UNC-Ash
W-L: (11-19) PR = 91.5339Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 39-48 1106 A WARWI **-44 1113 H NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 53-66 1119 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 67-50 1122 H App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 40-64 1125 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 54-80 1129 H Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 67-74 1203 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 64-58 1206 H No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 61-76 1211 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 53-63 1214 H Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 61-75 1229 A BREVC 84-31 1231 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 51-78 103 H Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 55-59 107 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 62-51 110 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 58-67 114 H Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 66-72 114 H Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 66-72 117 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 64-53 121 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 57-56 123 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 52-64 130 H Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 52-54 204 A Char So BSO ( 8-22, 91.8) 60-48 207 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 60-72 211 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 45-73 214 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 63-57 218 H High Point BSO (25- 6, 94.2) 55-60 221 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 76-58 225 A Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 64-59 305 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 58-72
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Mercer 39-48 -9 -1 -0.60
1113 H NC Center 53-66 -13 0 - -2.20
1119 A We Carolina 67-50 17 2 0.00
1122 H App State 40-64 -24 -2 -0.29
1125 H Wofford 54-80 -26 -2 -0.38
1129 H Furman 67-74 -7 -2 -0.39
1203 A SC St 64-58 6 1 0.88
1206 H No Florida 61-76 -15 -1 -1.22
1211 H Ea Tenn St 53-63 -10 -2 -0.40
1214 H Ea Carolina 61-75 -14 -3 0.00
1231 H High Point 51-78 -27 -3 0.00
103 H Winthrop 55-59 -4 -1 -1.33
107 A Gardner-Webb 62-51 11 0 + 2.39
110 H Longwood 58-67 -9 -2 -0.02
114 H Char So 66-72 -6 0 -1.76
114 H Char So 66-72 -6 0 -1.76
117 A Presbyterian 64-53 11 2 0.46
121 A SC Upstate 57-56 1 0 0.99
123 H Radford 52-64 -12 -2 -0.06
130 H Gardner-Webb 52-54 -2 0 -1.63
204 A Char So 60-48 12 0 + 2.26
207 H Longwood 60-72 -12 -2 -0.02
211 H Radford 45-73 -28 -2 -0.06
214 A SC Upstate 63-57 6 0 1.99
218 H High Point 55-60 -5 -3 0.00
221 A Presbyterian 76-58 18 2 0.46
225 A Winthrop 64-59 5 -1 + 2.69
305 H Longwood 58-72 -14 -2 -0.02
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1113 H NC Center 53-66 -13 0 - -2.20 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 107 A Gardner-Webb 62-51 11 0 + 2.39 204 A Char So 60-48 12 0 + 2.26 225 A Winthrop 64-59 5 -1 + 2.69 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 39-48 -6.96 4.00 -0.01 1.08 -3.78
3 H NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 53-66 -8.56 2.40 -0.01 1.08 -4.64
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 67-50 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.08 2.19
3 H App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 40-64 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.08 -3.61
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 54-80 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 1.08 -3.65
3 H Furman (16-13, 93.2) 67-74 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.08 -3.66
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 64-58 -9.50 1.46 0.01 1.08 3.19
3 H No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 61-76 -7.58 3.38 -0.01 1.08 -4.11
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 53-63 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.08 -3.67
3 H Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 61-75 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 1.08 -2.84
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 51-78 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 H Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 55-59 -7.69 3.27 -0.01 1.08 -4.17
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 62-51 -7.98 2.98 0.01 1.08 6.47
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 58-67 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 1.08 -3.46
3 H Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 66-72 -8.11 2.85 -0.01 1.08 -4.40
3 H Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 66-72 -8.11 2.85 -0.01 1.08 -4.40
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 64-53 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.08 2.29
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 57-56 -8.38 2.58 0.01 1.08 5.61
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 52-64 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 1.08 -3.48
3 H Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 52-54 -7.98 2.98 -0.01 1.08 -4.33
3 A Char So ( 8-22, 91.8) 60-48 -8.11 2.85 0.01 1.08 6.20
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 60-72 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 1.08 -3.46
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 45-73 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 1.08 -3.48
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 63-57 -8.38 2.58 0.01 1.08 5.61
3 H High Point (25- 6, 94.2) 55-60 -5.71 5.25 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 76-58 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.08 2.29
3 A Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 64-59 -7.69 3.27 0.01 1.08 7.11
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 58-72 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 1.08 -3.46
------
-29.86
|
winning pts = 40.9541 losing points = -70.8185
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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