Niagara
W-L: ( 2-27) PR = 89.7700Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 H St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 56-74 1116 H Kent State MA (14-16, 94.0) 45-92 1120 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 46-83 1122 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 58-80 1126 H Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 47-70 1130 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 1203 H Buffalo MA ( 3-28, 91.6) 51-77 1213 H Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 52-84 1219 H Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 69-** 1221 H St Peters MAAC ( 7-23, 91.2) 72-81 101 H Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 53-84 103 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 42-98 108 H Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 49-77 110 H Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 53-74 114 H Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 41-57 114 H Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 41-57 119 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 49-62 122 H Fairfield MAAC (29- 5, 95.8) 51-81 124 H Sacred Heart MAAC (14-18, 92.0) 65-70 129 H Siena MAAC (13-18, 91.8) 64-84 131 H Marist MAAC (11-21, 92.1) 52-71 203 H Canisius MAAC ( 5-24, 90.8) 58-74 207 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 45-89 212 H Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 42-60 214 H Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 55-72 219 H Mt St Marys MAAC (14-16, 92.2) 57-76 221 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 56-52 226 H Quinnipiac MAAC (27- 7, 94.3) 38-54 228 H Merrimack MAAC (18-14, 92.9) 44-60
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 H St. Bonnies 56-74 -18 -4 0.00
1116 H Kent State 45-92 -47 -4 0.00
1120 H Va Tech 46-83 -37 -6 0.00
1122 H Radford 58-80 -22 -4 0.00
1126 H Fordham 47-70 -23 -3 0.00
1203 H Buffalo 51-77 -26 -2 -0.17
1213 H Cleveland St 52-84 -32 -5 0.00
1219 H Siena 69-** -38 -2 0.00
1221 H St Peters 72-81 -9 -1 -0.55
101 H Sacred Heart 53-84 -31 -2 0.00
103 H Fairfield 42-98 -56 -6 0.00
108 H Iona 49-77 -28 -3 0.00
110 H Manhattan 53-74 -21 -2 0.00
114 H Canisius 41-57 -16 -1 -0.94
114 H Canisius 41-57 -16 -1 -0.94
119 H Mt St Marys 49-62 -13 -2 0.00
122 H Fairfield 51-81 -30 -6 0.00
124 H Sacred Heart 65-70 -5 -2 0.00
129 H Siena 64-84 -20 -2 0.00
131 H Marist 52-71 -19 -2 0.00
203 H Canisius 58-74 -16 -1 -0.94
207 H Quinnipiac 45-89 -44 -5 0.00
212 H Manhattan 42-60 -18 -2 0.00
214 H Iona 55-72 -17 -3 0.00
219 H Mt St Marys 57-76 -19 -2 0.00
221 A Rider 56-52 4 -2 + 3.55
226 H Quinnipiac 38-54 -16 -5 0.00
228 H Merrimack 44-60 -16 -3 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 A Rider 56-52 4 -2 + 3.55 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 56-74 -6.15 4.81 -0.01 1.08 -3.34
3 H Kent State (14-16, 94.0) 45-92 -5.93 5.03 -0.01 1.08 -3.22
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 46-83 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 1.08 -1.97
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 58-80 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 1.08 -3.48
3 H Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 47-70 -7.08 3.88 -0.01 1.08 -3.84
3 H Buffalo ( 3-28, 91.6) 51-77 -8.29 2.67 -0.01 1.08 -4.50
3 H Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 52-84 -5.62 5.34 -0.01 1.08 -3.05
3 H Siena (13-18, 91.8) 69-** -8.08 2.88 -0.01 1.08 -4.38
3 H St Peters ( 7-23, 91.2) 72-81 -8.67 2.29 -0.01 1.08 -4.70
3 H Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 53-84 -7.88 3.08 -0.01 1.08 -4.28
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 42-98 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 1.08 -2.23
3 H Iona (21-12, 92.8) 49-77 -7.07 3.89 -0.01 1.08 -3.84
3 H Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 53-74 -7.70 3.26 -0.01 1.08 -4.18
3 H Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 41-57 -9.06 1.90 -0.01 1.08 -4.92
3 H Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 41-57 -9.06 1.90 -0.01 1.08 -4.92
3 H Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 49-62 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.08 -4.19
3 H Fairfield (29- 5, 95.8) 51-81 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 1.08 -2.23
3 H Sacred Heart (14-18, 92.0) 65-70 -7.88 3.08 -0.01 1.08 -4.28
3 H Siena (13-18, 91.8) 64-84 -8.08 2.88 -0.01 1.08 -4.38
3 H Marist (11-21, 92.1) 52-71 -7.80 3.16 -0.01 1.08 -4.23
3 H Canisius ( 5-24, 90.8) 58-74 -9.06 1.90 -0.01 1.08 -4.92
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 45-89 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 1.08 -3.01
3 H Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 42-60 -7.70 3.26 -0.01 1.08 -4.18
3 H Iona (21-12, 92.8) 55-72 -7.07 3.89 -0.01 1.08 -3.84
3 H Mt St Marys (14-16, 92.2) 57-76 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.08 -4.19
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 56-52 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.08 5.16
3 H Quinnipiac (27- 7, 94.3) 38-54 -5.55 5.41 -0.01 1.08 -3.01
3 H Merrimack (18-14, 92.9) 44-60 -7.00 3.96 -0.01 1.08 -3.80
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-97.94
|
winning pts = 5.1572 losing points = -103.0971
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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