Oregon State
W-L: (21-11) PR = 95.2895Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1110 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 60-49 1114 A Illinois B10 (21-12, 96.7) 64-59 1118 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 71-52 1123 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 71-55 1127 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 66-88 1129 H Va Tech ACC (23-10, 96.3) 67-78 1203 H Oregon B10 (24-12, 97.0) 73-96 1214 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 53-55 1219 A Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 53-51 1220 A Liberty CUSA (16-13, 94.2) 64-57 1228 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 74-65 1230 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 63-57 102 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 81-61 108 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 78-64 110 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 68-38 115 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 51-55 117 A Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 69-68 122 A Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 92-87 129 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 61-43 131 A San Fran WC (18-14, 94.5) 75-53 205 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 37-67 207 H Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 50-53 212 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 70-83 214 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 70-60 219 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 64-54 221 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 79-51 226 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 83-49 228 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 69-71 308 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 60-50 309 A Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 73-67 310 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 66-76 319 H Wisconsin B10 (16-17, 95.6) 58-62
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1110 A Air Force 60-49 11 2 0.46
1114 A Illinois 64-59 5 -1 + 3.42
1118 A Utah State 71-52 19 3 0.00
1123 A LB St 71-55 16 4 0.00
1127 H Vanderbilt 66-88 -22 -3 0.00
1129 H Va Tech 67-78 -11 -1 -1.02
1203 H Oregon 73-96 -23 -2 -0.28
1214 H Arizona St 53-55 -2 -1 -1.11
1219 A Montana St 53-51 2 0 1.86
1220 A Liberty 64-57 7 1 0.96
1228 A San Fran 74-65 9 1 1.18
1230 A Saint Marys 63-57 6 1 0.59
102 A Pacific 81-61 20 2 0.45
108 A Wash St 78-64 14 2 0.31
110 A Seattle 68-38 30 3 0.00
115 H Loyola Marym 51-55 -4 1 - -2.59
117 A Pepperdine 69-68 1 1 0.22
122 A Gonzaga 92-87 5 0 + 2.31
129 A San Diego 61-43 18 2 0.00
131 A San Fran 75-53 22 1 1.18
205 H Gonzaga 37-67 -30 0 -1.71
207 H Portland 50-53 -3 1 - -2.77
212 H Santa Clara 70-83 -13 0 - -2.16
214 A Pacific 70-60 10 2 0.45
219 A Portland 64-54 10 1 1.25
221 A Wash St 79-51 28 2 0.31
226 A San Diego 83-49 34 2 0.00
228 H Loyola Marym 69-71 -2 1 - -2.59
308 A Portland 60-50 10 1 1.25
309 A Loyola Marym 73-67 6 1 1.43
310 H Gonzaga 66-76 -10 0 -1.71
319 H Wisconsin 58-62 -4 0 -1.72
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H Loyola Marym 51-55 -4 1 - -2.59 207 H Portland 50-53 -3 1 - -2.77 212 H Santa Clara 70-83 -13 0 - -2.16 228 H Loyola Marym 69-71 -2 1 - -2.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1114 A Illinois 64-59 5 -1 + 3.42 122 A Gonzaga 92-87 5 0 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 60-49 -6.16 4.80 0.01 0.95 9.13
3 A Illinois (21-12, 96.7) 64-59 -3.20 7.76 0.01 0.95 14.75
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 71-52 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.95 6.74
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 71-55 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.95 5.39
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 66-88 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 0.95 -0.88
3 H Va Tech (23-10, 96.3) 67-78 -3.62 7.34 -0.01 0.95 -1.72
3 H Oregon (24-12, 97.0) 73-96 -2.88 8.08 -0.01 0.95 -1.37
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 53-55 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 0.95 -1.76
3 A Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 53-51 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.95 11.79
3 A Liberty (16-13, 94.2) 64-57 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.95 10.07
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 74-65 -5.44 5.52 0.01 0.95 10.49
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 63-57 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.95 9.37
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 81-61 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.95 9.11
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 78-64 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.95 8.84
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 68-38 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.95 5.45
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 51-55 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 0.95 -2.47
3 A Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 69-68 -5.40 5.56 0.01 0.95 10.56
3 A Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 92-87 -4.31 6.65 0.01 0.95 12.64
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 61-43 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.25
3 A San Fran (18-14, 94.5) 75-53 -5.44 5.52 0.01 0.95 10.49
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 37-67 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
3 H Portland (18-15, 94.5) 50-53 -5.37 5.59 -0.01 0.95 -2.55
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 70-83 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 70-60 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.95 9.11
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 64-54 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.95 10.62
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 79-51 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.95 8.84
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 83-49 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.25
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 69-71 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 0.95 -2.47
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 60-50 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.95 10.62
3 A Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 73-67 -5.19 5.77 0.01 0.95 10.96
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 66-76 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
3 H Wisconsin (16-17, 95.6) 58-62 -4.32 6.64 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
------
179.83
|
winning pts = 201.4606 losing points = -21.6332
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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