St Joseph's 
W-L: (17-12) PR = 94.8324
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
1107 A Maine AE (18-13, 94.1) 63-62
1111 A Cincinnati B12 (11-20, 94.8) 70-65
1116 H Penn St B10 (11-19, 95.5) 77-89
1120 A Columbia IVY (24- 8, 95.8) 66-48
1124 A Pennsylvania IVY (16-10, 94.5) 74-53
1129 A Drexel CA (21-10, 93.8) 57-55
1203 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 52-59
1207 H Villanova BE (25- 8, 96.3) 70-76
1221 A Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 73-66
1231 A VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 55-45
103 A Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 78-49
107 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 36-48
110 A La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 69-60
114 H St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 48-57
114 H St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 48-57
118 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 59-66
124 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 72-53
128 A La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 69-65
201 A Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 59-51
204 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 61-69
207 H Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 73-75
211 A George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 70-63
214 A Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 63-50
218 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 61-46
221 A St Louis A10 (12-20, 93.7) 65-54
225 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 59-85
228 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 61-72
305 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 66-45
306 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 59-64
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Maine 63-62 1 1 0.24
1111 A Cincinnati 70-65 5 0 1.93
1116 H Penn St 77-89 -12 -1 -1.37
1120 A Columbia 66-48 18 -1 + 2.97
1124 A Pennsylvania 74-53 21 0 1.70
1129 A Drexel 57-55 2 1 0.99
1203 H Rhode Island 52-59 -7 -1 -0.77
1207 H Villanova 70-76 -6 -1 -0.54
1221 A Delaware 73-66 7 2 0.44
1231 A VCU 55-45 10 1 0.68
103 A Fordham 78-49 29 2 0.00
107 H Davidson 36-48 -12 0 -1.82
110 A La Salle 69-60 9 0 1.50
114 H St. Bonnies 48-57 -9 1 - -3.09
114 H St. Bonnies 48-57 -9 1 - -3.09
118 H George Mason 59-66 -7 -1 -1.24
124 A Duquesne 72-53 19 1 0.51
128 A La Salle 69-65 4 0 1.50
201 A Davidson 59-51 8 0 + 2.20
204 H Rhode Island 61-69 -8 -1 -0.77
207 H Dayton 73-75 -2 1 - -2.52
211 A George Wash 70-63 7 1 1.41
214 A Loyola Chic 63-50 13 1 1.21
218 A Duquesne 61-46 15 1 0.51
221 A St Louis 65-54 11 1 0.88
225 H George Mason 59-85 -26 -1 -1.24
228 H Richmond 61-72 -11 -1 -0.91
305 A Duquesne 66-45 21 1 0.51
306 H Davidson 59-64 -5 0 -1.82
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
114 H St. Bonnies 48-57 -9 1 - -3.09
114 H St. Bonnies 48-57 -9 1 - -3.09
207 H Dayton 73-75 -2 1 - -2.52
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1120 A Columbia 66-48 18 -1 + 2.97
201 A Davidson 59-51 8 0 + 2.20
|

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Maine (18-13, 94.1) 63-62 -5.84 5.12 0.01 1.05 10.74
3 A Cincinnati (11-20, 94.8) 70-65 -5.14 5.82 0.01 1.05 12.19
3 H Penn St (11-19, 95.5) 77-89 -4.43 6.53 -0.01 1.05 -2.32
3 A Columbia (24- 8, 95.8) 66-48 -4.11 6.85 0.01 1.05 14.35
3 A Pennsylvania (16-10, 94.5) 74-53 -5.38 5.58 0.01 1.05 11.70
3 A Drexel (21-10, 93.8) 57-55 -6.09 4.87 0.01 1.05 10.22
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 52-59 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 1.05 -2.01
3 H Villanova (25- 8, 96.3) 70-76 -3.60 7.36 -0.01 1.05 -1.89
3 A Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 73-66 -6.64 4.32 0.01 1.05 9.07
3 A VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 55-45 -6.40 4.56 0.01 1.05 9.56
3 A Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 78-49 -7.08 3.88 0.01 1.05 8.13
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 36-48 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 1.05 -2.56
3 A La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 69-60 -5.57 5.39 0.01 1.05 11.29
3 H St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 48-57 -6.15 4.81 -0.01 1.05 -3.22
3 H St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 48-57 -6.15 4.81 -0.01 1.05 -3.22
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 59-66 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 1.05 -2.25
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 72-53 -6.57 4.39 0.01 1.05 9.21
3 A La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 69-65 -5.57 5.39 0.01 1.05 11.29
3 A Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 59-51 -4.88 6.08 0.01 1.05 12.76
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 61-69 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 1.05 -2.01
3 H Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 73-75 -5.58 5.38 -0.01 1.05 -2.93
3 A George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 70-63 -5.66 5.30 0.01 1.05 11.10
3 A Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 63-50 -5.87 5.09 0.01 1.05 10.67
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 61-46 -6.57 4.39 0.01 1.05 9.21
3 A St Louis (12-20, 93.7) 65-54 -6.19 4.77 0.01 1.05 10.00
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 59-85 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 1.05 -2.25
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 61-72 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 1.05 -2.08
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 66-45 -6.57 4.39 0.01 1.05 9.21
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 59-64 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 1.05 -2.56
------
151.43
|
winning pts = 180.7260 losing points = -29.2975
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------