NM St
W-L: ( 7-21) PR = 92.7092Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1104 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 48-87 1111 A NMHI 78-61 1116 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 45-77 1124 H San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 48-57 1127 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 42-72 1128 H Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 49-64 1204 H So Utah WAC S (15-12, 93.8) 59-69 1206 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 58-55 1216 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 66-83 1220 H Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 59-70 102 H Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 62-67 104 A Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 64-57 108 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 70-67 110 H Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 51-88 115 H Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 74-83 117 A Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 63-56 122 H Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 46-57 124 H Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 55-70 131 H TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 69-79 205 A Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 65-57 207 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 58-77 212 H Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 62-65 214 H Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 42-67 221 H TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 58-69 226 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 52-40 228 H Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 38-57 305 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 47-88 307 H Sam Houston CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 55-71
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1104 H USC 48-87 -39 -4 0.00
1116 H New Mexico 45-77 -32 -2 -0.06
1124 H San Diego 48-57 -9 -1 -1.44
1127 H Charlotte 42-72 -30 -2 -0.39
1128 H Fresno St 49-64 -15 -1 -1.07
1204 H So Utah 59-69 -10 -1 -0.90
1206 A Utah Tech 58-55 3 0 1.85
1216 H UC Irvine 66-83 -17 -2 -0.09
1220 H Saint Marys 59-70 -11 -1 -0.85
102 H Liberty 62-67 -5 -2 -0.48
104 A Delaware 64-57 7 -1 + 2.56
108 A We Kentucky 70-67 3 0 + 2.05
110 H Middle Tenn 51-88 -37 -1 -0.67
115 H Florida Int 74-83 -9 -2 -0.38
117 A Missouri St 63-56 7 -2 + 3.96
122 H Jacksonv St 46-57 -11 -1 -1.35
124 H Kennesaw St 55-70 -15 0 -1.63
131 H TX-El Paso 69-79 -10 0 -1.58
205 A Sam Houston 65-57 8 -1 + 3.47
207 H La Tech 58-77 -19 -2 0.00
212 H Delaware 62-65 -3 -1 -1.46
214 H Liberty 42-67 -25 -2 -0.48
221 H TX-El Paso 58-69 -11 0 -1.58
226 A Kennesaw St 52-40 12 0 + 2.39
228 H Jacksonv St 38-57 -19 -1 -1.35
305 H La Tech 47-88 -41 -2 0.00
307 H Sam Houston 55-71 -16 -1 -0.55
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 104 A Delaware 64-57 7 -1 + 2.56 108 A We Kentucky 70-67 3 0 + 2.05 117 A Missouri St 63-56 7 -2 + 3.96 205 A Sam Houston 65-57 8 -1 + 3.47 226 A Kennesaw St 52-40 12 0 + 2.39 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 48-87 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 1.12 -1.72
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 45-77 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.12 -2.95
3 H San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 48-57 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.12 -3.73
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 42-72 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 1.12 -3.14
3 H Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 49-64 -6.25 4.71 -0.01 1.12 -3.52
3 H So Utah (15-12, 93.8) 59-69 -6.08 4.88 -0.01 1.12 -3.42
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 58-55 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.12 8.15
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 66-83 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.12 -2.97
3 H Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 59-70 -6.03 4.93 -0.01 1.12 -3.39
3 H Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 62-67 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.12 -3.19
3 A Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 64-57 -6.64 4.32 0.01 1.12 9.74
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 70-67 -7.15 3.81 0.01 1.12 8.59
3 H Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 51-88 -5.85 5.11 -0.01 1.12 -3.29
3 H Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 74-83 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.12 -3.13
3 A Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 63-56 -5.24 5.72 0.01 1.12 12.88
3 H Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 46-57 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 1.12 -3.67
3 H Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 55-70 -6.81 4.15 -0.01 1.12 -3.83
3 H TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 69-79 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.12 -3.80
3 A Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 65-57 -5.73 5.23 0.01 1.12 11.79
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 58-77 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 1.12 -2.72
3 H Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 62-65 -6.64 4.32 -0.01 1.12 -3.74
3 H Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 42-67 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.12 -3.19
3 H TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 58-69 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.12 -3.80
3 A Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 52-40 -6.81 4.15 0.01 1.12 9.35
3 H Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 38-57 -6.53 4.43 -0.01 1.12 -3.67
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 47-88 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 1.12 -2.72
3 H Sam Houston (16-13, 94.2) 55-71 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 1.12 -3.22
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-8.33
|
winning pts = 60.4889 losing points = -68.8201
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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