UT Martin
W-L: (11-16) PR = 93.0123Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H No Alabama AS (16-14, 93.4) 54-57 1109 H Tennessee SEC (15-14, 96.6) 61-72 1116 A FISK 79-39 1120 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 45-77 1122 H TX-El Paso CUSA (11-17, 93.1) 60-64 1130 A OAKWD 78-53 1204 A Lipscomb AS ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-60 1206 H Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 66-78 1218 A Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 86-79 1220 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 62-74 101 A We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 86-14 103 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 58-51 108 H Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 49-67 115 A SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 64-55 117 A Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 73-70 120 A SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 67-56 129 A Ea Illinois OV E ( 4-25, 91.9) 62-46 131 H We Illinois OV W (23- 6, 94.8) 54-80 203 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 53-68 207 A Morehead St OV M (16-14, 93.7) 64-58 212 H Lindenwood OV L (20- 8, 94.6) 49-54 214 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 52-62 217 H SE MO St OV (13-16, 93.3) 52-62 219 H Little Rock OV L (13-14, 93.6) 57-65 226 H Tenn Tech OV T (14-12, 93.6) 68-80 228 H Tenn St OV ( 5-22, 92.2) 60-67 304 H SIUE OV S (15-13, 93.4) 49-63
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H No Alabama 54-57 -3 0 -1.62
1109 H Tennessee 61-72 -11 -4 0.00
1120 H New Mexico 45-77 -32 -2 -0.36
1122 H TX-El Paso 60-64 -4 0 -1.88
1204 A Lipscomb 63-60 3 0 1.50
1206 H Arkansas St 66-78 -12 -2 -0.09
1218 A Tenn St 86-79 7 1 1.19
1220 H Tenn Tech 62-74 -12 -1 -1.45
101 A We Illinois 86-14 72 -2 + 3.80
103 A Ea Illinois 58-51 7 1 0.91
108 H Morehead St 49-67 -18 -1 -1.30
115 A SIUE 64-55 9 0 + 2.39
117 A Lindenwood 73-70 3 -2 + 3.64
120 A SE MO St 67-56 11 0 + 2.31
129 A Ea Illinois 62-46 16 1 0.91
131 H We Illinois 54-80 -26 -2 -0.22
203 H Little Rock 53-68 -15 -1 -1.42
207 A Morehead St 64-58 6 -1 + 2.72
212 H Lindenwood 49-54 -5 -2 -0.38
214 H SIUE 52-62 -10 0 -1.63
217 H SE MO St 52-62 -10 0 -1.71
219 H Little Rock 57-65 -8 -1 -1.42
226 H Tenn Tech 68-80 -12 -1 -1.45
228 H Tenn St 60-67 -7 1 - -2.83
304 H SIUE 49-63 -14 0 -1.63
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Tenn St 60-67 -7 1 - -2.83 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 101 A We Illinois 86-14 72 -2 + 3.80 115 A SIUE 64-55 9 0 + 2.39 117 A Lindenwood 73-70 3 -2 + 3.64 120 A SE MO St 67-56 11 0 + 2.31 207 A Morehead St 64-58 6 -1 + 2.72 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H No Alabama (16-14, 93.4) 54-57 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.21 -3.95
3 H Tennessee (15-14, 96.6) 61-72 -3.34 7.62 -0.01 1.21 -2.03
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 45-77 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 1.21 -3.19
3 H TX-El Paso (11-17, 93.1) 60-64 -6.76 4.20 -0.01 1.21 -4.11
3 A Lipscomb ( 8-20, 92.5) 63-60 -7.39 3.57 0.01 1.21 8.68
3 H Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 66-78 -4.97 5.99 -0.01 1.21 -3.02
3 A Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 86-79 -7.71 3.25 0.01 1.21 7.92
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 62-74 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.21 -3.85
3 A We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 86-14 -5.09 5.87 0.01 1.21 14.27
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 58-51 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.21 7.24
3 H Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 49-67 -6.18 4.78 -0.01 1.21 -3.75
3 A SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 64-55 -6.50 4.46 0.01 1.21 10.84
3 A Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 73-70 -5.26 5.70 0.01 1.21 13.87
3 A SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 67-56 -6.59 4.37 0.01 1.21 10.64
3 A Ea Illinois ( 4-25, 91.9) 62-46 -7.99 2.97 0.01 1.21 7.24
3 H We Illinois (23- 6, 94.8) 54-80 -5.09 5.87 -0.01 1.21 -3.10
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 53-68 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.21 -3.83
3 A Morehead St (16-14, 93.7) 64-58 -6.18 4.78 0.01 1.21 11.64
3 H Lindenwood (20- 8, 94.6) 49-54 -5.26 5.70 -0.01 1.21 -3.20
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 52-62 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.21 -3.95
3 H SE MO St (13-16, 93.3) 52-62 -6.59 4.37 -0.01 1.21 -4.00
3 H Little Rock (13-14, 93.6) 57-65 -6.30 4.66 -0.01 1.21 -3.83
3 H Tenn Tech (14-12, 93.6) 68-80 -6.33 4.63 -0.01 1.21 -3.85
3 H Tenn St ( 5-22, 92.2) 60-67 -7.71 3.25 -0.01 1.21 -4.69
3 H SIUE (15-13, 93.4) 49-63 -6.50 4.46 -0.01 1.21 -3.95
------
34.06
|
winning pts = 92.3581 losing points = -58.3000
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------