So Utah
W-L: (15-12) PR = 93.8166Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1108 A Wash St WC ( 9-25, 93.6) 77-64 1113 A Ea Wash BS (14-18, 93.3) 74-68 1115 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 72-76 1121 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 85-80 1204 A NM St CUSA ( 7-21, 92.7) 69-59 1213 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 66-81 1221 H Loyola Marym WC (20-10, 94.7) 68-76 1229 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 78-60 103 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 58-55 108 A Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 76-68 110 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 77-82 115 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 55-81 117 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 54-82 122 A Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 64-60 124 A Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 62-49 129 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 77-68 131 A Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 71-68 207 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 57-59 212 A Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 85-70 214 A UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 78-67 218 A Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 76-69 222 A Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 78-70 228 H Utah Tech WAC U ( 8-20, 92.6) 66-83 305 H Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 53-74 307 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 61-77 312 H UT Arlington WAC U (12-21, 93.2) 65-70 322 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 80-85
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Wash St 77-64 13 0 1.78
1113 A Ea Wash 74-68 6 0 1.51
1115 H Idaho 72-76 -4 -1 -0.89
1121 A Cal Poly 85-80 5 3 0.00
1204 A NM St 69-59 10 1 0.90
1213 H Boise St 66-81 -15 -1 -1.08
1221 H Loyola Marym 68-76 -8 -1 -1.12
1229 A Utah Tech 78-60 18 1 0.75
103 A UT Arlington 58-55 3 1 1.35
108 A Utah Valley 76-68 8 0 1.79
110 H Cal Baptist 77-82 -5 -1 -1.45
115 H Tarleton St 55-81 -26 1 - -2.58
117 H Abilene Chr 54-82 -28 0 -1.58
122 A Utah Valley 64-60 4 0 1.79
124 A Utah Tech 62-49 13 1 0.75
129 A UT Arlington 77-68 9 1 1.35
131 A Abilene Chr 71-68 3 0 + 2.44
207 H Tarleton St 57-59 -2 1 - -2.58
212 A Cal Baptist 85-70 15 -1 + 2.57
214 A UT Arlington 78-67 11 1 1.35
218 A Tarleton St 76-69 7 1 1.44
222 A Abilene Chr 78-70 8 0 + 2.44
228 H Utah Tech 66-83 -17 1 - -3.27
305 H Utah Valley 53-74 -21 0 - -2.23
307 H Cal Baptist 61-77 -16 -1 -1.45
312 H UT Arlington 65-70 -5 1 - -2.67
322 H Pepperdine 80-85 -5 -1 -1.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 115 H Tarleton St 55-81 -26 1 - -2.58 207 H Tarleton St 57-59 -2 1 - -2.58 228 H Utah Tech 66-83 -17 1 - -3.27 305 H Utah Valley 53-74 -21 0 - -2.23 312 H UT Arlington 65-70 -5 1 - -2.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 131 A Abilene Chr 71-68 3 0 + 2.44 212 A Cal Baptist 85-70 15 -1 + 2.57 222 A Abilene Chr 78-70 8 0 + 2.44 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Wash St ( 9-25, 93.6) 77-64 -6.31 4.65 0.01 1.12 10.48
3 A Ea Wash (14-18, 93.3) 74-68 -6.58 4.38 0.01 1.12 9.86
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 72-76 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 1.12 -2.79
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 85-80 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.12 4.92
3 A NM St ( 7-21, 92.7) 69-59 -7.19 3.77 0.01 1.12 8.50
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 66-81 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 1.12 -2.90
3 H Loyola Marym (20-10, 94.7) 68-76 -5.19 5.77 -0.01 1.12 -2.92
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 78-60 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.12 8.15
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 58-55 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.12 9.50
3 A Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 76-68 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.12 10.50
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 77-82 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.12 -3.11
3 H Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 55-81 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.12 -3.74
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 54-82 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 1.12 -3.18
3 A Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 64-60 -6.30 4.66 0.01 1.12 10.50
3 A Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 62-49 -7.35 3.61 0.01 1.12 8.15
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 77-68 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.12 9.50
3 A Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 71-68 -5.65 5.31 0.01 1.12 11.96
3 H Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 57-59 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.12 -3.74
3 A Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 85-70 -5.52 5.44 0.01 1.12 12.24
3 A UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 78-67 -6.75 4.21 0.01 1.12 9.50
3 A Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 76-69 -6.65 4.31 0.01 1.12 9.71
3 A Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 78-70 -5.65 5.31 0.01 1.12 11.96
3 H Utah Tech ( 8-20, 92.6) 66-83 -7.35 3.61 -0.01 1.12 -4.13
3 H Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 53-74 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.12 -3.55
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 61-77 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.12 -3.11
3 H UT Arlington (12-21, 93.2) 65-70 -6.75 4.21 -0.01 1.12 -3.80
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 80-85 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 1.12 -3.04
------
105.38
|
winning pts = 145.4059 losing points = -40.0242
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------