1201 H AK-Pine Bl 48-50 -2 1 - -2.93 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 117 A Jacksonville 83-79 4 -1 + 3.19 131 A Fl Gulf Co 60-55 5 0 + 2.41 204 A Austin Peay 55-50 5 0 + 2.28 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UT Martin (11-16, 93.0) 57-54 -6.89 4.07 0.01 1.05 8.54
3 A Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 66-54 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.05 9.30
3 H Oklahoma (26- 8, 97.8) 61-89 -2.14 8.82 -0.01 1.05 -1.13
3 H Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 76-82 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.05 -4.04
3 H AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 48-50 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 1.05 -3.89
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 68-66 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.05 8.14
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 58-70 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 1.05 -3.26
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 57-72 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.05 -3.33
3 H Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 57-84 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.24
3 H Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 44-51 -6.10 4.86 -0.01 1.05 -3.20
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 59-76 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.05 -3.13
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 78-80 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 1.05 -2.88
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 67-52 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.05 3.88
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 56-54 -7.58 3.38 0.01 1.05 7.10
3 A Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 83-79 -5.32 5.64 0.01 1.05 11.83
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 63-60 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.05 6.18
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 62-66 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.05 -3.13
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 60-55 -6.10 4.86 0.01 1.05 10.20
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 55-50 -6.23 4.73 0.01 1.05 9.93
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 71-55 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.05 6.18
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 48-59 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 1.05 -3.04
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 65-60 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.05 9.10
3 H Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 56-73 -5.49 5.47 -0.01 1.05 -2.88
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 87-54 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.05 3.88
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 68-63 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.05 7.49
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 55-62 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 1.05 -3.04
3 A We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) **-43 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.05 9.10
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 57-55 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.05 6.18
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 56-67 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 1.05 -3.04
------
74.81
|
winning pts = 117.0097 losing points = -42.1973
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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