UTRGV
W-L: (19-14) PR = 93.6144Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1111 H Abilene Chr WAC A (23-11, 94.2) 58-76 1117 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 77-65 1120 H Houston B12 ( 7-23, 94.2) 63-65 1123 H TCU B12 (33- 5, 97.6) 57-93 1202 H Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 59-67 1210 H Texas SEC T (34- 4, 99.1) 45-** 1215 A SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 87-85 1217 H No Dakota St SM (25- 5, 95.6) 60-82 1218 H So Dakota SM (24-10, 94.6) 44-71 1229 A New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) 87-81 1231 H Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 56-66 103 A TX A&M-CC SL ( 5-23, 91.5) 58-47 108 A Nowestern St SL (17-14, 93.2) 61-55 110 A Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 60-55 115 A Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) 78-65 117 H McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 54-70 122 A TX A&M-CC SL ( 5-23, 91.5) 61-49 124 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 65-53 129 A Houston Chr SL ( 7-21, 91.7) 63-41 131 A Incarn Word SL (12-17, 92.6) 80-70 205 A Nicholls SL (14-16, 92.6) 69-66 207 A New Orleans SL ( 3-26, 90.9) 71-53 212 A Lamar SL (19-11, 93.7) 75-53 214 H SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 70-72 219 H McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 53-60 221 A Soea LA SL ( 4-24, 91.3) 77-54 226 H Nowestern St SL (17-14, 93.2) 59-64 228 A Ea Texas A&M SL (12-17, 92.3) 71-64 302 A Incarn Word SL (12-17, 92.6) 72-64 310 A Nowestern St SL (17-14, 93.2) 76-67 311 H McNeese SL (27- 6, 95.1) 52-67 319 A Austin Peay AS (17-14, 93.7) 71-59 322 H Illinois St MV (23-13, 94.4) 52-81
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1111 H Abilene Chr 58-76 -18 -1 -1.38
1117 A TX St-SM 77-65 12 1 1.36
1120 H Houston 63-65 -2 -1 -1.47
1123 H TCU 57-93 -36 -4 0.00
1202 H Lamar 59-67 -8 0 -1.96
1210 H Texas 45-** -65 -5 0.00
1215 A SF Austin 87-85 2 0 + 2.32
1217 H No Dakota St 60-82 -22 -2 -0.01
1218 H So Dakota 44-71 -27 -1 -1.03
1229 A New Orleans 87-81 6 3 0.00
1231 H Nicholls 56-66 -10 1 - -2.99
103 A TX A&M-CC 58-47 11 2 0.00
108 A Nowestern St 61-55 6 0 1.64
110 A Ea Texas A&M 60-55 5 1 0.69
115 A Soea LA 78-65 13 2 0.00
117 H McNeese 54-70 -16 -1 -0.51
122 A TX A&M-CC 61-49 12 2 0.00
124 A Houston Chr 65-53 12 2 0.12
129 A Houston Chr 63-41 22 2 0.12
131 A Incarn Word 80-70 10 1 0.97
205 A Nicholls 69-66 3 1 1.03
207 A New Orleans 71-53 18 3 0.00
212 A Lamar 75-53 22 0 + 2.06
214 H SF Austin 70-72 -2 0 -1.70
219 H McNeese 53-60 -7 -1 -0.51
221 A Soea LA 77-54 23 2 0.00
226 H Nowestern St 59-64 -5 0 - -2.38
228 A Ea Texas A&M 71-64 7 1 0.69
302 A Incarn Word 72-64 8 1 0.97
310 A Nowestern St 76-67 9 0 1.64
311 H McNeese 52-67 -15 -1 -0.51
319 A Austin Peay 71-59 12 0 + 2.07
322 H Illinois St 52-81 -29 -1 -1.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1231 H Nicholls 56-66 -10 1 - -2.99 226 H Nowestern St 59-64 -5 0 - -2.38 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1215 A SF Austin 87-85 2 0 + 2.32 212 A Lamar 75-53 22 0 + 2.06 319 A Austin Peay 71-59 12 0 + 2.07 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Abilene Chr (23-11, 94.2) 58-76 -5.65 5.31 -0.01 0.92 -2.60
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 77-65 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.92 7.42
3 H Houston ( 7-23, 94.2) 63-65 -5.74 5.22 -0.01 0.92 -2.64
3 H TCU (33- 5, 97.6) 57-93 -2.28 8.68 -0.01 0.92 -1.05
3 H Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 59-67 -6.23 4.73 -0.01 0.92 -2.87
3 H Texas (34- 4, 99.1) 45-** -0.81 10.15 -0.01 0.92 -0.38
3 A SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 87-85 -5.97 4.99 0.01 0.92 9.19
3 H No Dakota St (25- 5, 95.6) 60-82 -4.28 6.68 -0.01 0.92 -1.97
3 H So Dakota (24-10, 94.6) 44-71 -5.31 5.65 -0.01 0.92 -2.45
3 A New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) 87-81 -8.97 1.99 0.01 0.92 3.68
3 H Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 56-66 -7.27 3.69 -0.01 0.92 -3.35
3 A TX A&M-CC ( 5-23, 91.5) 58-47 -8.37 2.59 0.01 0.92 4.79
3 A Nowestern St (17-14, 93.2) 61-55 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.92 7.93
3 A Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 60-55 -7.61 3.35 0.01 0.92 6.19
3 A Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) 78-65 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.92 4.43
3 H McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 54-70 -4.79 6.17 -0.01 0.92 -2.21
3 A TX A&M-CC ( 5-23, 91.5) 61-49 -8.37 2.59 0.01 0.92 4.79
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 65-53 -8.17 2.79 0.01 0.92 5.15
3 A Houston Chr ( 7-21, 91.7) 63-41 -8.17 2.79 0.01 0.92 5.15
3 A Incarn Word (12-17, 92.6) 80-70 -7.32 3.64 0.01 0.92 6.71
3 A Nicholls (14-16, 92.6) 69-66 -7.27 3.69 0.01 0.92 6.81
3 A New Orleans ( 3-26, 90.9) 71-53 -8.97 1.99 0.01 0.92 3.68
3 A Lamar (19-11, 93.7) 75-53 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.92 8.72
3 H SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 70-72 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 0.92 -2.75
3 H McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 53-60 -4.79 6.17 -0.01 0.92 -2.21
3 A Soea LA ( 4-24, 91.3) 77-54 -8.56 2.40 0.01 0.92 4.43
3 H Nowestern St (17-14, 93.2) 59-64 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 0.92 -3.07
3 A Ea Texas A&M (12-17, 92.3) 71-64 -7.61 3.35 0.01 0.92 6.19
3 A Incarn Word (12-17, 92.6) 72-64 -7.32 3.64 0.01 0.92 6.71
3 A Nowestern St (17-14, 93.2) 76-67 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.92 7.93
3 H McNeese (27- 6, 95.1) 52-67 -4.79 6.17 -0.01 0.92 -2.21
3 A Austin Peay (17-14, 93.7) 71-59 -6.23 4.73 0.01 0.92 8.73
3 H Illinois St (23-13, 94.4) 52-81 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 0.92 -2.54
------
86.31
|
winning pts = 118.6067 losing points = -32.2919
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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