No Colorado
W-L: (20-11) PR = 94.1740Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 A NNMU **-31 1108 A Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 72-68 1114 H Denver SM ( 9-18, 93.1) 53-56 1121 A Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 68-62 1122 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 61-60 1125 H Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 58-84 1203 A Kansas City SM ( 3-23, 91.7) 72-59 1216 H Colorado B12 (23-12, 96.4) 62-79 1220 A UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 57-47 1222 H Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 56-65 101 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 79-86 103 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 77-58 108 A Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 67-56 110 A Weber St BS ( 9-21, 92.8) 69-66 115 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 80-60 117 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 68-46 119 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 57-71 124 A No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 72-59 129 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 55-62 131 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 71-62 205 A Weber St BS ( 9-21, 92.8) 55-41 207 H Idaho St BS (18-11, 94.2) 69-73 212 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 62-55 214 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 71-57 221 A No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 81-53 226 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 70-65 228 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 41-55 302 A Montana BS ( 8-22, 92.9) 61-59 309 H Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 53-55 319 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 79-72 322 H So Dakota SM (24-10, 94.6) 60-80
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Lamar 72-68 4 0 1.50
1114 H Denver 53-56 -3 1 - -3.12
1121 A Campbell 68-62 6 1 1.29
1122 A DePaul 61-60 1 1 0.39
1125 H Arizona 58-84 -26 0 -1.52
1203 A Kansas City 72-59 13 2 0.00
1216 H Colorado 62-79 -17 -2 0.00
1220 A UC Davis 57-47 10 0 + 2.02
1222 H Sam Houston 56-65 -9 0 - -2.01
101 H Montana St 79-86 -7 -1 -1.04
103 A Montana 77-58 19 1 0.71
108 A Idaho St 67-56 11 0 + 2.01
110 A Weber St 69-66 3 1 0.66
115 A Portland St 80-60 20 2 0.00
117 A Sacra St 68-46 22 1 1.20
119 H Montana St 57-71 -14 -1 -1.04
124 A No Arizona 72-59 13 1 0.71
129 H Idaho 55-62 -7 -1 -1.25
131 A Ea Wash 71-62 9 1 1.15
205 A Weber St 55-41 14 1 0.66
207 H Idaho St 69-73 -4 0 - -2.01
212 A Sacra St 62-55 7 1 1.20
214 A Portland St 71-57 14 2 0.00
221 A No Arizona 81-53 28 1 0.71
226 A Ea Wash 70-65 5 1 1.15
228 H Idaho 41-55 -14 -1 -1.25
302 A Montana 61-59 2 1 0.71
309 H Ea Wash 53-55 -2 1 - -2.87
319 A Air Force 79-72 7 0 1.58
322 H So Dakota 60-80 -20 0 -1.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 H Denver 53-56 -3 1 - -3.12 1222 H Sam Houston 56-65 -9 0 - -2.01 207 H Idaho St 69-73 -4 0 - -2.01 309 H Ea Wash 53-55 -2 1 - -2.87 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A UC Davis 57-47 10 0 + 2.02 108 A Idaho St 67-56 11 0 + 2.01 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 72-68 -6.23 4.73 0.01 1.01 9.59
3 H Denver ( 9-18, 93.1) 53-56 -6.83 4.13 -0.01 1.01 -3.46
3 A Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 68-62 -6.44 4.52 0.01 1.01 9.16
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 61-60 -6.35 4.61 0.01 1.01 9.35
3 H Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 58-84 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 1.01 -2.65
3 A Kansas City ( 3-23, 91.7) 72-59 -8.19 2.77 0.01 1.01 5.62
3 H Colorado (23-12, 96.4) 62-79 -3.52 7.44 -0.01 1.01 -1.79
3 A UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 57-47 -5.72 5.24 0.01 1.01 10.63
3 H Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 56-65 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 79-86 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.01 -2.41
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 77-58 -7.02 3.94 0.01 1.01 7.98
3 A Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 67-56 -5.72 5.24 0.01 1.01 10.62
3 A Weber St ( 9-21, 92.8) 69-66 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.01 7.88
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 80-60 -7.87 3.09 0.01 1.01 6.27
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 68-46 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.01 8.98
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 57-71 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.01 -2.41
3 A No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 72-59 -7.02 3.94 0.01 1.01 7.98
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 55-62 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 71-62 -6.58 4.38 0.01 1.01 8.88
3 A Weber St ( 9-21, 92.8) 55-41 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.01 7.88
3 H Idaho St (18-11, 94.2) 69-73 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.01 -2.90
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 62-55 -6.53 4.43 0.01 1.01 8.98
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 71-57 -7.87 3.09 0.01 1.01 6.27
3 A No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 81-53 -7.02 3.94 0.01 1.01 7.98
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 70-65 -6.58 4.38 0.01 1.01 8.88
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 41-55 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 1.01 -2.52
3 A Montana ( 8-22, 92.9) 61-59 -7.02 3.94 0.01 1.01 7.98
3 H Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 53-55 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 79-72 -6.16 4.80 0.01 1.01 9.74
3 H So Dakota (24-10, 94.6) 60-80 -5.31 5.65 -0.01 1.01 -2.69
------
131.08
|
winning pts = 160.6587 losing points = -29.5765
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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