Stetson
W-L: (18-12) PR = 93.9330Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 73-82 1109 A Morgan State MEAC ( 5-25, 90.9) 70-56 1111 H Towson CA (16-14, 93.3) 54-76 1121 A TRINF 87-36 1125 A No Kentucky HL (15-17, 93.7) 89-63 1126 A St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 77-67 1203 A UCF B12 (11-20, 94.4) 70-67 1219 H Will&Mary CA (16-14, 93.2) 75-81 1228 H Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 45-77 101 H Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 43-65 103 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 76-59 108 H Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 53-67 110 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 56-53 115 A Queens Univ AS ( 8-20, 91.9) 69-61 117 H We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 76-88 122 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 66-60 124 H Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 81-86 129 A No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 66-62 131 A Ce Arkansas AS (20-11, 94.1) 70-64 205 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 74-56 207 A Bellarmine AS ( 1-30, 90.8) 76-41 212 H Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 70-76 214 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 62-52 219 A No Florida AS ( 8-21, 92.3) 73-68 221 A Ea Kentucky AS (24- 9, 94.4) 69-54 225 A Jacksonville AS (22- 9, 94.6) 85-81 227 H Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 55-67 305 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 70-63 307 H Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 52-68 320 H Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 73-76
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Alabama 73-82 -9 -3 0.00
1109 A Morgan State 70-56 14 3 0.00
1111 H Towson 54-76 -22 1 - -2.60
1125 A No Kentucky 89-63 26 0 1.77
1126 A St Louis 77-67 10 0 1.78
1203 A UCF 70-67 3 -1 + 2.50
1219 H Will&Mary 75-81 -6 1 - -2.74
1228 H Miami (Fl) 45-77 -32 -2 -0.32
101 H Ce Arkansas 43-65 -22 0 -1.83
103 A No Alabama 76-59 17 1 1.48
108 H Lipscomb 53-67 -14 1 - -3.44
110 A Austin Peay 56-53 3 0 1.75
115 A Queens Univ 69-61 8 2 0.00
117 H We Georgia 76-88 -12 1 - -2.67
122 A Lipscomb 66-60 6 1 0.58
124 H Austin Peay 81-86 -5 0 - -2.27
129 A No Alabama 66-62 4 1 1.48
131 A Ce Arkansas 70-64 6 0 + 2.19
205 A No Florida 74-56 18 2 0.40
207 A Bellarmine 76-41 35 3 0.00
212 H Jacksonville 70-76 -6 -1 -1.36
214 A Fl Gulf Co 62-52 10 0 1.88
219 A No Florida 73-68 5 2 0.40
221 A Ea Kentucky 69-54 15 0 + 2.49
225 A Jacksonville 85-81 4 -1 + 2.66
227 H Fl Gulf Co 55-67 -12 0 - -2.14
305 A Fl Gulf Co 70-63 7 0 1.88
307 H Austin Peay 52-68 -16 0 - -2.27
320 H Florida Int 73-76 -3 0 -1.60
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1111 H Towson 54-76 -22 1 - -2.60 1219 H Will&Mary 75-81 -6 1 - -2.74 108 H Lipscomb 53-67 -14 1 - -3.44 117 H We Georgia 76-88 -12 1 - -2.67 124 H Austin Peay 81-86 -5 0 - -2.27 227 H Fl Gulf Co 55-67 -12 0 - -2.14 307 H Austin Peay 52-68 -16 0 - -2.27 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A UCF 70-67 3 -1 + 2.50 131 A Ce Arkansas 70-64 6 0 + 2.19 221 A Ea Kentucky 69-54 15 0 + 2.49 225 A Jacksonville 85-81 4 -1 + 2.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 73-82 -2.77 8.19 -0.01 1.05 -1.45
3 A Morgan State ( 5-25, 90.9) 70-56 -9.02 1.94 0.01 1.05 4.07
3 H Towson (16-14, 93.3) 54-76 -6.56 4.40 -0.01 1.05 -3.44
3 A No Kentucky (15-17, 93.7) 89-63 -6.21 4.75 0.01 1.05 9.96
3 A St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 77-67 -6.19 4.77 0.01 1.05 10.00
3 A UCF (11-20, 94.4) 70-67 -5.47 5.49 0.01 1.05 11.51
3 H Will&Mary (16-14, 93.2) 75-81 -6.70 4.26 -0.01 1.05 -3.51
3 H Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 45-77 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 1.05 -2.24
3 H Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 43-65 -5.79 5.17 -0.01 1.05 -3.04
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 76-59 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.05 9.36
3 H Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 53-67 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 1.05 -3.87
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 56-53 -6.23 4.73 0.01 1.05 9.93
3 A Queens Univ ( 8-20, 91.9) 69-61 -8.02 2.94 0.01 1.05 6.18
3 H We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 76-88 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.05 -3.47
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 66-60 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.05 7.49
3 H Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 81-86 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 1.05 -3.26
3 A No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 66-62 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.05 9.36
3 A Ce Arkansas (20-11, 94.1) 70-64 -5.79 5.17 0.01 1.05 10.84
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 74-56 -7.58 3.38 0.01 1.05 7.10
3 A Bellarmine ( 1-30, 90.8) 76-41 -9.12 1.84 0.01 1.05 3.88
3 H Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 70-76 -5.32 5.64 -0.01 1.05 -2.79
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 62-52 -6.10 4.86 0.01 1.05 10.20
3 A No Florida ( 8-21, 92.3) 73-68 -7.58 3.38 0.01 1.05 7.10
3 A Ea Kentucky (24- 9, 94.4) 69-54 -5.49 5.47 0.01 1.05 11.48
3 A Jacksonville (22- 9, 94.6) 85-81 -5.32 5.64 0.01 1.05 11.83
3 H Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 55-67 -6.10 4.86 -0.01 1.05 -3.20
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 70-63 -6.10 4.86 0.01 1.05 10.20
3 H Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 52-68 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 1.05 -3.26
3 H Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 73-76 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 1.05 -2.91
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114.03
|
winning pts = 150.4727 losing points = -36.4464
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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