Northwestern
W-L: ( 8-21) PR = 94.7354Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A IUI HL (12-17, 93.4) 67-64 1109 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 64-51 1114 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 69-54 1117 A DePaul BE ( 8-24, 93.6) 79-72 1121 A Cleveland St HL (25- 9, 94.3) 75-68 1128 A Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 62-59 1129 H Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 70-85 1203 H Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 62-74 1207 H Ohio St B10 (27- 9, 97.9) 70-79 1214 H Utah B12 (17-14, 95.8) 66-91 1218 H Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 68-69 1221 H George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 62-75 1229 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 73-94 101 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 54-87 105 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 58-67 108 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 47-79 111 A Rutgers B10 ( 9-20, 94.6) 73-54 115 A Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 66-61 118 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 71-74 125 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 46-80 128 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 73-89 201 H Indiana B10 (18-15, 96.1) 75-89 205 H USC B10 (18-14, 96.8) 65-83 212 H Michigan B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 58-80 215 H Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 71-81 218 H Michigan St B10 (21- 9, 97.2) 68-** 222 H Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 65-92 225 H Maryland B10 (24- 9, 97.2) 57-79 301 H Purdue B10 (13-17, 95.6) 62-67
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A IUI 67-64 3 1 0.68
1109 A SIUE 64-51 13 1 0.67
1114 A MD-Ea Shore 69-54 15 1 0.64
1117 A DePaul 79-72 7 1 0.83
1121 A Cleveland St 75-68 7 0 1.56
1128 A Abilene Chr 62-59 3 0 1.52
1129 H Missouri 70-85 -15 -1 -1.12
1203 H Kansas 62-74 -12 -1 -0.70
1207 H Ohio St 70-79 -9 -3 0.00
1214 H Utah 66-91 -25 -1 -0.93
1218 H Loyola Chic 68-69 -1 1 -1.72
1221 H George Wash 62-75 -13 1 - -2.51
1229 H Washington 73-94 -21 -2 0.00
101 H Oregon 54-87 -33 -2 0.00
105 H Iowa 58-67 -9 -3 0.00
108 H Minnesota 47-79 -32 -3 0.00
111 A Rutgers 73-54 19 0 1.83
115 A Wisconsin 66-61 5 -1 + 2.86
118 H Illinois 71-74 -3 -2 -0.04
125 H UCLA 46-80 -34 -5 0.00
128 H Nebraska 73-89 -16 -2 -0.40
201 H Indiana 75-89 -14 -1 -0.66
205 H USC 65-83 -18 -2 0.00
212 H Michigan 58-80 -22 -3 0.00
215 H Penn St 71-81 -10 -1 -1.27
218 H Michigan St 68-** -36 -2 0.00
222 H Illinois 65-92 -27 -2 -0.04
225 H Maryland 57-79 -22 -2 0.00
301 H Purdue 62-67 -5 -1 -1.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1221 H George Wash 62-75 -13 1 - -2.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 A Wisconsin 66-61 5 -1 + 2.86 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A IUI (12-17, 93.4) 67-64 -6.49 4.47 0.01 1.05 9.37
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 64-51 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.05 9.35
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 69-54 -6.54 4.42 0.01 1.05 9.28
3 A DePaul ( 8-24, 93.6) 79-72 -6.35 4.61 0.01 1.05 9.67
3 A Cleveland St (25- 9, 94.3) 75-68 -5.62 5.34 0.01 1.05 11.20
3 A Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 62-59 -5.65 5.31 0.01 1.05 11.13
3 H Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 70-85 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.24
3 H Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 62-74 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 1.05 -2.02
3 H Ohio St (27- 9, 97.9) 70-79 -1.98 8.98 -0.01 1.05 -1.04
3 H Utah (17-14, 95.8) 66-91 -4.09 6.87 -0.01 1.05 -2.14
3 H Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 68-69 -5.87 5.09 -0.01 1.05 -3.08
3 H George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 62-75 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 1.05 -2.97
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 73-94 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 1.05 -1.53
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 54-87 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 1.05 -1.51
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 58-67 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 1.05 -1.02
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 47-79 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 1.05 -1.39
3 A Rutgers ( 9-20, 94.6) 73-54 -5.35 5.61 0.01 1.05 11.77
3 A Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 66-61 -4.32 6.64 0.01 1.05 13.92
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 71-74 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 1.05 -1.68
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 46-80 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 1.05 -0.01
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 73-89 -3.55 7.41 -0.01 1.05 -1.86
3 H Indiana (18-15, 96.1) 75-89 -3.81 7.15 -0.01 1.05 -2.00
3 H USC (18-14, 96.8) 65-83 -3.05 7.91 -0.01 1.05 -1.60
3 H Michigan (27- 7, 98.0) 58-80 -1.86 9.10 -0.01 1.05 -0.98
3 H Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 71-81 -4.43 6.53 -0.01 1.05 -2.32
3 H Michigan St (21- 9, 97.2) 68-** -2.71 8.25 -0.01 1.05 -1.42
3 H Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 65-92 -3.20 7.76 -0.01 1.05 -1.68
3 H Maryland (24- 9, 97.2) 57-79 -2.68 8.28 -0.01 1.05 -1.41
3 H Purdue (13-17, 95.6) 62-67 -4.34 6.62 -0.01 1.05 -2.28
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49.52
|
winning pts = 85.6920 losing points = -36.1732
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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