No Iowa
W-L: (18-14) PR = 94.2693Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H No Dakota St SM (25- 5, 95.6) 49-63 1109 H St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 58-62 1116 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 41-74 1120 A Creighton BE (15-15, 95.0) 51-50 1126 A No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 79-60 1128 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 56-62 1203 A Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 68-54 1206 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 68-52 1210 H So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 57-59 1214 H Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 53-81 1221 A St Thomas MN SM (11-16, 93.4) 58-40 1229 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 86-52 1231 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 75-74 104 A So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 91-64 109 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 71-75 111 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 62-81 118 A Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 73-70 123 A Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 89-74 125 H Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 65-68 129 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 55-59 201 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 66-56 205 H Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 47-69 207 H Belmont MV (20-12, 94.8) 58-70 212 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 91-79 219 A So Illinois MV ( 8-20, 92.6) 77-48 221 H Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 63-64 226 A Valparaiso MV ( 0-32, 90.3) 92-54 228 A Ill-Chicago MV (14-18, 93.5) 82-68 305 A Indiana St MV (10-22, 92.7) 92-73 308 A Drake MV (12-20, 93.3) 65-58 313 A Bradley MV (19-13, 94.2) 74-73 314 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 59-72
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H No Dakota St 49-63 -14 -1 -0.66
1109 H St Louis 58-62 -4 1 - -2.57
1116 H Iowa 41-74 -33 -4 0.00
1120 A Creighton 51-50 1 -1 1.76
1126 A No Arizona 79-60 19 1 0.62
1128 H UNLV 56-62 -6 -1 -1.28
1203 A Illinois St 68-54 14 0 + 2.13
1206 A Toledo 68-52 16 0 1.69
1210 H So Dakota St 57-59 -2 -2 -0.07
1214 H Iowa St 53-81 -28 -2 -0.07
1221 A St Thomas MN 58-40 18 1 1.11
1229 A Valparaiso 86-52 34 4 0.00
1231 A Ill-Chicago 75-74 1 1 0.26
104 A So Illinois 91-64 27 2 0.38
109 H Murray St 71-75 -4 -1 -0.60
111 H Belmont 62-81 -19 0 -1.51
118 A Bradley 73-70 3 0 1.95
123 A Murray St 89-74 15 -1 + 3.42
125 H Evansville 65-68 -3 1 - -3.49
129 H Illinois St 55-59 -4 0 -1.89
201 A Drake 66-56 10 1 1.09
205 H Bradley 47-69 -22 0 - -2.07
207 H Belmont 58-70 -12 0 -1.51
212 A Indiana St 91-79 12 2 0.39
219 A So Illinois 77-48 29 2 0.38
221 H Evansville 63-64 -1 1 - -2.49
226 A Valparaiso 92-54 38 4 0.00
228 A Ill-Chicago 82-68 14 1 1.26
305 A Indiana St 92-73 19 2 0.39
308 A Drake 65-58 7 1 1.09
313 A Bradley 74-73 1 0 0.95
314 H Murray St 59-72 -13 -1 -0.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 H St Louis 58-62 -4 1 - -2.57 125 H Evansville 65-68 -3 1 - -3.49 205 H Bradley 47-69 -22 0 - -2.07 221 H Evansville 63-64 -1 1 - -2.49 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A Illinois St 68-54 14 0 + 2.13 123 A Murray St 89-74 15 -1 + 3.42 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H No Dakota St (25- 5, 95.6) 49-63 -4.28 6.68 -0.01 0.95 -2.04
3 H St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 58-62 -6.19 4.77 -0.01 0.95 -2.94
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 41-74 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.95 -0.92
3 A Creighton (15-15, 95.0) 51-50 -4.88 6.08 0.01 0.95 11.55
3 A No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 79-60 -7.02 3.94 0.01 0.95 7.49
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 56-62 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 0.95 -2.33
3 A Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 68-54 -5.52 5.44 0.01 0.95 10.35
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 68-52 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.95 9.52
3 H So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 57-59 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.95 -1.76
3 H Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 53-81 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.95 -1.76
3 A St Thomas MN (11-16, 93.4) 58-40 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.95 8.43
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 86-52 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.95 2.52
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 75-74 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.95 8.70
3 A So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 91-64 -7.26 3.70 0.01 0.95 7.03
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 71-75 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.95 -2.01
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 62-81 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.95 -2.44
3 A Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 73-70 -5.70 5.27 0.01 0.95 10.01
3 A Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 89-74 -4.22 6.74 0.01 0.95 12.80
3 H Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 65-68 -7.11 3.85 -0.01 0.95 -3.38
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 55-59 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.95 -2.62
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 66-56 -6.55 4.41 0.01 0.95 8.37
3 H Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 47-69 -5.70 5.27 -0.01 0.95 -2.71
3 H Belmont (20-12, 94.8) 58-70 -5.14 5.82 -0.01 0.95 -2.44
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 91-79 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.95 7.06
3 A So Illinois ( 8-20, 92.6) 77-48 -7.26 3.70 0.01 0.95 7.03
3 H Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 63-64 -7.11 3.85 -0.01 0.95 -3.38
3 A Valparaiso ( 0-32, 90.3) 92-54 -9.64 1.32 0.01 0.95 2.52
3 A Ill-Chicago (14-18, 93.5) 82-68 -6.38 4.58 0.01 0.95 8.70
3 A Indiana St (10-22, 92.7) 92-73 -7.25 3.71 0.01 0.95 7.06
3 A Drake (12-20, 93.3) 65-58 -6.55 4.41 0.01 0.95 8.37
3 A Bradley (19-13, 94.2) 74-73 -5.70 5.27 0.01 0.95 10.01
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 59-72 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.95 -2.01
------
114.80
|
winning pts = 147.5126 losing points = -32.7114
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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