UNC-Wilm
W-L: ( 6-24) PR = 91.5597Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 63-82 1107 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 78-68 1112 H Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 56-80 1119 H Gardner-Webb BSO (12-20, 91.9) 56-65 1121 A Presbyterian BSO ( 2-28, 90.0) 75-55 1130 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 69-59 1203 H We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 63-83 1207 H Winthrop BSO (13-18, 92.2) 68-78 1217 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 34-84 1221 H Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 72-98 102 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 69-67 104 H Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 46-54 109 H Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 50-52 111 H Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 68-79 116 H Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 62-72 118 H Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 67-76 123 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 37-71 127 H Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 61-67 130 H Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 48-60 201 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 68-79 206 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 61-81 213 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 69-64 215 H Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 52-54 220 H Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 55-60 222 H Hofstra CA (11-22, 92.5) 43-75 301 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 41-60 305 H NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 46-55 307 H Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 54-66 311 A Northeastern CA ( 8-21, 92.1) 51-50 312 H Monmouth CA (19-13, 93.4) 61-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Ea Carolina 63-82 -19 -3 0.00
1107 A NC Center 78-68 10 0 1.79
1112 H Coastal Car 56-80 -24 -2 -0.00
1119 H Gardner-Webb 56-65 -9 0 -1.65
1121 A Presbyterian 75-55 20 2 0.43
1130 A Queens Univ 69-59 10 0 + 2.33
1203 H We Georgia 63-83 -20 -2 -0.29
1207 H Winthrop 68-78 -10 -1 -1.36
1217 H No Carolina 34-84 -50 -6 0.00
1221 H Longwood 72-98 -26 -2 -0.04
102 A Northeastern 69-67 2 -1 + 2.55
104 H Hofstra 46-54 -8 -1 -1.03
109 H Monmouth 50-52 -2 -2 -0.21
111 H Towson 68-79 -11 -2 -0.23
116 H Elon 62-72 -10 -1 -0.54
118 H Drexel 67-76 -9 -2 0.00
123 H Charlotte 37-71 -34 -3 0.00
127 H Campbell 61-67 -6 -2 -0.11
130 H Hampton 48-60 -12 0 -1.51
201 H Will&Mary 68-79 -11 -2 -0.37
206 H Charlotte 61-81 -20 -3 0.00
213 A NC A&T 69-64 5 -1 + 2.62
215 H Campbell 52-54 -2 -2 -0.11
220 H Stony Brook 55-60 -5 -2 -0.25
222 H Hofstra 43-75 -32 -1 -1.03
301 H Will&Mary 41-60 -19 -2 -0.37
305 H NC A&T 46-55 -9 -1 -1.40
307 H Elon 54-66 -12 -1 -0.54
311 A Northeastern 51-50 1 -1 1.55
312 H Monmouth 61-72 -11 -2 -0.21
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 A Queens Univ 69-59 10 0 + 2.33 102 A Northeastern 69-67 2 -1 + 2.55 213 A NC A&T 69-64 5 -1 + 2.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 63-82 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 1.01 -2.65
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 78-68 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.01 4.88
3 H Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 56-80 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.01 -3.21
3 H Gardner-Webb (12-20, 91.9) 56-65 -7.98 2.98 -0.01 1.01 -4.04
3 A Presbyterian ( 2-28, 90.0) 75-55 -9.92 1.04 0.01 1.01 2.13
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 69-59 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.01 5.97
3 H We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 63-83 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.01 -3.36
3 H Winthrop (13-18, 92.2) 68-78 -7.69 3.27 -0.01 1.01 -3.89
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 34-84 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 1.01 -1.26
3 H Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 72-98 -6.37 4.59 -0.01 1.01 -3.23
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 69-67 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.01 6.41
3 H Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 46-54 -7.36 3.60 -0.01 1.01 -3.73
3 H Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 50-52 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
3 H Towson (16-14, 93.3) 68-79 -6.56 4.40 -0.01 1.01 -3.32
3 H Elon (15-16, 93.0) 62-72 -6.87 4.09 -0.01 1.01 -3.48
3 H Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 67-76 -6.09 4.87 -0.01 1.01 -3.08
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 37-71 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 1.01 -2.82
3 H Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 61-67 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 1.01 -3.26
3 H Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 48-60 -7.84 3.12 -0.01 1.01 -3.97
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 68-79 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.01 -3.39
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 61-81 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 1.01 -2.82
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 69-64 -7.73 3.23 0.01 1.01 6.55
3 H Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 52-54 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 1.01 -3.26
3 H Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 55-60 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.01 -3.33
3 H Hofstra (11-22, 92.5) 43-75 -7.36 3.60 -0.01 1.01 -3.73
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 41-60 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.01 -3.39
3 H NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 46-55 -7.73 3.23 -0.01 1.01 -3.92
3 H Elon (15-16, 93.0) 54-66 -6.87 4.09 -0.01 1.01 -3.48
3 A Northeastern ( 8-21, 92.1) 51-50 -7.80 3.16 0.01 1.01 6.41
3 H Monmouth (19-13, 93.4) 61-72 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.01 -3.31
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-46.92
|
winning pts = 32.3604 losing points = -79.2780
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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