Samford
W-L: (14-19) PR = 92.8188Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1108 H Nebraska B10 (18-13, 96.3) 46-80 1113 H Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 40-87 1115 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 77-57 1119 H Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 45-84 1124 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 44-67 1125 H Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 64-69 1126 A Stony Brook CA (16-15, 93.3) 58-48 1201 H Minnesota B10 (24-10, 97.3) 40-77 1204 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 60-82 1207 H No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 66-68 1214 A SC Upstate BSO ( 9-21, 91.5) 74-67 1218 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 65-59 1222 H UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 49-65 1228 H Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 54-** 102 A FISK 70-54 108 H UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 64-73 110 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 73-62 117 H Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 67-76 122 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 56-80 124 H Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 62-70 130 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 44-53 201 H Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 40-61 205 A We Carolina SO ( 1-26, 89.5) 73-50 207 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 68-64 214 A Mercer SO (16-13, 92.9) 68-48 219 A Furman SO (16-13, 93.2) 68-59 221 H Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 44-52 226 A Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 77-70 228 H Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 39-46 305 A Wofford SO (13-13, 93.2) 59-57 306 A Ea Tenn St SO (16-12, 93.1) 57-48 308 A Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 72-67 319 H Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 53-65
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 H Nebraska 46-80 -34 -4 0.00
1113 H Florida 40-87 -47 -3 0.00
1115 A Florida A&M 77-57 20 1 0.87
1119 H Alabama 45-84 -39 -4 0.00
1124 H Ce Arkansas 44-67 -23 -1 -0.72
1125 H Georgia St 64-69 -5 0 -1.63
1126 A Stony Brook 58-48 10 -1 + 2.51
1201 H Minnesota 40-77 -37 -4 0.00
1204 H Tenn Tech 60-82 -22 -1 -1.26
1207 H No Alabama 66-68 -2 -1 -1.43
1214 A SC Upstate 74-67 7 1 0.71
1218 A Lipscomb 65-59 6 0 1.70
1222 H UAB 49-65 -16 -1 -1.34
1228 H Miss St 54-** -58 -3 0.00
108 H UNCG 64-73 -9 1 - -2.59
110 A We Carolina 73-62 11 3 0.00
117 H Mercer 67-76 -9 0 -1.89
122 H Wofford 56-80 -24 0 -1.66
124 H Furman 62-70 -8 0 -1.67
130 H Ea Tenn St 44-53 -9 0 -1.69
201 H Chattanooga 40-61 -21 -1 -1.20
205 A We Carolina 73-50 23 3 0.00
207 A UNCG 68-64 4 1 1.43
214 A Mercer 68-48 20 0 + 2.13
219 A Furman 68-59 9 0 + 2.35
221 H Wofford 44-52 -8 0 -1.66
226 A Chattanooga 77-70 7 -1 + 2.82
228 H Ea Tenn St 39-46 -7 0 -1.69
305 A Wofford 59-57 2 0 + 2.36
306 A Ea Tenn St 57-48 9 0 + 2.33
308 A Chattanooga 72-67 5 -1 + 2.82
319 H Southern 53-65 -12 0 -1.59
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 108 H UNCG 64-73 -9 1 - -2.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1126 A Stony Brook 58-48 10 -1 + 2.51 214 A Mercer 68-48 20 0 + 2.13 219 A Furman 68-59 9 0 + 2.35 226 A Chattanooga 77-70 7 -1 + 2.82 305 A Wofford 59-57 2 0 + 2.36 306 A Ea Tenn St 57-48 9 0 + 2.33 308 A Chattanooga 72-67 5 -1 + 2.82 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Nebraska (18-13, 96.3) 46-80 -3.55 7.41 -0.01 0.95 -1.69
3 H Florida (18-15, 95.8) 40-87 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.95 -1.96
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 77-57 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.95 5.21
3 H Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 45-84 -2.77 8.19 -0.01 0.95 -1.32
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 44-67 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 0.95 -2.75
3 H Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 64-69 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 0.95 -3.18
3 A Stony Brook (16-15, 93.3) 58-48 -6.58 4.38 0.01 0.95 8.32
3 H Minnesota (24-10, 97.3) 40-77 -2.64 8.32 -0.01 0.95 -1.26
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 60-82 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 0.95 -3.00
3 H No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 66-68 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 0.95 -3.09
3 A SC Upstate ( 9-21, 91.5) 74-67 -8.38 2.58 0.01 0.95 4.91
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 65-59 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.78
3 H UAB (11-19, 93.5) 49-65 -6.41 4.55 -0.01 0.95 -3.05
3 H Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 54-** -3.94 7.02 -0.01 0.95 -1.87
3 H UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 64-73 -7.66 3.30 -0.01 0.95 -3.64
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 73-62 -10.39 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.92
3 H Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 67-76 -6.96 4.00 -0.01 0.95 -3.31
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 56-80 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 0.95 -3.20
3 H Furman (16-13, 93.2) 62-70 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 0.95 -3.20
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 44-53 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 0.95 -3.21
3 H Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 40-61 -6.27 4.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.98
3 A We Carolina ( 1-26, 89.5) 73-50 -10.39 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.92
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 68-64 -7.66 3.30 0.01 0.95 6.28
3 A Mercer (16-13, 92.9) 68-48 -6.96 4.00 0.01 0.95 7.60
3 A Furman (16-13, 93.2) 68-59 -6.75 4.21 0.01 0.95 8.01
3 H Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 44-52 -6.73 4.23 -0.01 0.95 -3.20
3 A Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 77-70 -6.27 4.69 0.01 0.95 8.91
3 H Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 39-46 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 0.95 -3.21
3 A Wofford (13-13, 93.2) 59-57 -6.73 4.23 0.01 0.95 8.04
3 A Ea Tenn St (16-12, 93.1) 57-48 -6.76 4.20 0.01 0.95 7.99
3 A Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 72-67 -6.27 4.69 0.01 0.95 8.91
3 H Southern (18-14, 93.2) 53-65 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 0.95 -3.16
------
32.54
|
winning pts = 84.7991 losing points = -52.2625
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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