So Alabama
W-L: (17-19) PR = 93.6822Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Akron MA ( 4-25, 92.4) 87-63 1108 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 91-68 1111 H Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 68-76 1114 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 83-46 1120 A Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 70-63 1125 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 66-54 1130 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 75-54 1204 H La Tech CUSA (24- 7, 95.1) 80-82 1207 H Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 61-75 1214 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 70-58 1218 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 65-84 1220 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 61-74 101 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 44-61 103 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 81-56 108 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 67-** 110 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 73-67 117 H Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 59-63 122 H Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 75-78 124 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 46-69 129 H App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 57-60 131 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 52-88 204 H Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 60-69 207 H We Michigan MA ( 9-20, 92.8) 67-73 212 H TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 63-69 214 H Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 54-57 218 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 73-84 221 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 64-59 225 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 57-43 227 A Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 76-69 303 A App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 68-57 304 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 80-70 305 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 69-59 306 A Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 73-58 307 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 54-79 321 A Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 73-65 324 H PFW HL (21-15, 94.1) 72-77
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Akron 87-63 24 1 0.71
1108 A UAB 91-68 23 0 1.82
1111 H Memphis 68-76 -8 0 - -2.41
1114 A No Florida 83-46 37 1 0.65
1120 A Florida Atl 70-63 7 0 + 2.15
1125 A Kennesaw St 66-54 12 1 1.42
1130 A Florida A&M 75-54 21 2 0.00
1204 H La Tech 80-82 -2 -1 -0.62
1207 H Florida 61-75 -14 -2 0.00
1214 A No Alabama 70-58 12 0 1.73
1218 H So Miss 65-84 -19 0 -1.93
1220 H Arkansas St 61-74 -13 -1 -0.76
101 H LA-Monroe 44-61 -17 0 -1.72
103 A Louisiana 81-56 25 1 0.51
108 H Arkansas St 67-** -40 -1 -0.76
110 A LA-Monroe 73-67 6 0 + 2.30
117 H Coastal Car 59-63 -4 0 - -2.13
122 H Georgia St 75-78 -3 0 - -2.50
124 H Georgia So 46-69 -23 -2 -0.44
129 H App State 57-60 -3 0 - -2.44
131 H Jam Madison 52-88 -36 -2 -0.05
204 H Marshall 60-69 -9 -1 -0.59
207 H We Michigan 67-73 -6 1 - -2.85
212 H TX St-SM 63-69 -6 1 - -2.73
214 H Louisiana 54-57 -3 2 - -3.51
218 H Troy 73-84 -11 -2 -0.31
221 A TX St-SM 64-59 5 1 1.29
225 A So Miss 57-43 14 0 + 2.09
227 A Troy 76-69 7 -2 + 3.71
303 A App State 68-57 11 0 1.58
304 A Coastal Car 80-70 10 0 1.89
305 A TX St-SM 69-59 10 1 1.29
306 A Marshall 73-58 15 -1 + 3.43
307 H Jam Madison 54-79 -25 -2 -0.05
321 A Alcorn St 73-65 8 1 0.83
324 H PFW 72-77 -5 0 -1.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 H Memphis 68-76 -8 0 - -2.41 117 H Coastal Car 59-63 -4 0 - -2.13 122 H Georgia St 75-78 -3 0 - -2.50 129 H App State 57-60 -3 0 - -2.44 207 H We Michigan 67-73 -6 1 - -2.85 212 H TX St-SM 63-69 -6 1 - -2.73 214 H Louisiana 54-57 -3 2 - -3.51 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 A Florida Atl 70-63 7 0 + 2.15 110 A LA-Monroe 73-67 6 0 + 2.30 225 A So Miss 57-43 14 0 + 2.09 227 A Troy 76-69 7 -2 + 3.71 306 A Marshall 73-58 15 -1 + 3.43 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Akron ( 4-25, 92.4) 87-63 -7.52 3.44 0.01 0.84 5.81
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 91-68 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.84 7.69
3 H Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 68-76 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 0.84 -2.79
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 83-46 -7.58 3.38 0.01 0.84 5.72
3 A Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 70-63 -6.08 4.89 0.01 0.84 8.25
3 A Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 66-54 -6.81 4.15 0.01 0.84 7.01
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 75-54 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.84 4.63
3 H La Tech (24- 7, 95.1) 80-82 -4.82 6.14 -0.01 0.84 -2.04
3 H Florida (18-15, 95.8) 61-75 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.84 -1.74
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 70-58 -6.50 4.46 0.01 0.84 7.54
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 65-84 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 0.84 -2.59
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 61-74 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 0.84 -2.10
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 44-61 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 0.84 -2.50
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 81-56 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.84 5.48
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 67-** -4.97 5.99 -0.01 0.84 -2.10
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 73-67 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.84 8.51
3 H Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 59-63 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 0.84 -2.67
3 H Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 75-78 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 0.84 -2.83
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 46-69 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 0.84 -1.96
3 H App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 57-60 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 0.84 -2.81
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 52-88 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.84 -1.80
3 H Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 60-69 -4.80 6.16 -0.01 0.84 -2.03
3 H We Michigan ( 9-20, 92.8) 67-73 -7.06 3.90 -0.01 0.84 -2.98
3 H TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 63-69 -6.94 4.02 -0.01 0.84 -2.93
3 H Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 54-57 -7.72 3.24 -0.01 0.84 -3.26
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 73-84 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 0.84 -1.91
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 64-59 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.84 6.80
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 57-43 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.84 8.14
3 A Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 76-69 -4.52 6.44 0.01 0.84 10.88
3 A App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 68-57 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.84 7.29
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 80-70 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.84 7.82
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 69-59 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.84 6.80
3 A Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 73-58 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.84 10.40
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 54-79 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.84 -1.80
3 A Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 73-65 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.84 6.03
3 H PFW (21-15, 94.1) 72-77 -5.82 5.14 -0.01 0.84 -2.46
------
79.51
|
winning pts = 124.7984 losing points = -45.2874
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------