San Diego St
W-L: (25- 6) PR = 95.4810Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 53-77 1112 A Northridge BW ( 8-20, 92.5) 91-70 1115 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 78-48 1119 H Santa Clara WC (23-10, 95.1) 47-72 1122 A MD-Ea Shore MEAC (20-15, 93.4) 58-45 1124 H Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 67-83 1207 A Pacific WC (11-19, 93.7) 70-68 1210 A Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 64-53 1217 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 63-53 1220 A Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 83-54 1231 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 62-51 103 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 72-55 107 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 87-69 110 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 73-72 114 A New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 73-56 114 A New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 73-56 117 A UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 75-66 124 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 94-66 131 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 67-54 204 H Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 44-57 207 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 81-52 214 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 78-64 218 A UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 80-62 221 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 68-59 225 A Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 66-64 228 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 70-51 303 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 74-57 308 H Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 76-83 319 A UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 61-55 322 A McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 56-41 326 H Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 78-85
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H UCLA 53-77 -24 -4 0.00
1112 A Northridge 91-70 21 3 0.00
1115 A CS Baker 78-48 30 3 0.00
1119 H Santa Clara 47-72 -25 0 - -2.35
1122 A MD-Ea Shore 58-45 13 2 0.00
1124 H Penn St 67-83 -16 0 - -2.02
1207 A Pacific 70-68 2 2 0.26
1210 A Kansas St 64-53 11 0 + 2.30
1217 A Fresno St 63-53 10 2 0.18
1220 A Boise St 83-54 29 1 1.28
1231 A Air Force 62-51 11 2 0.27
103 A Wyoming 72-55 17 2 0.00
107 A Grand Canyon 87-69 18 1 0.65
110 A Utah State 73-72 1 3 -1.00
114 A New Mexico 73-56 17 1 1.19
114 A New Mexico 73-56 17 1 1.19
117 A UNLV 75-66 9 0 1.53
124 A San Jose St 94-66 28 3 0.00
131 A Nevada 67-54 13 2 0.00
204 H Grand Canyon 44-57 -13 1 - -3.37
207 A San Jose St 81-52 29 3 0.00
214 A Nevada 78-64 14 2 0.00
218 A UNLV 80-62 18 0 1.53
221 A Fresno St 68-59 9 2 0.18
225 A Boise St 66-64 2 1 1.28
228 A Wyoming 70-51 19 2 0.00
303 A Air Force 74-57 17 2 0.27
308 H Air Force 76-83 -7 2 - -3.75
319 A UC Irvine 61-55 6 1 1.16
322 A McNeese 56-41 15 0 1.64
326 H Kansas 78-85 -7 -1 -1.45
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1119 H Santa Clara 47-72 -25 0 - -2.35 1124 H Penn St 67-83 -16 0 - -2.02 204 H Grand Canyon 44-57 -13 1 - -3.37 308 H Air Force 76-83 -7 2 - -3.75 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1210 A Kansas St 64-53 11 0 + 2.30 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 53-77 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.98 -0.00
3 A Northridge ( 8-20, 92.5) 91-70 -7.35 3.61 0.01 0.98 7.08
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 78-48 -7.86 3.10 0.01 0.98 6.09
3 H Santa Clara (23-10, 95.1) 47-72 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.98 -2.34
3 A MD-Ea Shore (20-15, 93.4) 58-45 -6.54 4.42 0.01 0.98 8.68
3 H Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 67-83 -4.43 6.53 -0.01 0.98 -2.17
3 A Pacific (11-19, 93.7) 70-68 -6.17 4.79 0.01 0.98 9.40
3 A Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 64-53 -4.13 6.84 0.01 0.98 13.40
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 63-53 -6.25 4.71 0.01 0.98 9.25
3 A Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 83-54 -5.15 5.81 0.01 0.98 11.40
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 62-51 -6.16 4.80 0.01 0.98 9.43
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 72-55 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.98 8.54
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 87-69 -5.77 5.19 0.01 0.98 10.17
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 73-72 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.98 6.96
3 A New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 73-56 -5.24 5.72 0.01 0.98 11.22
3 A New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 73-56 -5.24 5.72 0.01 0.98 11.22
3 A UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 75-66 -4.90 6.06 0.01 0.98 11.89
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 94-66 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.98 6.18
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 67-54 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.98 8.43
3 H Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 44-57 -5.77 5.19 -0.01 0.98 -2.83
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 81-52 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.98 6.18
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 78-64 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.98 8.43
3 A UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 80-62 -4.90 6.06 0.01 0.98 11.89
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 68-59 -6.25 4.71 0.01 0.98 9.25
3 A Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 66-64 -5.15 5.81 0.01 0.98 11.40
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 70-51 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.98 8.54
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 74-57 -6.16 4.80 0.01 0.98 9.43
3 H Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 76-83 -6.16 4.80 -0.01 0.98 -3.02
3 A UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 61-55 -5.27 5.69 0.01 0.98 11.16
3 A McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 56-41 -4.79 6.17 0.01 0.98 12.10
3 H Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 78-85 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.98 -1.89
------
225.43
|
winning pts = 237.6855 losing points = -12.2550
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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