St Louis
W-L: (12-20) PR = 93.7071Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Missouri St CUSA (23-13, 94.7) 66-70 1106 H Middle Tenn CUSA (17-15, 94.1) 55-73 1109 A No Iowa MV (18-14, 94.3) 62-58 1115 H Murray St MV (29- 4, 95.7) 88-96 1121 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 75-81 1125 A SMU ACC ( 9-21, 93.8) 70-67 1126 H Stetson AS (18-12, 93.9) 67-77 1203 A St. Bonnies A10 (16-16, 93.8) 76-70 1207 A Evansville MV (10-25, 92.8) 72-55 1214 H Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) 66-82 1217 A Jacksonv St CUSA (15-16, 93.4) 74-54 1220 A Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 80-74 1231 A Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 72-62 103 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 55-71 107 H VCU A10 ( 8-24, 93.5) 39-50 111 H Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 64-71 114 A La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 66-57 114 A La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 66-57 118 A Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 62-58 121 A Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 67-57 124 H Loyola Chic A10 (16-19, 94.0) 59-74 128 H George Wash A10 (18-17, 94.2) 62-64 131 H George Mason A10 (24-10, 95.6) 51-66 204 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 44-92 208 H Rhode Island A10 (28- 5, 96.1) 43-74 211 H Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 39-42 214 H Dayton A10 (16-15, 94.3) 63-65 221 H St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 54-65 225 H Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 64-82 228 H Davidson A10 (22-12, 95.0) 62-74 304 A Fordham A10 ( 9-21, 92.8) 68-60 305 H La Salle A10 (18-15, 94.3) 51-59
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Missouri St 66-70 -4 -1 -1.06
1106 H Middle Tenn 55-73 -18 0 -1.67
1109 A No Iowa 62-58 4 -1 + 2.57
1115 H Murray St 88-96 -8 -2 -0.04
1121 H Illinois St 75-81 -6 -1 -1.33
1125 A SMU 70-67 3 0 + 2.07
1126 H Stetson 67-77 -10 0 -1.78
1203 A St. Bonnies 76-70 6 0 + 2.05
1207 A Evansville 72-55 17 1 1.09
1214 H Missouri 66-82 -16 -2 -0.09
1217 A Jacksonv St 74-54 20 0 1.67
1220 A Ohio 80-74 6 0 + 2.30
1231 A Duquesne 72-62 10 0 1.64
103 H Davidson 55-71 -16 -1 -0.69
107 H VCU 39-50 -11 0 - -2.22
111 H Loyola Chic 64-71 -7 0 -1.69
114 A La Salle 66-57 9 -1 + 2.63
114 A La Salle 66-57 9 -1 + 2.63
118 A Dayton 62-58 4 -1 + 2.62
121 A Fordham 67-57 10 1 1.12
124 H Loyola Chic 59-74 -15 0 -1.69
128 H George Wash 62-64 -2 -1 -1.48
131 H George Mason 51-66 -15 -2 -0.11
204 H Richmond 44-92 -48 -2 0.00
208 H Rhode Island 43-74 -31 -2 0.00
211 H Fordham 39-42 -3 1 - -2.90
214 H Dayton 63-65 -2 -1 -1.40
221 H St Joseph's 54-65 -11 -1 -0.88
225 H Duquesne 64-82 -18 0 - -2.38
228 H Davidson 62-74 -12 -1 -0.69
304 A Fordham 68-60 8 1 1.12
305 H La Salle 51-59 -8 -1 -1.39
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 107 H VCU 39-50 -11 0 - -2.22 211 H Fordham 39-42 -3 1 - -2.90 225 H Duquesne 64-82 -18 0 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1109 A No Iowa 62-58 4 -1 + 2.57 1125 A SMU 70-67 3 0 + 2.07 1203 A St. Bonnies 76-70 6 0 + 2.05 1220 A Ohio 80-74 6 0 + 2.30 114 A La Salle 66-57 9 -1 + 2.63 114 A La Salle 66-57 9 -1 + 2.63 118 A Dayton 62-58 4 -1 + 2.62 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Missouri St (23-13, 94.7) 66-70 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.95 -2.49
3 H Middle Tenn (17-15, 94.1) 55-73 -5.85 5.11 -0.01 0.95 -2.78
3 A No Iowa (18-14, 94.3) 62-58 -5.63 5.33 0.01 0.95 10.13
3 H Murray St (29- 4, 95.7) 88-96 -4.22 6.74 -0.01 0.95 -2.01
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 75-81 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.95 -2.62
3 A SMU ( 9-21, 93.8) 70-67 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.95 9.17
3 H Stetson (18-12, 93.9) 67-77 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.95 -2.83
3 A St. Bonnies (16-16, 93.8) 76-70 -6.15 4.81 0.01 0.95 9.15
3 A Evansville (10-25, 92.8) 72-55 -7.11 3.85 0.01 0.95 7.33
3 H Missouri (17-17, 95.6) 66-82 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.95 -2.03
3 A Jacksonv St (15-16, 93.4) 74-54 -6.53 4.43 0.01 0.95 8.42
3 A Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 80-74 -5.91 5.05 0.01 0.95 9.60
3 A Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 72-62 -6.57 4.39 0.01 0.95 8.35
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 55-71 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.95 -2.32
3 H VCU ( 8-24, 93.5) 39-50 -6.40 4.56 -0.01 0.95 -3.04
3 H Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 64-71 -5.87 5.09 -0.01 0.95 -2.79
3 A La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 66-57 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.95 10.24
3 A La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 66-57 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.95 10.24
3 A Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 62-58 -5.58 5.38 0.01 0.95 10.22
3 A Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 67-57 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.95 7.37
3 H Loyola Chic (16-19, 94.0) 59-74 -5.87 5.09 -0.01 0.95 -2.79
3 H George Wash (18-17, 94.2) 62-64 -5.66 5.30 -0.01 0.95 -2.69
3 H George Mason (24-10, 95.6) 51-66 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 0.95 -2.04
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 44-92 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.95 -1.89
3 H Rhode Island (28- 5, 96.1) 43-74 -3.83 7.13 -0.01 0.95 -1.82
3 H Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 39-42 -7.08 3.88 -0.01 0.95 -3.36
3 H Dayton (16-15, 94.3) 63-65 -5.58 5.38 -0.01 0.95 -2.65
3 H St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 54-65 -5.07 5.89 -0.01 0.95 -2.41
3 H Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 64-82 -6.57 4.39 -0.01 0.95 -3.12
3 H Davidson (22-12, 95.0) 62-74 -4.88 6.08 -0.01 0.95 -2.32
3 A Fordham ( 9-21, 92.8) 68-60 -7.08 3.88 0.01 0.95 7.37
3 H La Salle (18-15, 94.3) 51-59 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.95 -2.65
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56.93
|
winning pts = 107.5770 losing points = -50.6435
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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