No Texas
W-L: (18-14) PR = 94.6486Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A OKCHR **-36 1107 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 89-49 1119 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 51-60 1122 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 58-55 1126 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 1127 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 47-67 1203 H Oklahoma St B12 (23-11, 96.6) 55-73 1206 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 81-52 1214 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 69-81 1218 H Oral Roberts SM (12-14, 93.8) 73-74 1221 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 72-84 1230 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 81-56 103 H So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 61-77 106 A Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 87-63 110 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 59-53 113 A Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 75-64 117 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 54-58 120 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 72-59 123 H Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 53-57 128 H Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 64-66 131 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 67-49 207 A Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 69-66 210 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 68-70 214 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 56-47 217 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 84-54 221 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 82-73 224 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 87-63 228 H So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 63-66 303 H Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 55-60 311 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 80-57 312 A Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 76-73 313 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 67-71
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Grambling St 89-49 40 3 0.00
1119 H Abilene Chr 51-60 -9 0 - -2.41
1122 A SMU 58-55 3 1 1.12
1127 H Texas Tech 47-67 -20 -2 -0.07
1203 H Oklahoma St 55-73 -18 -2 -0.05
1206 A TX Southern 81-52 29 4 0.00
1214 H Illinois 69-81 -12 -2 0.00
1218 H Oral Roberts 73-74 -1 1 -1.91
1221 H Santa Clara 72-84 -12 0 -1.52
1230 A Florida Atl 81-56 25 1 1.19
103 H So Florida 61-77 -16 -1 -1.23
106 A Ea Carolina 87-63 24 0 + 2.03
110 A Tulane 59-53 6 1 0.90
113 A Memphis 75-64 11 1 0.64
117 H Rice 54-58 -4 -1 -0.62
120 A UAB 72-59 13 1 0.85
123 H Tulsa 53-57 -4 0 - -2.10
128 H Texas-SA 64-66 -2 0 - -2.10
131 A Florida Atl 67-49 18 1 1.19
207 A Temple 69-66 3 0 1.76
210 H Rice 68-70 -2 -1 -0.62
214 A Tulane 56-47 9 1 0.90
217 A UAB 84-54 30 1 0.85
221 A Charlotte 82-73 9 0 1.69
224 A Texas-SA 87-63 24 0 1.92
228 H So Florida 63-66 -3 -1 -1.23
303 H Wichita St 55-60 -5 2 - -3.70
311 A Florida Atl 80-57 23 1 1.19
312 A Tulsa 76-73 3 0 1.92
313 H Rice 67-71 -4 -1 -0.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H Abilene Chr 51-60 -9 0 - -2.41 123 H Tulsa 53-57 -4 0 - -2.10 128 H Texas-SA 64-66 -2 0 - -2.10 303 H Wichita St 55-60 -5 2 - -3.70 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 106 A Ea Carolina 87-63 24 0 + 2.03 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 89-49 -7.92 3.04 0.01 1.01 6.18
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 51-60 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 1.01 -2.86
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 58-55 -6.14 4.82 0.01 1.01 9.78
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 47-67 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 1.01 -1.68
3 H Oklahoma St (23-11, 96.6) 55-73 -3.29 7.67 -0.01 1.01 -1.67
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 81-52 -8.91 2.05 0.01 1.01 4.17
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 69-81 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 1.01 -1.62
3 H Oral Roberts (12-14, 93.8) 73-74 -6.15 4.81 -0.01 1.01 -3.11
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 72-84 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 1.01 -2.41
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 81-56 -6.08 4.89 0.01 1.01 9.90
3 H So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 61-77 -4.47 6.49 -0.01 1.01 -2.26
3 A Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 87-63 -5.23 5.73 0.01 1.01 11.61
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 59-53 -6.36 4.60 0.01 1.01 9.33
3 A Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 75-64 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.01 8.81
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 54-58 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.01 -1.96
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 72-59 -6.41 4.55 0.01 1.01 9.22
3 H Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 53-57 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 1.01 -2.70
3 H Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 64-66 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 1.01 -2.70
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 67-49 -6.08 4.89 0.01 1.01 9.90
3 A Temple (15-17, 94.4) 69-66 -5.50 5.46 0.01 1.01 11.06
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 68-70 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.01 -1.96
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 56-47 -6.36 4.60 0.01 1.01 9.33
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 84-54 -6.41 4.55 0.01 1.01 9.22
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 82-73 -5.57 5.39 0.01 1.01 10.92
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 87-63 -5.34 5.62 0.01 1.01 11.40
3 H So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 63-66 -4.47 6.49 -0.01 1.01 -2.26
3 H Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 55-60 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 1.01 -3.51
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 80-57 -6.08 4.89 0.01 1.01 9.90
3 A Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 76-73 -5.34 5.62 0.01 1.01 11.40
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 67-71 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.01 -1.96
------
119.45
|
winning pts = 152.1317 losing points = -32.6862
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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