Norfolk St
W-L: (17-15) PR = 92.7750Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 46-87 1106 A UDOFC 85-39 1109 A VIRGS 77-53 1112 H Duke ACC (27- 9, 97.6) 32-83 1116 H Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 52-98 1118 H Pennsylvania IVY (16-10, 94.5) 50-55 1121 H Hampton CA ( 7-21, 92.1) 55-57 1125 H App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 38-66 1201 A SHAW 86-48 1206 A NC A&T CA ( 8-19, 92.2) 63-50 1208 H Georgia Tech ACC (14-19, 95.2) 57-72 1215 H Campbell CA (19-12, 93.5) 63-68 1218 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 45-79 1221 H Elon CA (15-16, 93.0) 41-58 103 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 68-48 108 H MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 60-63 110 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 69-53 117 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 85-41 122 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 78-52 124 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 69-58 131 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 59-68 207 A NC Center MEAC ( 9-20, 91.3) 58-45 212 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 57-51 214 A Delaware St MEAC ( 6-23, 90.9) 77-45 221 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 93-52 226 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 69-60 228 A Coppin St MEAC ( 9-23, 91.8) 73-34 305 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 59-74 312 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 69-43 313 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 60-51 314 H Howard MEAC (26- 8, 94.6) 46-53 321 H Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 54-58
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Ole Miss 46-87 -41 -4 0.00
1112 H Duke 32-83 -51 -5 0.00
1116 H Iowa St 52-98 -46 -3 0.00
1118 H Pennsylvania 50-55 -5 -2 -0.27
1121 H Hampton 55-57 -2 1 - -2.73
1125 H App State 38-66 -28 0 -1.53
1206 A NC A&T 63-50 13 1 1.40
1208 H Georgia Tech 57-72 -15 -2 0.00
1215 H Campbell 63-68 -5 -1 -1.33
1218 H Ohio St 45-79 -34 -5 0.00
1221 H Elon 41-58 -17 0 -1.76
103 A NC Center 68-48 20 1 0.58
108 H MD-Ea Shore 60-63 -3 -1 -1.42
110 A Delaware St 69-53 16 2 0.09
117 A SC St 85-41 44 2 0.00
122 A Morgan State 78-52 26 2 0.11
124 A Coppin St 69-58 11 1 0.99
131 H Howard 59-68 -9 -2 -0.15
207 A NC Center 58-45 13 1 0.58
212 A MD-Ea Shore 57-51 6 -1 + 2.60
214 A Delaware St 77-45 32 2 0.09
221 A SC St 93-52 41 2 0.00
226 A Morgan State 69-60 9 2 0.11
228 A Coppin St 73-34 39 1 0.99
305 H Howard 59-74 -15 -2 -0.15
312 A Morgan State 69-43 26 2 0.11
313 A MD-Ea Shore 60-51 9 -1 + 2.60
314 H Howard 46-53 -7 -2 -0.15
321 H Loyola Chic 54-58 -4 -1 -0.76
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1121 H Hampton 55-57 -2 1 - -2.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A MD-Ea Shore 57-51 6 -1 + 2.60 313 A MD-Ea Shore 60-51 9 -1 + 2.60 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 46-87 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 1.05 -1.48
3 H Duke (27- 9, 97.6) 32-83 -2.30 8.66 -0.01 1.05 -1.21
3 H Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 52-98 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 1.05 -1.94
3 H Pennsylvania (16-10, 94.5) 50-55 -5.38 5.58 -0.01 1.05 -2.82
3 H Hampton ( 7-21, 92.1) 55-57 -7.84 3.12 -0.01 1.05 -4.11
3 H App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 38-66 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.05 -3.48
3 A NC A&T ( 8-19, 92.2) 63-50 -7.73 3.23 0.01 1.05 6.77
3 H Georgia Tech (14-19, 95.2) 57-72 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 1.05 -2.48
3 H Campbell (19-12, 93.5) 63-68 -6.44 4.52 -0.01 1.05 -3.38
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 45-79 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 1.05 -1.04
3 H Elon (15-16, 93.0) 41-58 -6.87 4.09 -0.01 1.05 -3.60
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 68-48 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.05 5.05
3 H MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 60-63 -6.54 4.42 -0.01 1.05 -3.43
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 69-53 -9.05 1.91 0.01 1.05 4.02
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 85-41 -9.50 1.46 0.01 1.05 3.08
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 78-52 -9.02 1.94 0.01 1.05 4.07
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 69-58 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.05 5.92
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 59-68 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 A NC Center ( 9-20, 91.3) 58-45 -8.56 2.40 0.01 1.05 5.05
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 57-51 -6.54 4.42 0.01 1.05 9.28
3 A Delaware St ( 6-23, 90.9) 77-45 -9.05 1.91 0.01 1.05 4.02
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 93-52 -9.50 1.46 0.01 1.05 3.08
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 69-60 -9.02 1.94 0.01 1.05 4.07
3 A Coppin St ( 9-23, 91.8) 73-34 -8.14 2.82 0.01 1.05 5.92
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 59-74 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 69-43 -9.02 1.94 0.01 1.05 4.07
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 60-51 -6.54 4.42 0.01 1.05 9.28
3 H Howard (26- 8, 94.6) 46-53 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.76
3 H Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 54-58 -5.87 5.09 -0.01 1.05 -3.08
------
33.36
|
winning pts = 73.6867 losing points = -40.3293
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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