UNCG
W-L: (10-16) PR = 92.2401Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Stanford ACC (20-14, 95.7) 42-87 1105 H San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 40-64 1110 H Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 57-64 1114 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 57-53 1121 A Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 54-52 1123 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 48-94 1126 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 54-47 1206 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 70-39 1210 H Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 61-67 1217 A Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 54-50 1222 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 77-32 108 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 73-64 110 A Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 76-59 115 H Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 56-69 117 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 59-61 122 H Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 40-52 124 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 48-58 201 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 55-46 205 H Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 58-67 207 H Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 64-68 212 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 38-51 214 H Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 61-63 219 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 39-52 221 H Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 54-56 228 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 68-54 305 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 50-62
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Stanford 42-87 -45 -3 0.00
1105 H San Fran 40-64 -24 -2 0.00
1110 H Auburn 57-64 -7 -3 0.00
1114 A Presbyterian 57-53 4 2 0.00
1121 A Gardner-Webb 54-52 2 0 1.69
1123 H No Carolina 48-94 -46 -5 0.00
1126 A NC Center 54-47 7 1 1.11
1206 A SC Upstate 70-39 31 1 1.29
1210 H Coastal Car 61-67 -6 -1 -0.68
1217 A Elon 54-50 4 -1 + 2.80
1222 A SC St 77-32 45 2 0.17
108 A Samford 73-64 9 -1 + 2.59
110 A Mercer 76-59 17 -1 + 2.71
115 H Furman 56-69 -13 -1 -1.10
117 H Wofford 59-61 -2 -1 -1.08
122 H Chattanooga 40-52 -12 -1 -0.62
124 H Ea Tenn St 48-58 -10 -1 -1.11
201 A We Carolina 55-46 9 3 0.00
205 H Mercer 58-67 -9 -1 -1.31
207 H Samford 64-68 -4 -1 -1.43
212 H Wofford 38-51 -13 -1 -1.08
214 H Furman 61-63 -2 -1 -1.10
219 H Ea Tenn St 39-52 -13 -1 -1.11
221 H Chattanooga 54-56 -2 -1 -0.62
228 A We Carolina 68-54 14 3 0.00
305 H Ea Tenn St 50-62 -12 -1 -1.11
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1217 A Elon 54-50 4 -1 + 2.80 108 A Samford 73-64 9 -1 + 2.59 110 A Mercer 76-59 17 -1 + 2.71 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Stanford (20-14, 95.7) 42-87 -4.17 6.79 -0.01 1.17 -2.44
3 H San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 40-64 -5.44 5.52 -0.01 1.17 -3.18
3 H Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 57-64 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 1.17 -2.51
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 57-53 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.17 2.46
3 A Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 54-52 -7.98 2.98 0.01 1.17 6.97
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 48-94 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 1.17 -1.45
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 54-47 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.17 5.63
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 70-39 -8.38 2.58 0.01 1.17 6.04
3 H Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 61-67 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.17 -3.70
3 A Elon (15-16, 93.0) 54-50 -6.87 4.09 0.01 1.17 9.56
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 77-32 -9.50 1.46 0.01 1.17 3.43
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 73-64 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.17 9.08
3 A Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 76-59 -6.96 4.00 0.01 1.17 9.36
3 H Furman (16-13, 93.2) 56-69 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.17 -3.94
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 59-61 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 1.17 -3.93
3 H Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 40-52 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 1.17 -3.67
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 48-58 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.17 -3.95
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 55-46 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 H Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 58-67 -6.96 4.00 -0.01 1.17 -4.07
3 H Samford (14-19, 92.8) 64-68 -7.08 3.88 -0.01 1.17 -4.14
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 38-51 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 1.17 -3.93
3 H Furman (16-13, 93.2) 61-63 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.17 -3.94
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 39-52 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.17 -3.95
3 H Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 54-56 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 1.17 -3.67
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 68-54 -10.39 1.00 0.01 1.17 2.36
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 50-62 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.17 -3.95
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0.83
|
winning pts = 57.2580 losing points = -56.4286
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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