Southern
W-L: (18-14) PR = 93.2378Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Iowa B10 (27- 7, 98.0) 51-86 1105 H Iowa St B12 (21-11, 96.2) 58-85 1112 H Ole Miss SEC (24-12, 97.1) 44-94 1123 H UCLA B10 (38- 1, 99.9) 37-88 1125 H Washington B10 (23-11, 97.0) 40-66 1203 A Arizona B12 (12-18, 94.7) 63-57 1207 A Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 70-62 1218 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 60-77 1221 H SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 62-74 101 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 70-55 103 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 64-45 108 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 61-50 110 H Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 57-60 117 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 60-43 122 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 69-46 124 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 80-65 129 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 67-43 131 H Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 56-69 205 H Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 57-61 207 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 54-56 212 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 66-54 214 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 60-45 221 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 59-45 226 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 80-61 228 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 73-47 303 H Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 63-65 305 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 61-64 312 A Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 64-51 313 A Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 51-49 314 A Alabama St SWAC (16-14, 92.7) 73-56 319 A Samford SO (14-19, 92.8) 65-53 321 H So Carolina SEC (35- 4, 99.2) 34-**
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Iowa 51-86 -35 -5 0.00
1105 H Iowa St 58-85 -27 -3 0.00
1112 H Ole Miss 44-94 -50 -4 0.00
1123 H UCLA 37-88 -51 -7 0.00
1125 H Washington 40-66 -26 -4 0.00
1203 A Arizona 63-57 6 -1 + 3.44
1207 A Houston 70-62 8 -1 + 2.93
1218 H Baylor 60-77 -17 -4 0.00
1221 H SMU 62-74 -12 -1 -1.48
101 A Prairie View 70-55 15 4 0.00
103 A TX Southern 64-45 19 2 0.00
108 A Beth-Cook 61-50 11 2 0.00
110 H Florida A&M 57-60 -3 2 - -3.57
117 A Grambling St 60-43 17 1 0.76
122 A Miss Val St 69-46 23 2 0.08
124 A AK-Pine Bl 80-65 15 1 1.25
129 A Jackson St 67-43 24 1 0.70
131 H Alcorn St 56-69 -13 1 - -2.74
205 H Alabama St 57-61 -4 1 - -2.59
207 H Alabama A&M 54-56 -2 0 -1.71
212 A TX Southern 66-54 12 2 0.00
214 A Prairie View 60-45 15 4 0.00
221 A Grambling St 59-45 14 1 0.76
226 A Florida A&M 80-61 19 2 0.45
228 A Beth-Cook 73-47 26 2 0.00
303 H Alabama St 63-65 -2 1 - -2.59
305 H Alabama A&M 61-64 -3 0 -1.71
312 A Jackson St 64-51 13 1 0.70
313 A Alabama A&M 51-49 2 0 + 2.31
314 A Alabama St 73-56 17 1 1.43
319 A Samford 65-53 12 0 1.59
321 H So Carolina 34-** -69 -6 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 110 H Florida A&M 57-60 -3 2 - -3.57 131 H Alcorn St 56-69 -13 1 - -2.74 205 H Alabama St 57-61 -4 1 - -2.59 303 H Alabama St 63-65 -2 1 - -2.59 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1203 A Arizona 63-57 6 -1 + 3.44 1207 A Houston 70-62 8 -1 + 2.93 313 A Alabama A&M 51-49 2 0 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Iowa (27- 7, 98.0) 51-86 -1.94 9.03 -0.01 0.95 -0.92
3 H Iowa St (21-11, 96.2) 58-85 -3.69 7.27 -0.01 0.95 -1.76
3 H Ole Miss (24-12, 97.1) 44-94 -2.82 8.14 -0.01 0.95 -1.34
3 H UCLA (38- 1, 99.9) 37-88 -0.00 10.96 -0.01 0.95 -0.00
3 H Washington (23-11, 97.0) 40-66 -2.91 8.05 -0.01 0.95 -1.39
3 A Arizona (12-18, 94.7) 63-57 -5.23 5.73 0.01 0.95 10.88
3 A Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 70-62 -5.74 5.22 0.01 0.95 9.92
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 60-77 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 0.95 -1.36
3 H SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 62-74 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 0.95 -2.91
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 70-55 -10.96 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.92
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 64-45 -8.91 2.05 0.01 0.95 3.91
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 61-50 -8.95 2.01 0.01 0.95 3.83
3 H Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 57-60 -8.23 2.73 -0.01 0.95 -3.91
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 60-43 -7.92 3.04 0.01 0.95 5.79
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 69-46 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.95 4.52
3 A AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 80-65 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.95 6.73
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 67-43 -7.97 2.99 0.01 0.95 5.68
3 H Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 56-69 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 0.95 -3.51
3 H Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 57-61 -7.24 3.72 -0.01 0.95 -3.44
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 54-56 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 0.95 -3.02
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 66-54 -8.91 2.05 0.01 0.95 3.91
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 60-45 -10.96 1.00 0.01 0.95 1.92
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 59-45 -7.92 3.04 0.01 0.95 5.79
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 80-61 -8.23 2.73 0.01 0.95 5.21
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 73-47 -8.95 2.01 0.01 0.95 3.83
3 H Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 63-65 -7.24 3.72 -0.01 0.95 -3.44
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 61-64 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 0.95 -3.02
3 A Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 64-51 -7.97 2.99 0.01 0.95 5.68
3 A Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 51-49 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.95 8.75
3 A Alabama St (16-14, 92.7) 73-56 -7.24 3.72 0.01 0.95 7.07
3 A Samford (14-19, 92.8) 65-53 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.95 7.38
3 H So Carolina (35- 4, 99.2) 34-** -0.74 10.22 -0.01 0.95 -0.36
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72.33
|
winning pts = 102.7161 losing points = -30.3821
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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