San Fran
W-L: (18-14) PR = 94.4618Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1105 A UNCG SO (10-16, 92.2) 64-40 1109 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 68-83 1114 H Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 66-80 1116 A UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 80-69 1120 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 68-55 1125 A Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 89-84 1205 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 68-45 1206 H Arizona St B12 (24-11, 96.2) 44-67 1217 A Sacra St BS (14-18, 93.4) 61-55 1228 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 65-74 1230 A Portland WC (18-15, 94.5) 67-64 102 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 59-55 104 A Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 85-82 108 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 67-77 115 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 69-82 117 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 85-72 122 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 69-65 124 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 68-61 129 H Gonzaga WC (24- 9, 95.6) 66-74 131 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 53-75 205 A Seattle WC ( 4-25, 91.8) 76-67 207 H Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 55-72 214 A Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 81-70 219 H Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 51-73 221 A Saint Marys WC (13-17, 93.9) 61-60 226 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 57-66 228 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 82-90 306 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 61-52 307 A Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 86-69 308 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 69-87 319 A Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 80-50 322 H Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 53-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1105 A UNCG 64-40 24 2 0.00
1109 H Boise St 68-83 -15 0 -1.72
1114 H Seton Hall 66-80 -14 -1 -1.03
1116 A UC San Diego 80-69 11 0 + 2.04
1120 A LB St 68-55 13 3 0.00
1125 A Lehigh 89-84 5 1 0.96
1205 A Nevada 68-45 23 1 0.78
1206 H Arizona St 44-67 -23 -2 -0.28
1217 A Sacra St 61-55 6 1 0.92
1228 H Oregon State 65-74 -9 -1 -1.18
1230 A Portland 67-64 3 0 + 2.07
102 A San Diego 59-55 4 1 0.83
104 A Loyola Marym 85-82 3 0 + 2.26
108 H Santa Clara 67-77 -10 -1 -1.33
115 H Gonzaga 69-82 -13 -1 -0.88
117 A Wash St 85-72 13 1 1.14
122 A San Diego 69-65 4 1 0.83
124 A Pacific 68-61 7 1 1.28
129 H Gonzaga 66-74 -8 -1 -0.88
131 H Oregon State 53-75 -22 -1 -1.18
205 A Seattle 76-67 9 3 0.00
207 H Saint Marys 55-72 -17 1 - -2.60
214 A Pepperdine 81-70 11 0 + 2.05
219 H Pacific 51-73 -22 1 - -2.74
221 A Saint Marys 61-60 1 1 0.42
226 H Loyola Marym 57-66 -9 0 -1.76
228 H Santa Clara 82-90 -8 -1 -1.33
306 A San Diego 61-52 9 1 0.83
307 A Pepperdine 86-69 17 0 + 2.05
308 H Santa Clara 69-87 -18 -1 -1.33
319 A Utah Valley 80-50 30 1 1.15
322 H Montana St 53-69 -16 -1 -1.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Saint Marys 55-72 -17 1 - -2.60 219 H Pacific 51-73 -22 1 - -2.74 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 A UC San Diego 80-69 11 0 + 2.04 1230 A Portland 67-64 3 0 + 2.07 104 A Loyola Marym 85-82 3 0 + 2.26 214 A Pepperdine 81-70 11 0 + 2.05 307 A Pepperdine 86-69 17 0 + 2.05 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A UNCG (10-16, 92.2) 64-40 -7.66 3.30 0.01 0.95 6.28
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 68-83 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 0.95 -2.45
3 H Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 66-80 -4.46 6.51 -0.01 0.95 -2.12
3 A UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 80-69 -5.41 5.55 0.01 0.95 10.55
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 68-55 -8.13 2.83 0.01 0.95 5.39
3 A Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 89-84 -6.49 4.47 0.01 0.95 8.49
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 68-45 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.95 8.17
3 H Arizona St (24-11, 96.2) 44-67 -3.71 7.25 -0.01 0.95 -1.76
3 A Sacra St (14-18, 93.4) 61-55 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.95 8.42
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 65-74 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.95 -2.19
3 A Portland (18-15, 94.5) 67-64 -5.37 5.59 0.01 0.95 10.62
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 59-55 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.25
3 A Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 85-82 -5.19 5.77 0.01 0.95 10.96
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 67-77 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 69-82 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 85-72 -6.31 4.65 0.01 0.95 8.84
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 69-65 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.25
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 68-61 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.95 9.11
3 H Gonzaga (24- 9, 95.6) 66-74 -4.31 6.65 -0.01 0.95 -2.05
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 53-75 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.95 -2.19
3 A Seattle ( 4-25, 91.8) 76-67 -8.10 2.86 0.01 0.95 5.45
3 H Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 55-72 -6.03 4.93 -0.01 0.95 -2.86
3 A Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 81-70 -5.40 5.56 0.01 0.95 10.56
3 H Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 51-73 -6.17 4.79 -0.01 0.95 -2.93
3 A Saint Marys (13-17, 93.9) 61-60 -6.03 4.93 0.01 0.95 9.37
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 57-66 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 0.95 -2.47
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 82-90 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 61-52 -6.62 4.34 0.01 0.95 8.25
3 A Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 86-69 -5.40 5.56 0.01 0.95 10.56
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 69-87 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
3 A Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 80-50 -6.30 4.66 0.01 0.95 8.86
3 H Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 53-69 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.95 -2.26
------
124.28
|
winning pts = 156.3900 losing points = -32.1141
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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