TX St-SM
W-L: (10-20) PR = 92.9623Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 66-72 1109 H Texas Tech B12 (26- 8, 96.6) 50-83 1113 H Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 41-64 1117 H UTRGV SL (19-14, 93.6) 65-77 1120 A TX A&M-CC SL ( 5-23, 91.5) 53-43 1125 H Tarleton St WAC T (13-17, 93.2) 45-56 1130 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 93-52 1206 H SF Austin SL (23-10, 93.9) 66-74 1210 A UNTDA 64-38 1217 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 62-55 1220 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 79-69 103 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 52-87 107 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 49-84 110 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 55-43 114 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 62-76 114 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 62-76 117 H Troy SB (25- 9, 95.4) 63-67 121 A App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 63-49 124 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 65-61 128 H Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 53-85 131 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 68-59 204 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 57-61 207 H No Illinois MA ( 7-24, 92.3) 69-71 212 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 69-63 214 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 77-86 218 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 61-75 221 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 59-64 225 H LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 74-83 227 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 53-87 305 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 59-69
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Ohio 66-72 -6 -1 -0.98
1109 H Texas Tech 50-83 -33 -4 0.00
1113 H Texas-SA 41-64 -23 -2 -0.41
1117 H UTRGV 65-77 -12 -1 -1.36
1120 A TX A&M-CC 53-43 10 1 0.58
1125 H Tarleton St 45-56 -11 0 -1.72
1130 A Prairie View 93-52 41 4 0.00
1206 H SF Austin 66-74 -8 -1 -1.05
1217 A Louisiana 62-55 7 1 1.23
1220 A LA-Monroe 79-69 10 -1 + 3.02
103 H Jam Madison 52-87 -35 -3 0.00
107 H Troy 49-84 -35 -2 0.00
110 A Louisiana 55-43 12 1 1.23
114 H So Miss 62-76 -14 -1 -1.21
114 H So Miss 62-76 -14 -1 -1.21
117 H Troy 63-67 -4 -2 0.00
121 A App State 63-49 14 0 + 2.30
124 A Old Dominion 65-61 4 -2 + 3.53
128 H Coastal Car 53-85 -32 -1 -1.41
131 A Georgia St 68-59 9 0 + 2.24
204 H Georgia So 57-61 -4 -2 0.00
207 H No Illinois 69-71 -2 1 - -2.64
212 A So Alabama 69-63 6 -1 + 2.73
214 H So Miss 77-86 -9 -1 -1.21
218 H Arkansas St 61-75 -14 -2 -0.04
221 H So Alabama 59-64 -5 -1 -1.29
225 H LA-Monroe 74-83 -9 -1 -1.00
227 H Arkansas St 53-87 -34 -2 -0.04
305 H So Alabama 59-69 -10 -1 -1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H No Illinois 69-71 -2 1 - -2.64 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A LA-Monroe 79-69 10 -1 + 3.02 121 A App State 63-49 14 0 + 2.30 124 A Old Dominion 65-61 4 -2 + 3.53 131 A Georgia St 68-59 9 0 + 2.24 212 A So Alabama 69-63 6 -1 + 2.73 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 66-72 -5.91 5.05 -0.01 1.05 -3.10
3 H Texas Tech (26- 8, 96.6) 50-83 -3.31 7.65 -0.01 1.05 -1.74
3 H Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 41-64 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 1.05 -2.80
3 H UTRGV (19-14, 93.6) 65-77 -6.29 4.67 -0.01 1.05 -3.29
3 A TX A&M-CC ( 5-23, 91.5) 53-43 -8.37 2.59 0.01 1.05 5.45
3 H Tarleton St (13-17, 93.2) 45-56 -6.65 4.31 -0.01 1.05 -3.49
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 93-52 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.05 2.11
3 H SF Austin (23-10, 93.9) 66-74 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.05 -3.13
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 62-55 -7.72 3.24 0.01 1.05 6.81
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 79-69 -5.92 5.04 0.01 1.05 10.56
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 52-87 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 1.05 -2.23
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 49-84 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.37
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 55-43 -7.72 3.24 0.01 1.05 6.81
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 62-76 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 1.05 -3.22
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 62-76 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 1.05 -3.22
3 H Troy (25- 9, 95.4) 63-67 -4.52 6.44 -0.01 1.05 -2.37
3 A App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 63-49 -6.65 4.31 0.01 1.05 9.05
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 65-61 -5.42 5.54 0.01 1.05 11.62
3 H Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 53-85 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.05 -3.32
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 68-59 -6.70 4.26 0.01 1.05 8.93
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 57-61 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 1.05 -2.43
3 H No Illinois ( 7-24, 92.3) 69-71 -7.57 3.39 -0.01 1.05 -3.97
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 69-63 -6.22 4.74 0.01 1.05 9.95
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 77-86 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 1.05 -3.22
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 61-75 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.05 -2.61
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 59-64 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 1.05 -3.26
3 H LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 74-83 -5.92 5.04 -0.01 1.05 -3.11
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 53-87 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.05 -2.61
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 59-69 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 1.05 -3.26
------
12.56
|
winning pts = 71.2857 losing points = -58.7247
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------